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@worldelections

๐ŸŒ Online Campaign Monitor | ๐Ÿ“Š Democracy Educator I post close to daily about campaigns and elections in democracies. I post about campaign news over psephology. I love psephology but so many folks do that so well already.

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28.12.2024
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Latest posts by World Elections @worldelections

Preview
Federal Workers Sue Trump Administration Over Schedule F Executive Order Read more here.

NEW: President Trump signed an executive order known as "Schedule F" that strips thousands of federal employees of job protections, making it easier to dismiss them for political disloyalty. Federal workers have sued challenging the order.

21.01.2025 17:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 1719 ๐Ÿ” 533 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 96 ๐Ÿ“Œ 46
Preview
Trump Is Already Challenging the Rule of Law Within hours of starting his second term, President Trump issued orders that raise significant concerns about how he may degrade the rule of law.

Within hours of starting his second term, President Trump issued a number of executive orders that raise significant concerns about how he may degrade the rule of law.

Read more in todayโ€™s Daily Review:

21.01.2025 17:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Consequential State Elections to Watch In 2025 Off-year state races are often a bellwether for the next federal election cycle.

Every year is an election year.

Hereโ€™s a look at the state races weโ€™re keeping an eye on in 2025.

02.01.2025 00:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 1389 ๐Ÿ” 427 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 19 ๐Ÿ“Œ 23

In contrast, centre right, centre left and left parties are using online engagement or high visibility more than directly persuading voters. High visibility which did not translate to votes in many cases. Online participation, has not translated to competing with the other parties online. ๐Ÿ”š

02.01.2025 00:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

These Bรผrgerdialoges are guide discussions to encourage deep participation through workshops, problem-solving, and answering qualitative questions. This led to an ask to attend a rally. A rally in Magdeburg recently drew over 20,000 participants.

02.01.2025 00:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

3. They do a series of Bรผrgerdialoge, or citizen juries. A recent one in Essen had ~200 attendees, allowing for direct interaction between party reps and citizens.๐Ÿงต#GermanyVotes

02.01.2025 00:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

2. In Thuringia, the AfD has hosted Bรผrgerdialoge (citizen dialogues) in small towns like Leinefelde-Worbis. Populist themes of immigration, national identity, critiques of the political establishment used in events to recruit voters and volunteers ๐Ÿงต#GermanyVotes

02.01.2025 00:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Many talking about AfDโ€™s campaign tactics on TikTok as the only driving force are overlooking direct voter contact events they have engaged with, normally a strength of the left, and whose tactics SPD and the left are leaving behind in campaigns in favour of high visibility rallies.๐Ÿงต#GermanyVotes

02.01.2025 00:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

How is TikTok shaping the future of German politics? ๐Ÿ“Š With the AfD leading young voters and other parties scrambling to catch up, TikTok is the new battleground. See latest TikTok stats for Germanyโ€™s parties ahead of #btw25 #GermanyVotesโ€

29.12.2024 05:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Look at the massive jump to AFD.

โšซ๏ธ AfD surges in state elections, winning Thuringia gaining ground in Saxony (30.8%).
โšซ๏ธKey support: younger voters, disaffected conservatives, and those seeking alternatives to mainstream parties.
โšซ๏ธClassified as extremist by intelligence agencies. #GermanyVotes

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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๐Ÿฅˆis SPD ๐ŸŒน

๐ŸŒนSPD sees mixed results in state elections.
๐ŸŒนRetained top spot in Brandenburg (31%) but lost ground in Thuringia and Saxony to AfD.
๐ŸŒนKey supporters: urban voters, working class, older demographics.
๐ŸŒนStruggling to hold its base amid rising populism. #GermanyVotes

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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CSU in ๐Ÿฅ‰

๐ŸงขAppeals to conservatives and centrists.
๐ŸงขPopular among older voters and middle-class professionals.
๐ŸงขStrong ties to Christian values but more moderate than CSU.
๐ŸงขFocuses on economic stability and pro-business policies.
๐ŸงขSeen as a broad โ€œcatch-allโ€ party for mainstream voters.

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Coming 4th is FDP.

๐ŸŸกFDP struggles in state elections.
๐ŸŸกFailed to pass the 5% threshold in Thuringia and Saxony (Sept 2024).
๐ŸŸกKey supporters: business professionals, higher-income voters, urban areas.
๐ŸŸกConcerns grow over the partyโ€™s future influence. #GermanyVotes

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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More followers but 5th in likes is Die Lรญnke. ๐Ÿšฉ

๐ŸšฉStrongest in Eastern Germany but losing ground (Thuringia: 13.1% in 2024, down from 31% in 2019).
๐ŸšฉYounger, urban, and working-class voters key supporters.
๐ŸšฉLosing voters to new parties like Wagenknechtโ€™s BSW. #GermanyVotes

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Coming in 6th place in likes and follows is the greens ๐ŸŒฟ

๐ŸŒฟThe Greens face setbacks in state elections.
๐ŸŒฟFailed to reach 5% in Thuringia and Brandenburg (Sept 24).
๐ŸŒฟKey support: urban, young, eco-conscious, and social liberals.
๐ŸŒฟParty leaders resigned after poor results. #GermanyVotes

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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CDU with lowest likes and follows.

๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธPopular among older voters and middle-class professionals.
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธStrong ties to Christian values but more moderate than CSU.
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธFocuses on economic stability and pro-business policies.
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธSeen as a broad โ€œcatch-allโ€ party for mainstream voters.

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So what followings are we seeing now after the state elections on TikTok?

Itโ€™s worthwhile to look at likes rather than just followers. Here are the accounts from lowest likes to most.

29.12.2024 05:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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TikTok played a major role in making the far-right AfD the most popular party among 18-24-year-olds in Germany. According to pollster @infratestdimap
the AfD is lead this age group by a large margin. Many political analysts pointing to TikTokโ€™s influence as a key factor. #GermanyVotes #btw25

29.12.2024 05:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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TikTok played a major role in making the far-right AfD the most popular party among 18-24-year-olds in Germany. According to pollster @infratestdimap the AfD is leading this age group by a large margin. Many analysts pointing to TikTokโ€™s influence as a key factor. #GermanyVotes #btw25

29.12.2024 04:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 20% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
GRรœNE-G/EFA: 12% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 7% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 20-23 December 2024

Fieldwork: 23-27 December 2024
Sample size: 1,002

โžค europeelects.eu/germany

#btw25 #Bundestag #wahlen

28.12.2024 23:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Germanyโ€™s campaign style: structured, policy-driven, and coalition-oriented. Could this approach work in your country? ๐Ÿค” #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
SPD rally. A crowd of people in face masks. SPD flags are raised.

SPD rally. A crowd of people in face masks. SPD flags are raised.

7๏ธโƒฃ Voluntary voting = campaigns geared towards energizing core supporters. With proportional representation, itโ€™s all about coalitions and broad issue coverag. ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ ๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
SPD election event. 3 people stand in front of large step and repeat backdrop emblazoned with SPD logos. A large group of press are in foreground

SPD election event. 3 people stand in front of large step and repeat backdrop emblazoned with SPD logos. A large group of press are in foreground

6๏ธโƒฃ Policy is king. Discussions happen in town halls and issue-focused events, not on the streets. ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ ๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Three people posing for a photo with very large posters, for greens, SDP and CDU

Three people posing for a photo with very large posters, for greens, SDP and CDU

5๏ธโƒฃ Campaigning via posters, rallies, and forums. Germany has the strictest data privacy laws globally. Political parties cannot access voter contact details without explicit consent. This means no database for field campaigning like the US.๐ŸšชโŒ ๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

4๏ธโƒฃ TV debates like the โ€œTriellโ€ are pivotal. Leaders battle it out in front of the nation, shaping opinions in real-time. But only debates in 2021 were poorly engaged by voters;
1st: ~ 6.75%
2nd: ~ 13.25%
3rd: ~ 4.82%
๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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3๏ธโƒฃ Strict campaign financing laws keep things low-budget and reduce high budget tactics. Posters and outdoor messaging is ubiquitous. Money is used for events and town halls. Limited use of commercials ๐Ÿ’ถ ๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

2๏ธโƒฃ The mixed-member proportional system means two campaigns targets.
โ€ข The voters
โ€ข Potential coalition partners.
Future coalition negotiations are front of mind which results in changing or softening policy positions ๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

1๏ธโƒฃ Campaigns ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช are focus more on party than candidates (except for Chancellor hopefuls) and more on manifestos, policies, and ideology. The campaigns feature no personal story on candidates and instead on more subdued policy discussion compared to US and UK. ๐Ÿงต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25

29.12.2024 02:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What do campaigns in Germany look like? How do they compare to the US or UK? Here is a ๐Ÿงต

29.12.2024 02:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Germanyโ€™s election is scheduled in February next year. Hereโ€™s a thread ๐Ÿงต on the parties, political environment and political system.

28.12.2024 12:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0