Next 7 days severe risks in Arkansas
Forecast highs in Little Rock for the next 5 days
After this severe risk, Arkansas has a break from severe weather for a few days. Cooler air settles in briefly for Thursday behind Wednesday’s cold front.
Severe risk on Wednesday in Arkansas
WEDNESDAY HAZARDS: Once the storm mode becomes linear (i.e., once we have a line of storms), all modes of severe weather are still possible, but the damaging wind threat & the flooding threat become the main hazards.
Colder air moves in behind the line as a cold front ends our risk of severe weather. Once the cold front passes you on Wednesday, your severe risk is over.
HRRR forecast model in Arkansas Wednesday at 10am
HRRR forecast model in Arkansas Wednesday at 2pm
HRRR forecast model in Arkansas Wednesday at 10pm
WEDNESDAY TIMING: A line of showers and storms will move through from early Wednesday morning into possibly Wednesday evening for parts of the state. A line will move from the west/northwest to the east/southeast.
At times, this line will be very slow-moving.
Overall severe risk Tuesday into 6am Wednesday in Arkansas. All modes possible
Tornado risk for Arkansas on Tuesday into early Wednesday. The lined area shows while the risk is low, if a tornado sparks, it could be strong (possibly EF2+)
Hail risk for Arkansas Tuesday into early Wednesday. The lines show that while the risk of hail is low to very low, in western Arkansas, hail could reach up to 2" in diameter
The risk for damaging wind gusts in Arkansas Tuesday into early Wednesday is low to very low
TUESDAY HAZARDS: All types of severe weather are possible.
HRRR forecast model for Arkansas at 3am Wednesday
HRRR forecast model for Arkansas at 6am Wednesday
If the cap doesn’t break, the severe risk is mainly overnight and into Wednesday morning. A line of storms will push in from Oklahoma around or just after midnight, so you’ll want to have ways to receive local warning information before heading to bed tonight.
Severe risk late Tuesday and overnight into Wednesday in Arkansas
HRRR forecast model 2pm Tuesday in Arkansas
HRRR forecast model 8pm Tuesday in Arkansas
HRRR forecast model 11pm Tuesday in Arkansas
TODAY TIMING: It’s conditional. We’ll see isolated showers midday onward, but a few storms could pop this afternoon. Whether they can stay up & tap into the environment, or are unable to break the cap, is where the uncertainty is. If the cap breaks, we’ll have a severe risk this afternoon & evening
Arkansas Storm Team Alert Days Tuesday and Wednesday
Today, Tuesday, March 10, and tomorrow, Wednesday, March 11, we have declared Arkansas Storm Team Alert Days for the risk of severe weather.
quad-camera view across Arkansas Tuesday morning before sunrise
6:15am Arkansas temps on Tuesday
Visibility across Arkansas Tuesday morning at 6:15am
Tuesday's afternoon, evening, and overnight severe chances. All types of severe weather possible in Arkansas
6:15am Tuesday, March 10th:
Mostly cloudy, misty, muggy, and very warm this morning! It feels more like a summer morning than March 10th. Some of us are seeing a bit of patchy fog, a few communities could even be a little dense.
Remember, stay weather aware this afternoon, evening, and overnight!
Severe storm risk for the next 7 days in Arkansas
After that, we have a break in severe weather chances for a few days. A very low risk of storms returns this coming Sunday possibly, but we'll watch and see for now.
Wednesday severe risk in Arkansas
The storm mode becomes linear (i.e., a line of storms) Wednesday morning / through the day. The risk is over on Wednesday once the cold front passes. When linear, the severe hazards are mainly damaging wind gusts & flooding. A brief tornado is possible along the leading edge of the line.
The risk continues overnight, so you'll want to have ways to receive warning info that wakes you up set up before you head to bed Tuesday night. Again, all types of severe weather are possible overnight.
Tuesday severe risk in Arkansas
Severe threats late tuesday and Wednesday
Tuesday, if storms go up, all types of severe weather are possible. But there's an if because of the cap in place on Tuesday, so there's uncertainty. We may not see anything more than a few isolated showers on Tuesday. So, it's a conditional risk.
Tuesday and Wednesday are Arkansas Storm Team Alert Days
Tuesday (March 10) and Wednesday (March 11) are Arkansas Storm Team Alert Days for the potential for severe weather. All hazards are possible, especially late Tuesday into early Wednesday.
This watch is for the potential for large hail (1"-2.5" in diameter possible), damaging wind gusts, and a very low tornado risk. Have multiple ways to receive warning info for your location through the day.
NEW (8:45am Monday, 3/9):
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued until 3pm for parts of central & southern Arkansas. This includes Pulaski and Saline Counties, as well as communities like Hot Springs, Little Rock, Pine Bluff, Arkadelphia, Mena, Stuttgart, Camden, and El Dorado (to name a few).
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely to be issued soon. This Watch will highlight the risk of severe hail (1"+ in diamater hail) and damaging wind gusts. The tornado risk is very low, but not zero. Those in the red this morning, stay weather aware.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is likely to be issued soon. This Watch will highlight the risk of severe hail (1"+ in diamater hail) and damaging wind gusts. The tornado risk is very low, but not zero. Those in the red this morning, stay weather aware.
8:39am Monday, March 9
A new area from the SPC has been highlighted for parts of western and southern Arkansas ahead of a severe cluster of storms moving out of eastern Oklahoma and into Arkansas this morning.
From 9am-10am and 11am-11:30am, the Arkansas Storm Team will be live on our streaming platform KARKFOX16+. Until then, tune into FOX16 News Good Day with Meteorologist Pat Walker
Severe hail risk in Arkansas on Monday, March 9
Tornado risk on Monday, March 9, in Arkansas
Hail up to 2" in diameter is possible, as the SPC has used an Intensity Level 1 for hail in central and southern Arkansas today. There's still a damaging wind gust risk, and a very very low tornado risk can't be ruled out.
8:30am radar in eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas on Monday, March 9
8:30am Monday, March 9
An isolated risk of large hail is possible this morning in the highlighted area in parts of western and west-central Arkansas. Storms are firing in eastern Oklahoma, with one severe storm cluster approaching the state line, producing up to quarter-size hail.
Confirmed EF2 tornado west of Willisville, Arkansas, on Saturday, March 7
On Saturday morning, March 7, before sunrise, the first confirmed tornado in 2026 in Arkansas occurred in Nevada County just west of Willisville. It was rated an EF-2 with max wind speeds of 125mph and a path length of 2.73 miles.
1 person was injured in this nocturnal tornado...
severe risk Monday in Arkansas (March 9)
Severe hazards on Monday, March 9, in central and southern AR
Monday is an Arkansas Storm Team Alert Day. Download the free Arkansas Storm Team app for the latest updates
Monday, another risk of severe weather ignites in parts of Arkansas. Central & southern AR have a severe storm chance late morning/midday to early evening. As a result, Monday is an Arkansas Storm Team Alert Day.
Have ways to receive warning info for your location during this time frame
The tornado in Nevada County near Willisville, AR, around 5:50am, reportedly downed numerous trees, destroyed a barn, and destroyed a trailer. There was 1 injury with this tornado. This is per preliminary SPC storm reports. NWS Shreveport is the acting office, and will conduct a damage survey soon.
Possible tornado at 5:50am Saturday, March 7, near Willisville, Arkansas, sent in by Caleb Moss
Terrifying… A nocturnal view of possibly the tornado (or at least a lowering associated with the rotation that did produce a confirmed tornado in Nevada County, Arkansas) this morning near Willisville. Caleb Moss sent in this photo.
tornado watch until 8am in Arkansas
A Tornado Watch has been issued for the yellow-highlighted counties in Arkansas until 8am. Have multiple ways to receive warning info for your location, ways that would wake you up if needed. Christopher Pipkin and I are live on KARKFOX16+
The Arkansas Storm Team will be working around the clock during this event to keep you informed and aware. I’ll be in at 2am Saturday to keep you covered overnight.
Thread posted 11:30am Friday, March 6.
Questions after reading all that? Ask below, or send me a message.
Can’t point out where you are on the above maps in this thread? Add learning where your county is on a map and where your town is within that county to your to-do list today.
Tornado siren myths debunked
Overnight severe weather checklist
Where to find your tornado safe spot
The difference between a tornado watch, warning, and emergency
Going to bed tonight, have multiple ways to receive warning info that’ll wake you. Not talking about sirens. Your warning methods should never include sirens. Sirens are only used to alert those outdoors & they aren’t operated by NWS. Your phone, NOAA weather radio, tv, etc are good places to start.
The severe risk is highest in western Arkansas. However, the entire state has at least some level of severe risk tonight into tomorrow.
Many in central and eastern Arkansas won’t see any activity until Saturday (either pre-dawn, morning, or midday as the slow-moving system progresses).
