i just keep forgetting this place exists ๐ญ๐ญ but thank you!
i just keep forgetting this place exists ๐ญ๐ญ but thank you!
we're so back (and still no balloons lmao)
thank you!! :)
thank you :)
thank you!!
thank youu ๐ซถ
haven't stepped foot here in ages but let me take the chance to say your oomf has officially got his master's degree!
hello how's the flow
HEYEAYEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH
the neighbouring app is down hello dear people how's the family
uploading onto bluesky too i see the vision tell me you see the vision too
sissal-hallucination
sissal-hallucination
three day break from my internship starts now great things are coming (panicking over festival da canรงรฃo)
tap tap is this thing still on
flag emojis continue being awful
so my bluesky moots don't miss out:
as a jobless eurofan i have decided to simulate tomorrow's allocation draw through a picker wheel. here are the results
SF1
1st half: ๐จ๐ฟ๐๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ฟ๐ฌ๐ท๐ณ๐ด
2nd half: ๐ฒ๐น๐ฆ๐บ๐ง๐ช๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐ธ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐น
also voting: ๐ช๐ธ๐ฌ๐ง๐จ๐ญ
SF2
1st half: ๐ต๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ช๐ฒ๐ช๐ต๐น๐ฑ๐ป๐ฆ๐ฒ๐จ๐พ๐ธ๐ช
2nd half: ๐ช๐ช๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ฑ๐น๐ฌ๐ช๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ท๐ฑ๐บ
also voting: ๐ฉ๐ช๐ซ๐ท๐ฎ๐น
festival da canรงรฃo
and what a day it would continue to be
wow what a day. i know it's still morning but wow what a day it's already been
make me dizzy from your big mac
will you take my fries and spin them
round and round until the ketchup never endsss
(also oh my god will someone please make flag emojis work on this platform for once. i hope you all know two-letter country codes by heart to decipher this)
full table of averages between each 2025 semifinalist in the televoting from 2014 forward. the two-letter code columns mean the average points given while the full name rows equate to the points received (e.g. Albania has given Armenia in average 2.00 televote points)
and that concludes the first bruno stats thread of 2025! hope you enjoyed these pot simulations and for those curious i'll leave you with a scoreboard with all the televoting point avgs given/received from 2014 forward (only the 2025 semifinalists). see you next time for more x
if i were to predict on the 2025 pots myself, i doubt much changes from last year. my guess is ๐ฒ๐ช will replace ๐จ๐ญ in pot 1 and ๐ธ๐ช clearly fills their vacant spot in pot 2. going back to a 6-pot distribution like in 2022 would make it more unpredictable but i doubt it will happen
this last distribution set does seem to strengthen the groups' average point trades by limiting outsiders in and does bring closer countries which would make more sense to be together in a pot (e.g. ๐ฑ๐บ in the same pot as ๐ง๐ช and ๐ณ๐ฑ). but as always that's up to the ebu to decide!
how about a 6-pot distribution, you ask? let's apply the same standards but with a 6 country limit on each pot!
POT 1: ๐ฆ๐น ๐ญ๐ท ๐ฒ๐ช ๐ท๐ธ ๐ธ๐ฎ (6.72)
POT 2: ๐ช๐ช ๐ซ๐ฎ ๐ฎ๐ช ๐ฑ๐ป ๐ฑ๐น (5.86)
POT 3: ๐ฆ๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐ฒ ๐จ๐พ ๐ฌ๐ช ๐ฌ๐ท (5.34)
POT 4: ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ฉ๐ฐ ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ฒ๐น ๐ณ๐ด ๐ธ๐ช (5.26)
POT 5: ๐ง๐ช ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ฑ๐บ ๐ณ๐ฑ ๐ต๐น (4.54)
POT 6: ๐ฆ๐ฟ ๐จ๐ฟ ๐ฒ๐ฉ ๐ต๐ฑ ๐ธ๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฆ (4.42)
this last pot has mostly been brought together by their love for ๐บ๐ฆ, which is stronger in ๐ต๐ฑ (9.7), ๐ฒ๐ฉ (7.8) and ๐จ๐ฟ (7). ๐ง๐ช๐ณ๐ฑ seem lost by themselves at first glance with a 8.7 average point trade but they maintain healthy relations with ๐ต๐ฑ (especially ๐ง๐ช with a 5.45 average)
POT 5
๐ฆ๐ฟ azerbaijan
๐ง๐ช belgium
๐จ๐ฟ czechia
๐ฒ๐ฉ moldova
๐ณ๐ฑ netherlands
๐ต๐ฑ poland
๐บ๐ฆ ukraine
average point trade: 4.16
the ๐จ๐พ๐ฌ๐ท 11.76 point trade is unbeatable followed by ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ช with 9.81 but ๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ฌ๐ท are also looking strong with 7.82 while ๐ฌ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฒ also maintain a healthy 5.66 avg. meanwhile ๐ธ๐ฒ's addition to the pot was helped by the fact their aggregate televote is heavily based on ๐จ๐พ๐ฌ๐ท voting patterns
POT 4
๐ฆ๐ฑ albania
๐ฆ๐ฒ armenia
๐จ๐พ cyprus
๐ฌ๐ช georgia
๐ฌ๐ท greece
๐ธ๐ฒ san marino
average point trade: 4.40