What effect did Taylor Swift's concerts really have on local economies? 🎤
This blog looks at new ONS analysis of consumer spending around major concerts and sporting events👇
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Evidence is a public good. Once generated, everyone can benefit.
This blog from @ioramashvili.bsky.social looks at why evaluation of local growth policy is underprovided, and how devolution could change that 👇
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📈Skills are an important driver of local productivity and output.
Our new briefing has been written to help local policymakers understand how to think about the skills performance of their local area and develop appropriate policies.
Read more 🔎👇
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Skills matter for productivity, yet the data landscape can feel overwhelming.
Our latest blog explains a simple framework to make sense of local skills demand and supply.
Read more 👉 buff.ly/F9y9OP3
Competition is an important driver of productivity as it can push businesses to become more efficient, innovative and productive.
But local government should think carefully about how to intervene.
Check out the latest blog👇
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In September the government published the last of eight sector plans in the industrial strategy, covering defence.
Our new blog gives suggestions for how places can think through support to local businesses in responding to these plans👇
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Capital is an important driver of productivity 📈
If businesses want to improve productivity, they might invest in new machinery to speed up production, or new software to tackle more complex and higher value tasks 💰
Read in full 👇
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In the first blog in our new series we provide an overview of skills and local growth—looking at policy levers available, things to consider, and useful resources.
This is a great primer to understanding how skills affect local growth and productivity👇
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With more flights than ever taking off from the UK, airport expansion is a hot topic ✈️
But what might expansion mean for local growth in the areas around airports? Our new blog discusses some of the issues to consider👇
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Local Growth Plans are a key part of the government’s growth strategy.
Devolution will need to generate jobs, investment and economic activity more than the sum of their parts – multipliers can help assess these wider benefits.
Read how in our new blog👇
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Enterprise zones 🎙️🎧
Deputy Director of Evidence Victoria Sutherland features on @centreforcities.bsky.social podcast to discuss our recent rapid evidence review on Enterprise Zones.
Listen to the podcast👇
As the evidence on this topic is limited, we recommend using our local employment multiplier toolkit instead when appraising potential local multiplier effects 👇 buff.ly/x8WXHYT
One challenge is that most of the evidence comes from studies looking at stimulus spending or cuts in spending so it’s not clear whether the findings carry over to day-to-day spend.
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Usually, multipliers are based on theoretical models and assumptions. We take a different approach – looking at evidence from policy evaluations.
We find that changes in public spending can have multiplier effects at the local level but there is not always an effect.
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Multipliers capture the impact that a change in activity in one part of the economy has on other parts of the economy.
For example, changes in public spending will have multiplier effects if public sector workers spend some of their income in the local economy.
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🆕 Rapid evidence review: Local multiplier effects of changes in public spending
We’ve published a new briefing on the local multiplier effects of changes in public spending.
Read in full 👇
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📍The IS-8 might not be right for your place
Local economies are not all the same, and economic strategy should never be a cookie cutter approach.
Read the blog 👇
✍️ Linking Appraisal and Evaluation: Lessons for Smarter Public Spending
In this guest blog Jeffrey Matsu, Chief Economist at CIPFA, highlights the link between appraisal and evaluation.
Read now👇
Designing and carrying out impact evaluation can be intimidating for policymakers.
Don’t be afraid of asking for help and support at any step of the process.
Read our new blog on the ninth step to better evaluation - Ask for help 👇
📌Are we too harsh on enterprise zones?
"We’ve been sceptical about the value of these programmes but if central government chooses to use these approaches, it makes sense for local areas to bid."
Read our latest blog for more👇
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Our recent guest blog from Dr Max Nathan also summarises recent research on public sector relocation 👇
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❓What might this do for local economies?
Our evidence briefing outlines how local policymakers can think about this 👇https://buff.ly/aLrrS1O
📢 Government will move thousands of civil service roles out of London, including opening new offices in Manchester focused on digital innovation, and in Aberdeen focused on energy.
We’re working on an evaluation of the UK EZs (more on this later in the year). We also need more evaluation of which (combinations of) policy levers are most effective, whether impacts vary across different types of area, and on cost-effectiveness.
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We previously looked at this policy in 2016. Whilst the evidence available has grown substantially over the last 9 years, there are still lots of gaps.
It’s also important to consider the distributional impacts. As with many local growth policies, the benefits of EZs are often capitalised into property values, benefiting property owners over renters.
Policymakers should be clear about their goals. Evidence is mixed on whether local residents benefit so, if this is the goal, an alternative approach may be more effective.
This may be because tax credits and other incentives generally result in small percentage changes in business costs and therefore do not change behaviour. EZs may also lead to displacement – shifting activity around, rather than generating new activity.
Policymakers should be realistic about the likely impacts of EZs. Only half of studies looking at business outcomes and a third of studies looking at labour market outcomes find a positive effect, (similarly) for other outcomes.
These policies have not yet been evaluated, but EZ programmes in other countries have. We’ve recently published a review of 53 evaluations, with around three-quarters from the US 👇
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