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Jonathan Bernstein

@jonathanbernstein

Good Politics/Bad Politics - Subscribe! https://goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/ Also I root for the Giants. The Making of the Presidential Candidates 2024.

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Latest posts by Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein

Oh hell yeah. Nixon was a horrible person and a crook and undermined the republic but also a patriot who took governing seriously.

W.? Another godawful terrible president, but again a patriot and despite being in way over his head he did basically believe in democracy and the republic.

10.03.2026 04:22 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I should note that the same day I wrote "An Unplanned War" we also got "There Is No U.S. Plan on Iran" from @dandrezner.bsky.social so it's not as if I'm seeing things that others aren't but what more is there even to say? Random flailing, over and over again.

10.03.2026 01:08 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Me, last week: "The main thing I’d want to get across to people about Donald Trump and his administration right now is that however unprepared you might think they are for war, the chances are very good that it’s much worse. Much, much worse."

Can I just repeat myself for this week's post?

10.03.2026 01:04 πŸ‘ 171 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Probably told this story before...a few years ago a high school kid started showing up for pick-up ball wearing a Bad Brains t-shirt so eventually I mentioned how cool it was and he had no idea they were a band, let alone actually listened to them.

10.03.2026 00:46 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

As I have noted many times, outright bigotry and hate toward Muslims has been commonplace among even very high-profile MAGA folks during Trump II β€” even as many of the same people forcefully condemned any perceived anti-Semitism. There is never condemnation or criticism of it. …

10.03.2026 00:31 πŸ‘ 47 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This will be useful evidence when we are hit by the terrorist strike that our degenerate clown security services were too distracted, addled and incompetent to prevent.

09.03.2026 21:52 πŸ‘ 37 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

BIG SIGH

09.03.2026 20:50 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
AP Elections Decision Analyst AP Elections Decision Analyst

This is a great job opportunity for a quanty election person. I know a lot of you like making your own race calls; why not get paid for it? πŸ˜‰ careers.ap.org/job/Washingt...

09.03.2026 19:01 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The work of the USAO-NJ is simply
too important to continue throwing novel leadership plans at the wall to see what
will stick. Compromise is part of the system, and I implore the Government to take
that approach. If it does not, it is on notice that a third attempt at unilateral office-
filling will be met with extremely strict scrutiny, and any deficiency in its method
will be taken as bad faith and result in dismissal of cases at any stage

The work of the USAO-NJ is simply too important to continue throwing novel leadership plans at the wall to see what will stick. Compromise is part of the system, and I implore the Government to take that approach. If it does not, it is on notice that a third attempt at unilateral office- filling will be met with extremely strict scrutiny, and any deficiency in its method will be taken as bad faith and result in dismissal of cases at any stage

😬

09.03.2026 18:53 πŸ‘ 168 πŸ” 32 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 2

I’m driving all over the valley so I think I’ll come close to a full tank…

09.03.2026 18:12 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yup, that’s what I was thinking. Only three days, but still.

09.03.2026 18:10 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Ogles' post has been up for 3.5 hours.

Not a peep out of any other House Republicans, never mind leadership.

09.03.2026 17:17 πŸ‘ 357 πŸ” 59 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 5

Had no TSA line at SAT this morning *and* flew along the border to PHX without being shot down by border patrol lasers! Woo! Ready to become a Trumper just as soon as I get the rental car and prepay for AZ gas. watched SOTU, know it’s under $2.30…

09.03.2026 17:22 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Of COURSE Fernando Tatis Jr. hits the
Dominican Republic’s first-ever WBC grand slam!!!

It’s his birthright !

09.03.2026 16:45 πŸ‘ 504 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 4

Buck stops with the president, but the National Security Advisor is in charge of running through this stuff before the shooting starts…and the WH CoS is supposed to make sure that process is working right.

09.03.2026 12:50 πŸ‘ 65 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

This.

09.03.2026 11:54 πŸ‘ 282 πŸ” 66 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

The precedents are awful. E.g. he could be Iran’s Bashar al-Assad.

09.03.2026 03:37 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Frankly I'm stumped over whether it's funnier to imagine Trump thinking he has to adjust his brag or anyone thinking Trump might actual winning the Nobel next year or FIFA feeling ashamed of itself.

09.03.2026 02:11 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I mean there's not going to be a draft, but apparently there is going to be talk about a draft because these clowns don't know how to do their jobs.

09.03.2026 00:41 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Feeling for the people who have to write up
[This poll was in the field while the terrible jobs report and the new Epstein accusations came out but after the first six US troop deaths but before the 7th one and before oil went over $100 and the WH press secy floated a draft and...]

08.03.2026 23:56 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I see we're back to nukes today as the excuse for this. I'm sorry I should say "this evening." Who knows what the excuse will be later tonight?

08.03.2026 23:39 πŸ‘ 71 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I keep thinking that the tech that Denzel used in Deja Vu could probably be modified even though they said it couldn't be but if Denzel went back could he really prevent Trump from ending the nuke deal? Better chance than Bruce Willis, sure, even with Madeleine Stowe helping him. Or Seven of Nine.

08.03.2026 21:40 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The fun (or whatever) thing if he said this is that it's probably equally likely that someone actually did tell Trump this as part of a successful effort to manipulate him - or that it's just something he made up just because it sounded good to him.

08.03.2026 21:32 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

yeah, not at all understandable that the citizens of Tehran are staying in, what with the regime that just killed thousands of protesters a month or two ago, the missile strikes, and the toxic hydrocarbon rain and flaming oil-soaked street gutters that resulted from the bombed oil depot

08.03.2026 19:11 πŸ‘ 44 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

At the very least it was a known major possibility. (Just looking through my open tabs, I see @dassakaye.bsky.social mentioned it as a serious risk in a pre-war piece.)

08.03.2026 19:37 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

To be fair, at current tech this does sound somewhat easier than building a time machine, going back, and *not* tearing up a perfectly effective treaty preventing Iran from trying to go nuclear in the first place. Probably.

(No, those are not the only two options.)

08.03.2026 19:14 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
The Crisis of Appropriations Law Appropriations law is a unique body of federal law.Β  Appropriations law imposes its own somewhat baroque set of statutory interpretation principles, approv

Never say never, but I'm fairly confident you'd be hard-pressed to find a better and more important legal article in the second Trump Administration than this one by @sbagen.bsky.social.

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

08.03.2026 17:31 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 18 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2

Apologies if others have already noted this and NYT higher ed myopia isn't normally my concern but c'mon already with this (from today's front page):

"... all kinds of institutions, from small liberal arts colleges to large research universities commanding global reputations."

08.03.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable … but approval of Trump barely budges

Opinion of Trump’s military actions are malleable
… but approval of Trump barely budges.

open.substack.com/pub/charlesa...

08.03.2026 15:39 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

A blocked order still signals intent, keeps an issue salient, and produces months of political conflict. The performance of executive overreach, and the consequences that come with it, may be a feature of policymaking here, not a bug.

08.03.2026 00:02 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0