@guystall
Keen supporter of Living Wage Foundation The Foundation has had such success in reducing working poverty I am also a great supporter of hybrid working. All comments personal and nothing to do with my employer or the charities I support
My rough timeline:
If the Strait reopens in the coming week, we have weeks of energy market disruption ahead but things have settled by the Autumn.
If the Strait is closed for another 3/4 weeks we have months of disruption.
If the Strait is closed for longer things get very bad, very quickly.
trump says he can end the war whenever he wants.
but:
1) straitsclosed: drone strikes, mining continuing
2) mojtaba khameini in charge
3) regime making big money from oil export
4) knowledge base, enriched uranium stocks, and strong motivation to build a nuclear bomb asap
Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Standard Chartered have told staff to leave their Dubai offices and work remotely with Iran threatening attacks on banks and financial institutions in the Gulf. (Bloomberg)
UKRAINE HAS DRIVEN 12km INTO RUSSIAN LINES AMD REGAINED 400KM IN THE SOUTH EAST
The ISW has finally confirmed its assessment that Ukraine - which has seemingly stopped its advance for now, presumably to consolidate its gains, retook 400kmsq and penetrated 12km
into Russian held territory on the
Doubt much of the electorate have noticed but the mess Badenoch and Farage have got into over Iran shows just how beatable they are.
1st batch of Mandelson vetting documents points to 2 things. The Government knew plenty (if not everything) about Mandelson’s relationship with Epstein, sufficient for Jonathan Powell, Starmer’s NSA director to raise a 🚩. McSweeney’s opinion was preferred
www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/peter-...
😂🤣
Senior EU official: “My boss does not believe that Orban will lose. Which does not mean that he will win, if you know what I mean.”
Indeed - given reports of Russian military intelligence now operating out of Budapest.
www.ft.com/content/34df...
People mocking this seemingly don't understand electoral politics very well.
This position plays well with the kind of older Tory voters Davey needs to keep onside (it was the "blue" wall remember), while the kind of liberal voters who find it a bit cringe aren't going to ditch LDs over this.
Just saw St Lucia - you could sell your picture to the tourist board
'That is the central lie of the Maga project. Making Trump feel great is the undoing of American greatness.' - Rafael Behr.
Amnesia or values based on lying
Badenoch and Farage are in a mess over Iran because there was an opportunity to 'own the libs' and they took it unthinkingly.
It's all about owning the libs.
bsky.app/profile/rola...
Wow - where are you
Well done
Rory Hope your back starts to improve
This morning’s walk was curtailed by one participant’s back problems but #sophiefromromania was good enough not to bark and lunge across the road at the sight of other dogs
Trump is making the repressive Iranian regime richer. It’s now exporting more oil through the Strait of Hormuz than before the war, according to tanker-tracking firm Kpler. (WSJ)
Pacific pivot latest news
It's also totally insane that Trump was either unaware until today's media reports that Iran could mine the Straight of Hormuz or discounted the threat.
And what's his grand plan to stop them from playing this card that could ruin his quick and easy exit? Threaten Iran with... more military action.
This could be the moment that Trump loses control.
He could end military action tonight, but if Iran mines the Strait of Hormuz, there's nothing he can do to rapidly mitigate the economic damage as demining could take months.
Trump can't overcome this with a TruthSocial post. No quick & easy exit.
A lot of people on Bluesky sneering at this. But Russia has no interest in helping Iran, apart from the fact they're a key regional ally, they sell them Shahed drones, and that a prolonged war and with it rising energy costs help the Russian economy.
4D chess: appointing a leader who is already dead so Israel can't kill him.
This very straight news piece buried deep within the FT never uses words like corruption or insider dealing but every detail is quietly devastating. Why is the FT virtually alone in the UK media in covering this important story?
Polanski basically seems to have a grasp on politics/policy which is very similar to the average left-ish normie, which is good for becoming popular but has no follow through for governance.
note that it's the right-wing parties, who have complained that UK should have joined US strikes on Iran, who are now also demanding the Labour government steps up household help with energy bills
Over to you, @ofcom.bsky.social
