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Sinem Adar

@sinemadar

Head (CATS/SWPBerlin & CATS Network), Co-Head of the Autocratisation Thematic Group @SWP. Views personal. Writes in EN/TR

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Latest posts by Sinem Adar @sinemadar

Preview
Why Iran wants a long war Iranโ€™s strategy, according to experts, is to keep widening the war with the U.S. and Israel and make it last as long as possible. Why?

Here is the full episode. Worth a listen!

www.wbur.org/onpoint/2026...

11.03.2026 20:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
History As It Happens โ€“ Bonus Ep! Turkey-Iran-Israel

I spoke to Martin Di Caro at History As It Happens about Iran, Turkey, Israel and a new Middle East.

Enjoy!

historyasithappens.supercast.com/subscriber_v...

11.03.2026 19:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ€˜Extraordinary crueltyโ€™: images show longterm โ€˜starvation strategyโ€™ in Sudan Experts argue sensor and satellite data reveal targeted attacks by the Rapid Support Forces on farming communities were intended to prevent villages producing food

โ€˜Extraordinary crueltyโ€™: images show longterm โ€˜starvation strategyโ€™ in Sudan

www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

10.03.2026 16:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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No, Turkey Is Not the New Iran Elevating Erdogan into an existential threat is dangerous and self-defeating for Israel.

My latest: No, Turkey Is Not the New Iran

Gift link: foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/09/i...

09.03.2026 16:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

For instance ๐Ÿ‘‡

09.03.2026 16:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Today, Ekrem Imamoglu stands trial on the most Kafkaesque allegation of establishing a " criminal organisation for illicit gain." The most threatening political rival to President Recep Tayyip ErdoฤŸan allegedly sought, through this purported network, +

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 41 ๐Ÿ” 16 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Turkey's Halkbank, U.S. Justice Department agree to resolve criminal charges, judge says The U.S. Justice Department has agreed โ€‹to resolve its long-running criminal prosecution of Turkish state-run lender Halkbank , the judge overseeing the case said in a court filing โ€Œon Monday, without...

, opens new tab, the judge overseeing the case said in a court filing โ€Œon Monday, without providing further details of the deal."

www.reuters.com/business/fin...

09.03.2026 15:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"The U.S. Justice Department has agreed โ€‹to resolve its long-running criminal prosecution of Turkish state-run lender Halkbank (HALKB.IS) [on fraud, money laundering and โ€‹conspiracy charges for allegedly helping Iran evade American economic sanctions.]

09.03.2026 15:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"A ballistic munition launched from Iran and entering Turkish airspace was neutralized by NATO air and missile defence assets deployed in the Eastern Mediterranean."

www.msb.gov.tr/SlaytHaber/0...

09.03.2026 13:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I would not be surprised if the Turkish deployment of F-16s to Northern Cyprus and sending of naval assets by Spain, Italy, the Netherlands and France to the island are coordinated events among the European components of NATO.

09.03.2026 08:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 18 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Good thread about Ekrem Imamoglu's (arrested presidential candidate of the main opposition party in Turkey) trial and what's at stake for the regime.

09.03.2026 12:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Excellent thread on what is at stake as Istanbul's jailed mayor, Ekrem Imamoglu, stands trial in Turkey.

09.03.2026 10:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 30 ๐Ÿ” 17 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thanks, Howard!

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Is the Trial of Erdoganโ€™s Top Rival More About Corruption or Politics?

Today, the long-expected trial of Erdogan's main political rival begins in Istanbul.

The NYT has a good review of the political stakes of the Imamoglu trial, including comments from @sinemadar.bsky.social

Gift link

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/w...

09.03.2026 10:41 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Polls consistently register deep dissatisfaction with economic conditions, and the public's appetite for political change has not disappeared โ€“ it has simply found no adequate vessel. AKP dominance, for now, looks solid. Whether it will prove equally durable is another matter.

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 17 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

the main opposition party is legally besieged, politically isolated, and structurally unable to force a confrontation on its own terms. Yet the verdict on Turkish society is less clear.

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Internal resignations and factional tensions compound the pressure. Ankara's lawfare has been less a single strike than a sustained campaign of institutional attrition.

The AKP government might not have succeeded in co-opting the CHP leadership; its domination test is working, however:

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The past one year has been one of intensive lawfare. ฤฐmamoฤŸlu has not been the only target. Employees of the Istanbul Municipality, numerous CHP mayors across the country, and the party leadership itself have been detained, brought to trial, or placed under investigation.

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

to enrich himself, seize control of the Republican People's Party (CHP), and secure his election as president. The charge sheet reads less like an indictment than a testament to what Ankara fears.

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Today, Ekrem Imamoglu stands trial on the most Kafkaesque allegation of establishing a " criminal organisation for illicit gain." The most threatening political rival to President Recep Tayyip ErdoฤŸan allegedly sought, through this purported network, +

09.03.2026 10:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 41 ๐Ÿ” 16 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

I would not be surprised if the Turkish deployment of F-16s to Northern Cyprus and sending of naval assets by Spain, Italy, the Netherlands and France to the island are coordinated events among the European components of NATO.

09.03.2026 08:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 18 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Oder weiter sรผdlich รผber Saudi-Arabien, Oman und Indien nach Sรผdostasien und Australien. "Mehr Mรถglichkeiten gibt es zurzeit nicht, um sicher nach Asien zu kommen", sagte Carsten Spohr wรคhrend seiner Pressekonferenz."

www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2...

08.03.2026 08:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"Geblieben sind deshalb nur zwei schmale Luftkorridore, die aus Europa รผber die nรถrdliche Tรผrkei, Armenien und Aserbaidschan nach Turkmenistan, Afghanistan und Pakistan fรผhren.

08.03.2026 08:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Wahrheit zum internationalen #Frauentag 2026.

08.03.2026 07:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 370 ๐Ÿ” 131 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Iraqi forces coordinate with KRG to secure Iran border QAMISHLI, Syria (North Press) โ€“ Iraqโ€™s Border Guard Forces said on Saturday they are coordinating with Kurdish security forces in the Kurdistan Region to

"Iraqโ€™s Border Guard Forces said on Saturday they are coordinating with Kurdish security forces in the Kurdistan Region to secure the border with Iran, denying reports of infiltration from Iraqi territory."

npasyria.com/en/136025/

08.03.2026 07:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Drone, missile attacks hit Erbil, Sulaimani sites, kill two Drone and missile attacks targeting sites in the Kurdistan Regionโ€™s Erbil and Sulaimani provinces late Saturday and early Sunday killed two people and wounded others, authorities said.

"Several drones targeted the Peshmerga Unit 70 Command, affiliated with the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), in Sulaimani.
[..]
Two additional drones targeted areas near the United Nations headquarters and the Turkish consulate in Sulaimani city."

www.rudaw.net/english/kurd...

08.03.2026 07:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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โ€˜It means missile defence on datacentresโ€™: drone strikes raise doubts over Gulf as AI superpower Iranโ€™s targeting of commercial datacentres in the UAE and Bahrain signals a new frontier in asymmetric warfare

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...

07.03.2026 15:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

โ€œWhether there was a military impact is unclear โ€“ but the strikes swiftly brought the war directly into the lives of 11 million people in the UAE, nine out of 10 of whom are foreign nationals. Amazon has advised its clients to secure their data away from the region.โ€

07.03.2026 15:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iranian strategy to raise the costs of this war for the US and its allies in the Gulf and in Europe seems to be working.

06.03.2026 18:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 38 ๐Ÿ” 14 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

This week was dire. Very tough for scholars from MENA who are studying/working abroad.

I am continually impressed by those who join our Zoom sessions despite so many challenges. This week a frequent participant defended her PhD dissertation!

Next week we begin Week 150. Email me if interested

07.03.2026 02:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0