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Simon Hix

@simonhix

Stein Rokkan Chair in Comparative Politics, EUI. President-Elect, @epssnet.bsky.social. FBA, FRSA. Democracy, parties, elections, electoral systems etc. Live music. COYI

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Latest posts by Simon Hix @simonhix

Yeah, yeah. @tomtheuns.bsky.social already made that point πŸ˜“

09.03.2026 17:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Touché 🀣

09.03.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Not really

09.03.2026 09:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And similar dynamics in Austria for many years, where FPΓ– became the only opposition to the grand coalition

09.03.2026 08:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I missed that. Thought they weren’t going to make it. Thanks.

09.03.2026 07:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

There will now be only 3 parties in the Baden-Wutemberg Landtag: Greens, CDU, and AfD. With Greens and CDU likely to continue in government, AfD will become the only opposition. That could have dramatic implications for future elections in the state.

09.03.2026 07:48 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Italy claim historic first victory over England as Borthwick’s men are rattled in Rome At the 33rd time of asking Italy finally beat England, claiming a 23-18 Six Nations victory in Rome

Bravo Azzurri! Well deserved.

Instead of "England in crisis", the emphasis should be on how Italian rugby has crossed a major threshold. And the contrast with the poor state of Italian football is also culturally fascinating.
www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/m...

07.03.2026 19:10 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
Post image

Gorton and Denton: the bloc vote sums

β€’ Green + Lab + LD 2024 β†’ 2026

β€’ Cons + Brexit/Reform 2019 β†’ 2026

make one wonder if there's less than what meets the debate's eye on the finer points of party ideology or candidate quality.

Different elections, turnover in the active electorate, and yet.

06.03.2026 10:43 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This will be the 3rd edition. If you study pol. behaviour and work on #CEE, this is the right place to present your research. Dates: June 25-26. Discussants include @simonhix.bsky.social & @eliasdinas.bsky.social. Highlight: roundtable on dem. erosion with H. Kriesi, M. Svolik & N. Wunsch.

05.03.2026 15:30 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
A picture of PEW poll on global attitude survey, saying the % who rate the morality and ethics of people in their country as good vs bad, where the US has the worst rankings and Canada the best

A picture of PEW poll on global attitude survey, saying the % who rate the morality and ethics of people in their country as good vs bad, where the US has the worst rankings and Canada the best

Americans: we live in a fallen stateβ€”embroiled by sin, cheating, lying, and evil. You cannot trust anyone, not even those who claim to know you best

Canadians: I love my neighbors and my friends!

05.03.2026 16:09 πŸ‘ 5976 πŸ” 1564 πŸ’¬ 291 πŸ“Œ 532

I meant "Davos", of course!

04.03.2026 15:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I agree. And Canada's limp response too, which seemed odd after the Davis speech. It's not like the US didn't flag this with the armed forces build up in the region in the last few weeks. Can't really understand how the E3+Canada were caught napping.

04.03.2026 15:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Sanchez πŸ’ͺ

04.03.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Trump belittles Starmer with 'no Churchill' jibe but can the special relationship recover? The remarks came amid a row over the refusal to permit the use of UK bases for the initial US-Israel strikes.

β€œAnd you, sir, are certainly no FDR” … although Starmer is too weak to say anything like that
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

04.03.2026 06:41 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1

Absolutely. And, of course, the SD strategy in DK might make sense from a β€œbloc politics” perspective, if it means expanding the overall votes of the Red block. But, that logic doesn’t work in the UK FPTP system.

03.03.2026 17:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

That "Danish Model" he went for is paying off in Denmark too, latest polls:
SD : 22.1% (-5.4)
SF : 13.2% (+4.9)

Exactly three weeks from an election

03.03.2026 15:19 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Our latest voting intention (1-2 March 2026) has the Greens on their highest figure ever recorded by YouGov, significantly ahead of Labour, who are on their lowest figure to date

Reform UK: 23% (-1 from 22-23 Feb)
Greens: 21% (+4)
Conservatives: 16% (-2)
Labour: 16% (-2)
Lib Dems: 14% (=)

03.03.2026 09:33 πŸ‘ 75 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 22

Congratulations Ingvild. So great to see this paper in print. It deserves to be widely read and widely cited. πŸ‘

03.03.2026 12:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Green Gender Gap: Environmental attitudes and pro-environmental vote choice across Europe Does gender matter for how we engage with green political ideas? Using more than twenty years of data across 36 European countries, this paper identif…

Still controlling for gender without thinking about why? You can cite meπŸ’šπŸ‘©β€πŸ”¬πŸ’š

I show that the gender gap in progressive climate and environmental views is a persistent empirical regularity that cannot be explained by differences in socioeconomic background, political ideology, or risk aversion.

03.03.2026 10:56 πŸ‘ 62 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 3

How’s that move rightwards on immigration working out for you Sir Keir?

03.03.2026 07:00 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

For now this is just one poll. But if this trend continues the current FPTP voting system makes no sense anymore.

If you add the SNP and Plaid Cymru to the mix we might end up with a completely random result at the next elections. Which will undermine trust in the U.K. democracy even further.

03.03.2026 06:56 πŸ‘ 205 πŸ” 56 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 6
Political cartoon about the Expatriation Act of 1907, which revoked the citizenship of women who married non-citizens.

Political cartoon about the Expatriation Act of 1907, which revoked the citizenship of women who married non-citizens.

#ResistanceRoots
#WomensHistoryMonth

Today in history, 1907: Congress passes the Expatriation Act, which stripped American-born women of their citizenship if they married a non-citizen. A woman had to adopt her husband’s nationality, effectively making her a stateless alien in her own country. /1

03.03.2026 01:50 πŸ‘ 93 πŸ” 72 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 3

Maybe, but that's not the claim most people are making today. Their argument is that these voters have switched in the last few years from Labour to Reform. There is little evidence of that.

02.03.2026 07:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is also supported by individual level data, which shows Labour losing more voters to the Greens than to Reform. The rise of Reform in traditional Labour areas does not mean that Labour voters in those places are all shifting to Reform. That’s an ecological fallacy (cf. @tabouchadi.bsky.social)

01.03.2026 16:44 πŸ‘ 50 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

Well, no, they’re not just as wrong. The bigger error is not seeing that β€œtrying to win over voters from a party on the opposite end of the spectrum, whose values your core voters oppose” is not same as β€œchasing voters from party on same side ideologically whose values your core voters like.”

28.02.2026 19:00 πŸ‘ 1080 πŸ” 246 πŸ’¬ 72 πŸ“Œ 1

Also Starmer (and Badenoch, but no surprise there) adopting Goodwin's "sectarianism" framing.. ugly stuff.

27.02.2026 21:17 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

This is from Keir Starmer’s letter to Labour MPs today. This sort of stuff is shockingly partisan and nasty. It will only backfire with voters who switched to Green or are thinking of switching.

27.02.2026 21:06 πŸ‘ 90 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 3

Looks like us β€˜bloc politics’ people were on to something after all ;)

benansell.substack.com/p/british-po...

27.02.2026 08:15 πŸ‘ 77 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1

With Labour as SDLP, and the party to the left of UK Lab and SDLP has the same political colour πŸ˜‰

27.02.2026 11:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Oxford Abstracts Delegate Registration

πŸ“’ Registration Reminder for EPSS Belfast 2026

If you haven't registered already, please note that the registration deadline for the EPSS Belfast Conference is Friday, 13 March πŸ‘‡πŸΌ

Register here: app.oxfordabstracts.com/register/eve...

25.02.2026 12:26 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0