www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyNO...
11.03.2026 05:04
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www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyNO...
Wow, what a banger from Alejandro Bran as LD Alajuelense leads at LAFC. As against the run-of-play as you can get.
More previews
@nrgilman.bsky.social consults the Disco Ball in Louisville and @kierdoyle.bsky.social talks about a Wave who stumbled upon one of the best CB pairings in the league
www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/3/...
Previews continue on: @mshea14.bsky.social in her ASA debut talks about hope in Houston, and @paulharvey.theoutfield.nyc asks can the Courage close the gap to the leagues best
www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/3/...
Screenshot of dashboard: "How your team scores: MLS xg data" various stat breakdowns and pitch graphic with shots shown as dots below
It took me a sec, but the xG dashboard is back for 2026!
For those who weren't here last season, the dashboard uses @jamonm.bsky.social & @carloncarpenter.bsky.social's WGCF principles to break down MLS shots.
Built using @americansocceranalysis.com data.
public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
So that insane home advantage didn't survive week 3 of the 2026 MLS season (46th percentile now).
Armchair Analyst: Nashville's continuing evolution, NYCFC's catalyst & more from Matchday 3
Including a Miami team just throwing stuff at the wall & a Cincy side that looks lost both on and off the ball.
tacticsfreezone.ghost.io/nashvilles-c...
Cincinnati played exactly like a team that doesn’t know how to score goals that aren’t served to them on a platter when that one guy isn’t 100%
Away teams won eight games in week 3 and both games today.
I enjoyed watching Djordje doing stuff that half a lot.
Kids these days...
Away teams won six games yesterday. Home teams won five helped by three with red cards.
That’s 12 games with a red card (double yellows included) this season.
Some Sunday morning NWSL previews:
Theresa Pham asks what do in Utah in her ASA debut, and @mattbarger.bsky.social ponders whether Mark Parsons is a little Icarus-ish
www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/3/7/2026-nwsl-previews-utah-royals-angel-city
Away teams have won 3 so far tonight, and two more are winning right now.
I guess 80% home win pct this season is off the table.
There's a world in which we find out in a few weeks that Orlando played the toughest starting schedule of any team, certainly in the East.
If we live in that world, will the other end of this be a potential playoff team, a bad team, or a could-have-been-good-but-now-broken team?
Always fun to hear stats from coaches who are the... *checks notes* ...least analytically advanced team in the league.
Another follow-up: I was asked about the differences between the three Fast Pace Attack Types, so here are the definitions.
These are all debatable. I wrestled for a while with these and watched a lot of video to get to what felt right to me.
Cincy/Toronto shaping up similarly but more so, looks like
To clarify, San Jose is in the middle on Unprogressed, but they are a few spots higher on Contested Play.
They've done a better job progressing their possessions than most teams, but that came from two dominant home games, too.
Someone asked me if Philly and San Jose today would be a track meet, and my answer was "probably a very messy track meet".
The Union have the most Unprogressed Play sequences (contested + unrealized) per game, and the Quakes are up there, too. It's part of their DNA. It was true in 2025 as well.
Friday Stat Dump: Measuring change in outcomes
We discussed last week how a team is starting their possession sequences can tell us a lot about what they are trying to do differently this season.
bsky.app/profile/jamo...
Today we'll see -- limited to two games -- if they've been effective.
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Side note: Unprogressed Attacks never get xG, shots, goals, anything. They are unprogressed.
Either teams are fighting for the ball (Contested), or one of them just made a bad pass or lost control as soon as they won it (Unrealized).
It happens. A lot actually.
Sorry if I missed your team there. As the season goes on, this is something we can revisit. We can also look at how teams are conceding and how these categories contribute to goal differential and xGD. We can break them down into specific attacking methods to compare styles.
Enjoy the games!
/end
As we look at MLS 2026 after week two, what do you notice?
* Outsized importance/disparity of Fast Pace Attack xG so far
* Philly inefficient
* Early leaders like SJ, LAFC, NYC, CHI, RBNY, ORL and STL were above avg last season, too
* POR, FCD, SKC, RSL, CIN and ATL moving right
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But when we look at who is most effective at generating chances from Fast Pace Attacks, we can look at shots or xG. We can compare volume to efficiency.
Here is Sequence Attack xG sorted by Fast Pace xG along with a comparison of Fast Pace Sequences vs. its xG.
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Using this, we can see how much teams use various types of these attacks in their sequences along with how they start the sequences. Along with data such as shots, goals, xG, PSxG and g+, both for/against, we can discover strengths and weaknesses.
Here is MLS 2025 sorted by Fast Pace Attacks.
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You'll find a lot of similarities here with @futi.live's Phase of Play model. I built key elements of my own method eight months ago and recently finished it.
For (attempted) simplicity, I've grouped 16 attack types into 5 categories.
Here is a visual:
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Friday Stat Dump: Measuring change in outcomes
We discussed last week how a team is starting their possession sequences can tell us a lot about what they are trying to do differently this season.
bsky.app/profile/jamo...
Today we'll see -- limited to two games -- if they've been effective.
1/
It’s preview tiiiiiime
@catabush.com tells us not to ignore the elephant in the room in Denver and @kierdoyle.bsky.social talks about Boston Internationals. Our friends at @xowngoals.com dropped audio previews for both teams today as well!
www.americansocceranalysis.com/home/2026/3/...
So it looks like Chicho is not listed as a DP. Hernan is but with an asterisk that means: Indicates player is currently unavailable, and club may receive roster/international spot relief, but not Salary Budget relief unless otherwise determined pursuant to the loan agreement.