Martin Justin

This paper (with @martinjustin.bsky.social) grew out of the Miščević memorial conferences in Rijeka and Maribor and connects Nenad's idea of reflective luck to our coherence modeling work. It was recently published in Analiza. Link here if of interest: journals.um.si/index.php/an...

I forgot Connor's plan for his ambassadorship in Slovenia was to revive the Austro-Hungarian Empire. Good stuff.

Coherence as a constraint on scientific inquiry - Synthese We investigate the epistemic role of coherence in scientific reasoning, focusing on its use as a heuristic for filtering evidence. Using a novel computational model based on Bayesian networks, we simulate agents who update their beliefs under varying levels of noise and bias. Some agents treat reductions in coherence as higher-order evidence and interpret such drops as signals that something has gone epistemically awry, even when the source of error is unclear. Our results show that this strategy can improve belief accuracy in noisy environments but tends to mislead when evidence is systematically biased. We explore the implications for the rationality of coherence-based reasoning in science.

Just published: Coherence as a Constraint on Scientific Inquiry, Synthese (with @martinjustin.bsky.social).
TL,DR: coherence considerations can be good or bad in scientific inquiry. Our paper suggests how to determine when it is the former rather than the latter.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...

A nice paper by my friend Matteo about how demagogues lie (and how they don't).

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Rewatching Succession for the second time and it still slaps.

A street in Bilbao, Spain.

This feels like the correct road–cycling line–tramline–sidewalk ratio.

A page from Henry James' The Bostonians (1886).

I've been reading The Bostonians and either Henry James had incredible foresight or the anti-feminists have actually been making the same arguments for circa 150 years.

We have a new paper out with Borut! It shows that filtering incoherent evidence might be useful for screening random noise, but a rather bad idea if someone wants to mislead you.

Philosophy is structurally unable to acknowledge that "I dunno, man, maybe?" is objectively speaking the correct answer to most of our questions.

I now have a pet theory about Trump doing well among young men: apparently, investing in the stock market makes you more right-wing and young people, especially men, are now much more likely to invest as in 2015.

I was a bit intimidated for my first @epsaphilsci.bsky.social biennial conference but I'm happy to report that it was genuinely very fun.

Gabriel (@gabrieltarziu.bsky.social) and I are guest editing a topical collection for EJPS on Understanding Climate Change. Submissions on the epistemology of climate science, policy, and public reasoning are welcome.

Deadline: 1 Dec 2025 → link.springer.com/collections/...

Philosophy Students’ Symposium 2025 The Department of Philosophy (Faculty of Arts, University of Maribor), its students, and The Slovenian Society for Analytic Philosophy (DAF) are honoured to invite any graduate and PhD students to the...

In November, we are hosting a graduate conference in social epistemology in Maribor. You can send you abstracts till end of August!

philevents.org/event/show/1...

The Mix Matters: Exploring the Interplay Between Epistemic and Zetetic Norms in Scientific Disagreement | The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science: Vol 0, No ja

Turns out you can remain dogmatic if you also randomize your research strategy.

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Happy to share that my first PhD student Martin Justin has just published his paper, solo-authored and in his first year, in Episteme! He offers a sharp and timely defense of conciliationism in the peer disagreement debate. See link for details.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...