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The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

@washinstitute

Advancing a balanced and realistic understanding of American interests in the Middle East. (Reposts & Follows do not constitute endorsement.)

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Latest posts by The Washington Institute for Near East Policy @washinstitute

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Energy and Shipping Risks in the Iran War Four experts explain why reversing the conflict’s effects on oil and gas production and tanker traffic from the Gulf will likely take much longer than many people realize, with only limited supply alt...

Tanker traffic in and out of the Strait of Hormuz has slowed down. Both war risks and insurance costs are making companies hesitant to transit the strait, said maritime reporter Tomer Raanan.

Watch the full webcast:

11.03.2026 22:03 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Energy and Shipping Risks in the Iran War Four experts explain why reversing the conflict’s effects on oil and gas production and tanker traffic from the Gulf will likely take much longer than many people realize, with only limited supply alt...

Tanker traffic in and out of the Strait of Hormuz has slowed down. Both war risks and insurance costs are making companies hesitant to transit the strait, said maritime reporter
Tomer Raanan.

Watch the full webcast:

11.03.2026 22:01 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Energy and Shipping Risks in the Iran War Four experts explain why reversing the conflict’s effects on oil and gas production and tanker traffic from the Gulf will likely take much longer than many people realize, with only limited supply alt...

If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for the next few weeks, oil prices will increase to “levels we have never seen before,” said oil analyst Matt Smith.

Watch the full webcast:

11.03.2026 21:04 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

The Washington Institute recently launched the “Maritime Attacks in the MENA Region” map, a project by Noam Raydan
and Farzin Nadimi. The map covers attacks and incidents related to commercial vessels and warships in key chokepoints and waterways across the region since 2017.

Visit the map:

11.03.2026 20:35 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Markets plunge as price of oil reaches 4-year high
Markets plunge as price of oil reaches 4-year high YouTube video by CBS News

Due to Iran's threats, oil and gas are not moving through the Strait of Hormuz, Noam Raydan told CBS News.

Watch the full interview:

11.03.2026 20:32 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Energy and Shipping Risks in the Iran War Four experts explain why reversing the conflict’s effects on oil and gas production and tanker traffic from the Gulf will likely take much longer than many people realize, with only limited supply alt...

Iraq’s oil production has fallen, putting the country in a “very vulnerable” position since part of its budget relies on oil revenues, said energy reporter Lauren Holtmeier.

Watch the full webcast:

11.03.2026 20:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
What’s Next in the Iran War? 3 Things to Watch for
What’s Next in the Iran War? 3 Things to Watch for YouTube video by WashingtonInstitute

Iran expert @hdagres.bsky.social shares three key things she’s looking out for as the Iran war enters its second week, including the status of Tehran’s clerical establishment, possible defections within Iran's security apparatus, and the mood in the country.

Watch: www.youtube.com/shorts/M2b9y...

11.03.2026 16:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Iran keeps targeting Gulf states

Farzin Nadimi spoke with @france24.com about Iran’s attacks against Gulf countries, Tehran’s ballistic-missile program, and the fate of the IRGC.

11.03.2026 16:37 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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As the Iran war intensifies, oil prices continue to rise. Check out the “Maritime Attacks in the MENA Region” map, a project by Noam Raydan and Farzin Nadimi, to learn more about the conflict's impact on shipping and energy flows: www.washingtoninstitute.org/menamaritime/

10.03.2026 21:32 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Countering Threats from Iran’s Proxies and Partners During Wartime Join us for an expert conversation on Iranian proxies and their likelihood of escalation in light of Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iran. Watch live starting at 1:00 p.m. EDT (1700 GMT) on Thursday, Marc...

📺Join us on Thursday, March 12 at 1 PM ET for an expert conversation with Hanin Ghaddar, April Longley Alley, and Michael Knights on Iranian proxies and their likelihood of escalation in light of Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iran. David Schenker will moderate the event.

10.03.2026 19:58 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Video Expert analysis: What the latest Iran strikes could mean Former U.S. diplomat and sanctions expert Richard Nephew breaks down the strategic goals behind recent attacks involving Iran and what could come next.

If the Trump administration’s objective in Iran is regime change, “that’s going to probably require ground troops,” Institute expert @richardmnephew.bsky.social told ABC News.

10.03.2026 17:13 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Shipping and energy are at the heart of the Iran war. Visit the “Maritime Attacks in the MENA Region” map to understand the war's impact on energy flows.

Learn more: www.washingtoninstitute.org/menamaritime/

10.03.2026 16:33 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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US wants Kurdish boots on the ground in Iran. Why it’s not an easy ask. Once again, a crisis in the Middle East has the U.S. appealing for military help from the stateless Kurds, this time as boots-on-the-ground proxies in Iran. Affecting any desire to contribute is the m...

“The Iranian Kurds very much want to go home to topple the regime," David Schenker told @csmonitor.bsky.social. The Trump administration sees working with the Iranian Kurds' land forces "as a way to obviate the need for U.S. forces on the ground.”

10.03.2026 15:36 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Video What a 2nd week of war could mean for Iran Retired Army Col. Seth Krummrich and the Washington Institute's Mike Singh discuss the latest in the conflict with Iran.

“I think the key task for this week is to get oil flowing,” Michael Singh told ABC News. If oil doesn't start flowing, it will put "a lot of pressure on President Trump to do something to bring the war to an end.”

10.03.2026 15:25 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Great Power Spillover from the Iran War: Implications for China, Russia, Turkey, and Europe Washington Institute experts explain what U.S. officials and military planners should be on the lookout for as great power competitors and close allies outside the region consider their responses to t...

“Barring further Iranian attacks on its territory or a serious U.S.-Israeli effort to open a Kurdish front into Iran, Ankara will likely push for an end to the fighting once Washington and Tehran are ready,” writes Soner Cagaptay.

10.03.2026 14:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Video Hezbollah threat grows as Israel tensions escalate Hanin Ghaddar of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy assesses Hezbollah’s readiness, U.S. claims of “victory” and risks of wider regional war.

Hezbollah was "created more than 40 years ago to defend the Islamic regime" in Iran, "and that’s what they are doing,” Hanin Ghaddar told ABC News.

10.03.2026 14:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Great Power Spillover from the Iran War: Implications for China, Russia, Turkey, and Europe Washington Institute experts explain what U.S. officials and military planners should be on the lookout for as great power competitors and close allies outside the region consider their responses to t...

When Cyprus was struck by an Iranian-made drone earlier this week, Europe was drawn further into the Iran war. Should European countries play a military role in the conflict? Souhire Medini explains.

10.03.2026 14:23 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Wartime Role of Iran’s “Axis”: Countering Proxy and Terrorist Threats Washington Institute fellows assess how Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraq’s Hashd, and other Iranian proxies and allies are responding to the war, as well as how the Trump administration and partner govern...

“By creating another front for Israel, the IRGC’s goal is to divert some military pressure from Iran and signal that the regime will activate all of its regional proxies if allied attacks continue,” writes Hanin Ghaddar.

09.03.2026 23:02 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Video Hezbollah threat grows as Israel tensions escalate Hanin Ghaddar of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy assesses Hezbollah’s readiness, U.S. claims of “victory” and risks of wider regional war.

Hezbollah was "created more than 40 years ago to defend the Islamic regime" in Iran, "and that’s what they are doing,” Hanin Ghaddar told ABC News.

09.03.2026 21:21 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Wartime Role of Iran’s “Axis”: Countering Proxy and Terrorist Threats Washington Institute fellows assess how Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraq’s Hashd, and other Iranian proxies and allies are responding to the war, as well as how the Trump administration and partner govern...

“The more concerned Tehran becomes about the regime being toppled, the greater the likelihood it will employ external operations to raise the costs of the war and press for a ceasefire,” write Michael Jacobson and @mattlevitt.bsky.social.

09.03.2026 21:20 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Wartime Role of Iran’s “Axis”: Countering Proxy and Terrorist Threats Washington Institute fellows assess how Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraq’s Hashd, and other Iranian proxies and allies are responding to the war, as well as how the Trump administration and partner govern...

What will the Houthis do? April Longley Alley explains why the war is presenting Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi militia with hard choices.

09.03.2026 21:19 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Bombs can weaken Iran’s regime. They can’t replace it. - The Boston Globe Iran’s fractured opposition and years of repression make rapid regime change unlikely.

Targeting the Iranian regime by air alone is unlikely to achieve regime change.

But it might create the space within which an organized political opposition could coalesce to take on the clerical regime from within
@bostonglobe.com @washinstitute.bsky.social
www.bostonglobe.com/2026/03/09/o...

09.03.2026 09:50 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Contributor: Let’s not miss the huge opportunity for peace between Lebanon and Israel Washington has a second chance to do the right thing.

"Defeating Iran is the main goal of the current Middle East war, but Lebanon may offer the best opportunity for a breakthrough toward peace — if only President Trump would pay attention," writes Robert Satloff in the @latimes.com.

08.03.2026 16:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Wartime Role of Iran’s “Axis”: Countering Proxy and Terrorist Threats Washington Institute fellows assess how Hezbollah, the Houthis, Iraq’s Hashd, and other Iranian proxies and allies are responding to the war, as well as how the Trump administration and partner govern...

"Through it all, Israel will no doubt lean on the most unique element of this war: its unprecedented combined operations with the United States," writes Assaf Orion.

07.03.2026 20:38 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Confusion in Washington Spreads from the Top Down There is the fog of war, and then there is the Trump administration.

“Despite successes against Iranian missiles and air defence, Tehran’s arsenal has not been fully depleted,” writes Simon Henderson for the Arabian Gulf Business Insight.

07.03.2026 18:28 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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War Comes to the Gulf With Iran seemingly intent on continuing its strikes against Gulf targets and regional leaders mulling whether and how to respond, what can policymakers and military planners expect to see next in ter...

When Gulf states decide how to respond to Iran’s attacks, “Washington should be willing to support their choices and coordinate with them on their responses,” writes April Longley Alley.

07.03.2026 18:18 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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War Comes to the Gulf With Iran seemingly intent on continuing its strikes against Gulf targets and regional leaders mulling whether and how to respond, what can policymakers and military planners expect to see next in ter...

So far, Iran’s attacks on oil targets in the Gulf are part of a broader strategy of “applying graduated pressure, husbanding resources for a long conflict, roiling oil markets, and catalyzing opposition to the war in the United States and other countries,” writes Michael Eisenstadt.

07.03.2026 18:09 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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America and Israel’s War to Remake the Middle East The perils for the region—and the alliance.

It will be “increasingly difficult for U.S. military leaders to turn to Israel for help in times of both crisis and peace” if questions about the U.S.-Israel partnership continue to mount, writes Dana Stroul in @foreignaffairs.com. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

07.03.2026 17:48 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Great Power Spillover from the Iran War: Implications for China, Russia, Turkey, and Europe Washington Institute experts explain what U.S. officials and military planners should be on the lookout for as great power competitors and close allies outside the region consider their responses to t...

The Iran war benefits China on several fronts, so Beijing's posture is unlikely to change in the coming weeks, writes Henry Tugendhat.

07.03.2026 17:18 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Energy and Shipping Risks in the Iran War Join us for an expert webcast examining the Iran conflict's current and potential impacts on global commerce and energy. Watch live starting at 1:00 p.m. EDT (1700 GMT) on Monday, March 9, 2026.

The Middle East energy and shipping sectors are caught squarely in the middle of the Iran war. Tune in on Monday, March 9 at 1 PM ET for an expert webcast examining the war's current and potential impacts on global commerce and energy.

07.03.2026 17:12 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0