NEW: President Trump signed an executive order known as "Schedule F" that strips thousands of federal employees of job protections, making it easier to dismiss them for political disloyalty. Federal workers have sued challenging the order.
@worldelections
๐ Online Campaign Monitor | ๐ Democracy Educator I post close to daily about campaigns and elections in democracies. I post about campaign news over psephology. I love psephology but so many folks do that so well already.
NEW: President Trump signed an executive order known as "Schedule F" that strips thousands of federal employees of job protections, making it easier to dismiss them for political disloyalty. Federal workers have sued challenging the order.
Within hours of starting his second term, President Trump issued a number of executive orders that raise significant concerns about how he may degrade the rule of law.
Read more in todayโs Daily Review:
Every year is an election year.
Hereโs a look at the state races weโre keeping an eye on in 2025.
In contrast, centre right, centre left and left parties are using online engagement or high visibility more than directly persuading voters. High visibility which did not translate to votes in many cases. Online participation, has not translated to competing with the other parties online. ๐
These Bรผrgerdialoges are guide discussions to encourage deep participation through workshops, problem-solving, and answering qualitative questions. This led to an ask to attend a rally. A rally in Magdeburg recently drew over 20,000 participants.
3. They do a series of Bรผrgerdialoge, or citizen juries. A recent one in Essen had ~200 attendees, allowing for direct interaction between party reps and citizens.๐งต#GermanyVotes
2. In Thuringia, the AfD has hosted Bรผrgerdialoge (citizen dialogues) in small towns like Leinefelde-Worbis. Populist themes of immigration, national identity, critiques of the political establishment used in events to recruit voters and volunteers ๐งต#GermanyVotes
Many talking about AfDโs campaign tactics on TikTok as the only driving force are overlooking direct voter contact events they have engaged with, normally a strength of the left, and whose tactics SPD and the left are leaving behind in campaigns in favour of high visibility rallies.๐งต#GermanyVotes
How is TikTok shaping the future of German politics? ๐ With the AfD leading young voters and other parties scrambling to catch up, TikTok is the new battleground. See latest TikTok stats for Germanyโs parties ahead of #btw25 #GermanyVotesโ
Look at the massive jump to AFD.
โซ๏ธ AfD surges in state elections, winning Thuringia gaining ground in Saxony (30.8%).
โซ๏ธKey support: younger voters, disaffected conservatives, and those seeking alternatives to mainstream parties.
โซ๏ธClassified as extremist by intelligence agencies. #GermanyVotes
๐ฅis SPD ๐น
๐นSPD sees mixed results in state elections.
๐นRetained top spot in Brandenburg (31%) but lost ground in Thuringia and Saxony to AfD.
๐นKey supporters: urban voters, working class, older demographics.
๐นStruggling to hold its base amid rising populism. #GermanyVotes
CSU in ๐ฅ
๐งขAppeals to conservatives and centrists.
๐งขPopular among older voters and middle-class professionals.
๐งขStrong ties to Christian values but more moderate than CSU.
๐งขFocuses on economic stability and pro-business policies.
๐งขSeen as a broad โcatch-allโ party for mainstream voters.
Coming 4th is FDP.
๐กFDP struggles in state elections.
๐กFailed to pass the 5% threshold in Thuringia and Saxony (Sept 2024).
๐กKey supporters: business professionals, higher-income voters, urban areas.
๐กConcerns grow over the partyโs future influence. #GermanyVotes
More followers but 5th in likes is Die Lรญnke. ๐ฉ
๐ฉStrongest in Eastern Germany but losing ground (Thuringia: 13.1% in 2024, down from 31% in 2019).
๐ฉYounger, urban, and working-class voters key supporters.
๐ฉLosing voters to new parties like Wagenknechtโs BSW. #GermanyVotes
Coming in 6th place in likes and follows is the greens ๐ฟ
๐ฟThe Greens face setbacks in state elections.
๐ฟFailed to reach 5% in Thuringia and Brandenburg (Sept 24).
๐ฟKey support: urban, young, eco-conscious, and social liberals.
๐ฟParty leaders resigned after poor results. #GermanyVotes
CDU with lowest likes and follows.
๐ณ๏ธPopular among older voters and middle-class professionals.
๐ณ๏ธStrong ties to Christian values but more moderate than CSU.
๐ณ๏ธFocuses on economic stability and pro-business policies.
๐ณ๏ธSeen as a broad โcatch-allโ party for mainstream voters.
So what followings are we seeing now after the state elections on TikTok?
Itโs worthwhile to look at likes rather than just followers. Here are the accounts from lowest likes to most.
TikTok played a major role in making the far-right AfD the most popular party among 18-24-year-olds in Germany. According to pollster @infratestdimap
the AfD is lead this age group by a large margin. Many political analysts pointing to TikTokโs influence as a key factor. #GermanyVotes #btw25
TikTok played a major role in making the far-right AfD the most popular party among 18-24-year-olds in Germany. According to pollster @infratestdimap the AfD is leading this age group by a large margin. Many analysts pointing to TikTokโs influence as a key factor. #GermanyVotes #btw25
Germany, INSA poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 31%
AfD-ESN: 20% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
GRรNE-G/EFA: 12% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 7% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
+/- vs. 20-23 December 2024
Fieldwork: 23-27 December 2024
Sample size: 1,002
โค europeelects.eu/germany
#btw25 #Bundestag #wahlen
Germanyโs campaign style: structured, policy-driven, and coalition-oriented. Could this approach work in your country? ๐ค #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
SPD rally. A crowd of people in face masks. SPD flags are raised.
7๏ธโฃ Voluntary voting = campaigns geared towards energizing core supporters. With proportional representation, itโs all about coalitions and broad issue coverag. ๐ณ๏ธ ๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
SPD election event. 3 people stand in front of large step and repeat backdrop emblazoned with SPD logos. A large group of press are in foreground
6๏ธโฃ Policy is king. Discussions happen in town halls and issue-focused events, not on the streets. ๐ฃ๏ธ ๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
Three people posing for a photo with very large posters, for greens, SDP and CDU
5๏ธโฃ Campaigning via posters, rallies, and forums. Germany has the strictest data privacy laws globally. Political parties cannot access voter contact details without explicit consent. This means no database for field campaigning like the US.๐ชโ ๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
4๏ธโฃ TV debates like the โTriellโ are pivotal. Leaders battle it out in front of the nation, shaping opinions in real-time. But only debates in 2021 were poorly engaged by voters;
1st: ~ 6.75%
2nd: ~ 13.25%
3rd: ~ 4.82%
๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
3๏ธโฃ Strict campaign financing laws keep things low-budget and reduce high budget tactics. Posters and outdoor messaging is ubiquitous. Money is used for events and town halls. Limited use of commercials ๐ถ ๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
2๏ธโฃ The mixed-member proportional system means two campaigns targets.
โข The voters
โข Potential coalition partners.
Future coalition negotiations are front of mind which results in changing or softening policy positions ๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
1๏ธโฃ Campaigns ๐ฉ๐ช are focus more on party than candidates (except for Chancellor hopefuls) and more on manifestos, policies, and ideology. The campaigns feature no personal story on candidates and instead on more subdued policy discussion compared to US and UK. ๐งต #GermanyVotes #Elections #btw25
What do campaigns in Germany look like? How do they compare to the US or UK? Here is a ๐งต
Germanyโs election is scheduled in February next year. Hereโs a thread ๐งต on the parties, political environment and political system.