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Paul Schuler

@paulschuler

Associate professor of political science, University of Arizona

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26.09.2023
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Latest posts by Paul Schuler @paulschuler

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SEAREG Pre-Dissertation Fellowship | Duke Center for International Development The SEAREG Pre-Dissertation Fellowship assists social science Ph.D. students engaged in exploratory research who must travel to Southeast Asia in order to obtain the adva

For Ph.D students in social sciences studying Southeast Asia, consider applying for the SEAREG Predissertation Fellowship. The fellowship provides up top $5k in funding for fieldwork.

dcid.sanford.duke.edu/seareg-pre-d...

09.02.2026 20:57 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Today we will return to the articles from Issue 14 of 2024, a special issue focusing on the topic of Gender and Authoritarian Politics. Please enjoy!

#polisky #socialscience #ComparativePolitics #academicsky

22.10.2025 13:59 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Founding Leaders and National Narratives: Anthropomorphism and the Roots of Founding Leader Personality Cults in Three East Asian Cases - Paul Schuler, Trung-Anh Nguyen, Yongfeng Tang, Mohammad Khan, ... Founding leader personality cults are crucial components of national narratives. Yet, relatively little research examines how they emerge. A small political sci...

We have a new article in @cpsjournal.bsky.social theorizing founding leader personality cult emergence in Vietnam, China and Indonesia. It'll be part of a special issue "Imagining Nations" w/ @eunajo.bsky.social, @deandulay.bsky.social, @jiyoungko.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

07.10.2025 16:59 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Mini-Conference on Authoritarian Politics, WPSA 2026 April 2-4, 2026 Location: Manchester Grand Hyatt, San Diego, California Contact us: pschuler@arizona.edu; jsudduth@iu.edu; zirui.yang@emory.edu

🚨 Call for Papers: 2026 WPSA Mini-Conference on Authoritarian Politics 🚨

Jun Sudduth, @paulschuler.bsky.social, and I are excited to see y’all in San Diego! We welcome formal and empirical papers on a broad range of topics.

πŸ“Œ Apply here. Share with colleagues & students:
forms.gle/Dv2SBEduFxSh...

02.09.2025 19:32 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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SEAREG Thematic Sessions | Duke Center for International Development SEAREG Thematic Sessions - Duke Center for International Development

For all Southeast Asianist scholars, please consider submitting a paper proposal for SEAREG at UC-San Diego in December.

dcid.sanford.duke.edu/seareg-thema...

16.08.2025 23:30 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In today’s thread, we will revisit the articles published in Issue 2 of our 2024 volume. We hope you find them insightful!

03.06.2025 19:17 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Cuts have consequences, illustrated. As seen on TV πŸ“Ί

03.06.2025 00:45 πŸ‘ 23412 πŸ” 9415 πŸ’¬ 834 πŸ“Œ 1320
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Trump Administration Halts Harvard’s Ability to Enroll International Students

If this stands, and if it spreads, it would be a crushing blow to higher education in America -- and also a major new contributor to our trade deficits.

Higher ed is one of the most reliable surplus drivers that our country can offer.

Free link www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...

22.05.2025 18:20 πŸ‘ 225 πŸ” 91 πŸ’¬ 20 πŸ“Œ 21
Project MUSE - A Warning from Above: How Authoritarian Anti-Protest Propaganda Works

muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...

We started this project nearly five years ago, when we were both graduate students β€” I had just begun my third year of the PhD program at the University of Arizona. It's incredibly rewarding to see how far this work has come!

29.04.2025 15:03 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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A Venezuelan Is Missing. The U.S. Deported Him. But to Where? (Gift Article) The immigrant does not appear on a list of people sent to a prison in El Salvador, and his family and friends have no idea of his whereabouts. He has essentially disappeared.

β€œHe has simply disappeared,” said a friend.

β€œI have not heard of a disappearance like this in my 40-plus years of practicing and teaching immigration law.,” said one law prof. β€œThis case represents a black hole where due process no longer exists."

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/22/u...

22.04.2025 13:25 πŸ‘ 2410 πŸ” 1133 πŸ’¬ 43 πŸ“Œ 57
David: Are you concerned about retaliation from the Trump administration because of this story?

Jeffrey: It’s not my role to care about the possibility of threats or retaliation. We just have to come to work and do our jobs to the best of our ability. Unfortunately, in our society todayβ€”we see this across corporate journalism and law firms and other industriesβ€”there’s too much preemptive obeying for my taste. All we can do is just go do our jobs.

David: Are you concerned about retaliation from the Trump administration because of this story? Jeffrey: It’s not my role to care about the possibility of threats or retaliation. We just have to come to work and do our jobs to the best of our ability. Unfortunately, in our society todayβ€”we see this across corporate journalism and law firms and other industriesβ€”there’s too much preemptive obeying for my taste. All we can do is just go do our jobs.

A fantastically important postscript to this piece: David Graham asks Jeffrey Goldberg about possible retaliation, and Goldberg gives a perfect answer β€” with perfect swipes. www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/...

25.03.2025 02:05 πŸ‘ 7312 πŸ” 1891 πŸ’¬ 81 πŸ“Œ 141

Letter to leadership of universities being targeted, to run in Chronicle tomorrow. Academic friends, pls sign if you are a US citizen and tenured (ie it’s safe for you to do so)
β€œWe Must Leverage the Strength of Our Institutions and Stand Together”
Text in replies

docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

23.03.2025 03:33 πŸ‘ 462 πŸ” 137 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 9
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Brown University advises all international community members to postpone, reconsider travel One week before spring break, Brown advised international community members, including green card holders and permanent residents, to postpone international travel in a campus-wide email sent on Sunda...

Chilling report from Brown University.

Administration advises all foreign students, staff, and faculty to postpone or reconsider (ie cancel) international travel, due to federal government's crackdown on universities.

Brown also warns against *domestic travel* -since it's unclear what ICE will do.

17.03.2025 13:38 πŸ‘ 2949 πŸ” 1561 πŸ’¬ 57 πŸ“Œ 194
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Analysis: White House denies ignoring court order halting Venezuelan deportations | CNN Politics The White House is denying that it violated a judge’s order Saturday to halt the deportations of Venezuelan gang members to El Salvador, which, if it did occur, would take legal showdowns over the adm...

Backsliding in the US may be worse than other global cases. Hungary, Poland, and India at least followed Scheppele's "authoritarian legalism" model where laws were manipulated, but followed. Here, the laws are flouted flagrantly. This is more unapologetic and blatant.

www.cnn.com/2025/03/17/p...

17.03.2025 05:18 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Authoritarianism warning:

16.03.2025 18:01 πŸ‘ 47 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If the government can do this to universities, we don't live in a free society. Five alarm fire.

14.03.2025 01:50 πŸ‘ 2415 πŸ” 703 πŸ’¬ 47 πŸ“Œ 25

Ok I know this is old-man irritability but I don’t care if Mahmoud Khalil has a pregnant wife, I don’t care if he and his wife are childfree, I don’t care if he’s in a fucking polycule with a hedgehog and a jar of mayonnaise, NOBODY should be detained for protected speech, including singletons.

11.03.2025 22:54 πŸ‘ 8075 πŸ” 1211 πŸ’¬ 104 πŸ“Œ 50

The White House, not even DHS, the White House itself apparently, is directly deciding which permanent residents should be detained and deported based on their political speech.

If this doesn’t scare you about the state of our democracy and liberties, I don’t know what will.

09.03.2025 21:04 πŸ‘ 3320 πŸ” 987 πŸ’¬ 79 πŸ“Œ 42

I think this would be a good idea. Undergrads are always concerned about timely grading. Perhaps reminding them that grading relies on grad students, which relies on funding

09.03.2025 20:13 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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United Front: Projecting Solidarity through Deliberation in Vietnam’s Single-Party Legislature (Studies of the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center) United Front: Projecting Solidarity through Deliberation in Vietnam’s Single-Party Legislature (Studies of the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center) [Schuler, Paul] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. United Front: Projecting Solidarity through Deliberation in Vietnam’s Single-Party Legislature (Studies of the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center)

Nice piece by @thiembui.bsky.social on the reduced role of the Vietnam National Assembly. thediplomat.com/2025/03/the-...

For context, my work on the relationship between the party, gov't and VNA helps explain why it's happening
www.amazon.com/United-Front...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...

06.03.2025 16:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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REMINDER: Cutting IRS spending is not a β€œcost-cutting” move.

Cutting the IRS lowers revenue.

It’s a move to protect the wealthy, like Elon Musk.

Auditing the rich returns $12 for every $1 spent.

www.nber.org/papers/w31376

20.02.2025 14:08 πŸ‘ 1193 πŸ” 406 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 11
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Tesla paid $0 in federal income tax last year.

2022: $0
2021: $0
2020: $0
2019: $0
2018: $0

Tesla reported $6.7 billion in profit in those years.

08.02.2025 22:56 πŸ‘ 51024 πŸ” 18210 πŸ’¬ 1414 πŸ“Œ 871
Article title: Agenda Seeding: How 1960s Black Protests Moved Elites, Public Opinion and Voting

Article Abstract

How do stigmatized minorities advance agendas when confronted with hostile majorities? Elite theories of influence posit marginal groups exert little power. I propose the concept of agenda seeding to describe how activists use methods like disruption to capture the attention of media and overcome political asymmetries. Further, I hypothesize protest tactics influence how news organizations frame demands. Evaluating black-led protests between 1960 and 1972, I find nonviolent activism, particularly when met with state or vigilante repression, drove media coverage, framing, congressional speech, and public opinion on civil rights. Counties proximate to nonviolent protests saw presidential Democratic vote share increase 1.6–2.5%. Protester-initiated violence, by contrast, helped move news agendas, frames, elite discourse, and public concern toward β€œsocial control.” In 1968, using rainfall as an instrument, I find violent protests likely caused a 1.5–7.9% shift among whites toward Republicans and tipped the election. Elites may dominate political communication but hold no monopoly.

Article title: Agenda Seeding: How 1960s Black Protests Moved Elites, Public Opinion and Voting Article Abstract How do stigmatized minorities advance agendas when confronted with hostile majorities? Elite theories of influence posit marginal groups exert little power. I propose the concept of agenda seeding to describe how activists use methods like disruption to capture the attention of media and overcome political asymmetries. Further, I hypothesize protest tactics influence how news organizations frame demands. Evaluating black-led protests between 1960 and 1972, I find nonviolent activism, particularly when met with state or vigilante repression, drove media coverage, framing, congressional speech, and public opinion on civil rights. Counties proximate to nonviolent protests saw presidential Democratic vote share increase 1.6–2.5%. Protester-initiated violence, by contrast, helped move news agendas, frames, elite discourse, and public concern toward β€œsocial control.” In 1968, using rainfall as an instrument, I find violent protests likely caused a 1.5–7.9% shift among whites toward Republicans and tipped the election. Elites may dominate political communication but hold no monopoly.

I’ve been studying civil rights protests for 20 years. With new mobilization against Trump’s agenda, I’m sharing a thread summarizing my research on how nonviolent & violent actions by 1960s activists and police influenced media, elites, public opinion & voters. 1/ www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

06.02.2025 16:26 πŸ‘ 1854 πŸ” 735 πŸ’¬ 60 πŸ“Œ 142

Given the inability for any of these studies to randomize protests and ID the causal effect, the claim that protesting in the streets is "stupid" too certain for the evidence

06.02.2025 02:23 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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SEAREG Pre-Dissertation Fellowship | Duke Center for International Development The Fellowship assists social science Ph.D. students engaged in exploratory research who must travel to Southeast Asia in order to obtain the advanced contextual knowledg

If you are a Ph.D student studying SE Asia developing your prospectus, please consider this pre dissertation grant for fieldwork. The grant is up to $5000 and sponsored by the Southeast Asia Research Group (SEAREG). Feel free to contact me with any questions.

dcid.sanford.duke.edu/seareg-pre-d...

17.01.2025 20:32 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New summer reading:) Congrats @scottrw630.bsky.social! An awesome achievement πŸ₯³πŸ‘

09.12.2024 22:58 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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2024 Winter SEAREG Conference | Duke Center for International Development 2024 Winter SEAREG Conference - Duke Center for International Development

If you are near Boston from December 5-7, consider attending the Southeast Asia Research Group Annual Meeting (SEAREG). It features five outstanding fellows and cutting edge SEA research from top-SEA scholars. To attend, register here: dcid.sanford.duke.edu/seareg-2024-...

25.11.2024 23:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0