NAFO Forum - The Kremlin’s Useful Chaos: Troop Watch Data from the 1992-1994 Red Army Withdrawal from the Baltic Countries nafoforum.org/magazine/the...
03.03.2026 01:08
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For years, some of us kept insisting that propaganda and influence operations were not side issues but a real security problem for democratic societies.
Four years into this war, that argument is no longer fringe.
The harder question now is whether our response has matured as fast as the threat.
25.02.2026 11:31
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This creates an invisible and dangerous gap.
On one side sit institutions producing serious, painstaking research about how modern influence works.
On the other side are ordinary citizens living inside its effects without language to recognize them.
Between the two lies silence.
29.01.2026 13:03
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Yet the forces they describe shape political decisions, public moods, and sometimes the path toward conflict itself.
29.01.2026 13:03
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Most people will never read a 300-page government research report.
They will never encounter phrases like “active measures,” “hybrid influence,” or “reflexive control.” These words belong to analysts, not citizens.
29.01.2026 13:03
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A false claim appears online. It spreads quickly.
Journalists debunk it. Platforms remove it. Policymakers promise new safeguards.
Then the cycle repeats, often with a different narrative but the same sense of exhaustion.
28.01.2026 14:55
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Why influence is no longer about content - and why our defenses keep missing the system
For years, public debate about disinformation has followed a familiar pattern.
28.01.2026 14:55
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Yet almost immediately, attention shifted away from what the initiative claimed it would do and toward something more basic: how it was structured, who convened it, and where authority within it appeared to sit.
22.01.2026 13:01
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At this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos, a new structure was unveiled under the name “Board of Peace.”
It arrived with ceremony and with the kind of language that tends to accompany moments of global uncertainty.
22.01.2026 13:01
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The more useful question today is not why a particular story exists, but which operational system keeps producing similar stories, who pays for that system, which infrastructure allows it to function, and where it can be disrupted.
15.01.2026 19:55
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That reflex made sense when misinformation was mostly accidental or marginal. It breaks down in an environment shaped by foreign information manipulation and interference, where falsehoods do not appear randomly but are produced continuously by organised systems.
15.01.2026 19:55
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The machinery behind the message
When a false story appears online, the instinctive reaction is to ask whether it is true and who posted it.
15.01.2026 19:55
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13.01.2026 19:51
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10.01.2026 12:35
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As such, it is cautious in tone, dense in language, and deliberately avoids public facing rhetoric.
08.01.2026 11:59
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This document is not written for the public, journalists, or social media audiences. It is written to help decision makers understand how science, technology, and human behavior intersect in modern conflict.
08.01.2026 11:59
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The report was produced by NATO’s Science and Technology Organization, which exists to translate research into decision support for senior political and military leadership.
That context matters.
08.01.2026 11:59
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It tells us how NATO’s scientific and strategic community is now framing a problem that has been building for years but no longer fits older categories like propaganda, information warfare, or psychological operations.
08.01.2026 11:59
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The NATO Chief Scientist Research Report on Cognitive Warfare is not a political manifesto and it is not a declaration of new doctrine. It is best understood as a signal.
08.01.2026 11:59
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Instead, it operates inside everyday information flows, shaping how people perceive reality, how they interpret events, and how confident they feel in their own judgments.
08.01.2026 09:22
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It is already happening, mostly unnoticed, and largely misunderstood. What makes it difficult to recognize is that it does not look like war. There are no uniforms, no declarations, and no clear beginning or end.
08.01.2026 09:22
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Cognitive warfare is not a future threat and it is not a military theory waiting to be tested.
08.01.2026 09:22
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