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Hayden Van Brewer

@hvanbrewer

โšฝ๏ธ Analytics ๐Ÿ“Š Altijd Ajacied โœ–๏ธโœ–๏ธโœ–๏ธ ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ @thetransferflow.bsky.social

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12.12.2024
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Latest posts by Hayden Van Brewer @hvanbrewer

Ramsey the key here. Heโ€™s the one Barca seem to be struggling to pick up. #nufc

10.03.2026 20:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 20 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Do Spurs have a third goalkeeper they can put in?

10.03.2026 20:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Carlos Vela derby๐Ÿ”ฅ

10.03.2026 14:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Arsenal's accounts for 2024-25 were published last week and I was fascinated to see that gate receipts now account for just 22.3% of turnover. The table below shows how reliant the club has been on gate receipts since WW1.

09.03.2026 10:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 85 ๐Ÿ” 14 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 9 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I do not understand how Ipswich are not winning this match

07.03.2026 16:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜๐Ÿ˜

07.03.2026 15:36 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I pulled some data via @americansocceranalysis.com's {itscalledsoccer} and while home advantage has never started out so high in an MLS season since 2013, it is not quite the highest ever (only 98.41 percentile).

I suspect this is an aberration and it will bounce around just like it always has.

05.03.2026 15:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 24 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Champions league and Championship, the Paramount+ double double

05.03.2026 21:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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I will be there and seated

05.03.2026 21:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
American Dad- Shut it down, shut it all down.
American Dad- Shut it down, shut it all down. YouTube video by Dom8bit

www.youtube.com/watch?v=GU7I...

05.03.2026 20:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So youโ€™re telling me that after tonight spurs play Atleti, Liverpool, Atleti again and then have the colossal game against Forest?

Oh dear

05.03.2026 20:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
How Brazil replace Rodrygo at the World Cup + Man City can't close
How Brazil replace Rodrygo at the World Cup + Man City can't close YouTube video by The Transfer Flow

Rodrygo is out for the World Cup with an ACL.

The name to replace him might surprise you.

Plus, why can't Man City close out games?

New episode with @ShelatNeel and @HVanBrewer out now!

youtube.com/watch?v=2pnGeOZF5uk&feature=youtu.be

05.03.2026 19:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Mental math but that should be great pacing for the year? Good stuff๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘

05.03.2026 20:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Now live: presentation videos. Find all recorded talks on our Youtube. Link below.

Now live: presentation videos. Find all recorded talks on our Youtube. Link below.

Recorded presentations from the 2026 ASI Summit are now live on YouTube. To see all of the incredible talks from this year's Summit, visit the link below:

www.youtube.com/playlist?lis...

03.03.2026 21:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 21 ๐Ÿ” 15 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Pep Guardiola on the phone with Xavi and Iniesta:

01.03.2026 18:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐ŸŽฃ

01.03.2026 17:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Why donโ€™t more football teams place players on the side of the box for penalties? A tweak that a handful of teams are using could result in a curious marginal gain

Niche content: Corinthians Feminino put a player on either side of the box at penalties, rather than having everyone behind the box. I used Pythagorasโ€™ theorem for the first time since my GCSEs and watched 50 saved penalties to see if others should do it too. โฌ‡๏ธ
www.nytimes.com/athletic/706...

28.02.2026 08:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 36 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

So for years MLS was the most homefield advantage-heavy league in the world, though that had been fraying a bit the past half-decade.

Well, guess what? So far in 2026 home teams are 15W-1L-3D. And the home teams are both winning the 7:30 games, which, if they hold on, makes it 17-1-3.

01.03.2026 01:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 96 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

It doesnโ€™t feel like the weekend until I read the @kimischilling.bsky.social Friday newsletter

Am always here for some Olise chat

27.02.2026 19:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

it's literally going to happen again next season ๐Ÿ˜ญ

26.02.2026 21:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 90 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Found an excuse to make some flashy dataviz to display how different the points distribution in the 2025/26 Premier League is compared to recent seasons.

25.02.2026 11:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 35 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

LAFC beats Inter Miami 3-0 in front of a 75k crowd.

Statement win, dominant performance by LAFC to set the tone in 2026 in a hugely anticipated match for the preseason top two in the league.

22.02.2026 04:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 140 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Always a treat when @kimischilling.bsky.social writes on MLS.

20.02.2026 16:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 41 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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โšก ๐…๐€๐’๐“๐‘ญ๐‘ถ๐‘น๐‘พ๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ซ \\ ๐‘๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ-๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐“๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ƒ๐š๐ญ๐š ๐‹๐จ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ข๐ง ๐๐ฒ๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ง

๐š™๐š’๐š™ ๐š’๐š—๐šœ๐š๐šŠ๐š•๐š• ๐š๐šŠ๐šœ๐š-๐š๐š˜๐š›๐š ๐šŠ๐š›๐š-๐š๐š˜๐š˜๐š๐š‹๐šŠ๐š•๐š•

Today I'm ๐๐ž๐ญ๐š-releasing ๐…๐€๐’๐“๐‘ญ๐‘ถ๐‘น๐‘พ๐‘จ๐‘น๐‘ซ. My new Rust-powered football tracking data loader wrapped in a Python package.

20.02.2026 12:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I reposted earlier but I think this is the kind of analysis that doesnโ€™t happen often in public that is really interesting and relevant to teams

I shared @experimental361.com โ€˜s squad turnover with Fleetwood in 2019. Once we got SB data, we tracked across leagues. Was key in our team building

20.02.2026 02:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
2+4 or 3+3: A Conversation about MLS Roster Construction A deep dive into the Roster Construction Models MLS teams can choose from to build their squad

2+4. 3+3.

What do these mean when it comes to MLS roster building? Is there a clear benefit choosing one or the other? Is one model a โ€˜cheapโ€™ way in building a roster?

For FAM, today weโ€™re analyzing MLS Roster Construction Models.

19.02.2026 22:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 30 ๐Ÿ” 11 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
EVERYONE missed on Victor Osimhen
EVERYONE missed on Victor Osimhen YouTube video by The Transfer Flow

New Podcast!

@patrickbvs.bsky.social and @hvanbrewer.bsky.social break down a chaotic few days of Champions League action:

โ€ข Benfica vs Real Madrid controversy
โ€ข Bodo stun Inter Milan
โ€ข Juventus Self-Destruct (and Osimhen shines)
โ€ข Are Atleti in trouble?

youtu.be/ZXr1fJ0RCaU

19.02.2026 19:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Pomykal was one of the best players my brother played against in academy footy. Itโ€™s really sad to see injury limit the potential of such a talented player

19.02.2026 19:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

While there could be a few more changes, this incorporates all the recent moves (Salloi, RBW, Dorsey, Carmona, Elie).

This season has the highest roster turnover since I started tracking this prior to the 2019 season, but there are no statistically significant differences in any of the seasons.

19.02.2026 16:46 ๐Ÿ‘ 26 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
Preview
Are Birmingham City sneaky promotion favorites? Get ready to see a lot of annoying Tom Brady camera shots at Premier League games.

Birmingham City are currently in 11th place with just a +4 GD, yet their underlying numbers suggest they should be in the top 3.

This week's post for @thetransferflow.bsky.social looks at their weird season so far, and whether they can sneak into the playoffs
www.thetransferflow.com/p/are-birmin...

19.02.2026 15:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1