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Jennifer Churchill

@redjen

Senior Lecturer in Economics UWE Bristol; macro, finance (especially pensions) and also philosophy. Previously dabbled in politics, policy, public affairs

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Latest posts by Jennifer Churchill @redjen

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Oof.
Market expectations of the BOE.
www.ft.com/content/9b08...

09.03.2026 08:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 97 ๐Ÿ” 36 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 10
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Infrastructure at the heart of Canada-Australia pension fund pact - Top1000funds.com A group of major Canadian pension funds, including the Maple 8, has entered a high-powered memorandum of understanding with top Australian superannuation funds to lobby for policy changes that would h...

Canadian and Australian pension joining forces to lobby governments in both countries to de-risk their private infrastructure investments. ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

04.03.2026 15:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A reminder: Matt Goodwin lost heavily in spite of an almost total lack of tactical voting, not because of it.

The combined Green/Labour vote was 66%, versus 28.7% for Reform.

If Labour and the Greens split the vote 50/50 โ€“ a total coordination fail โ€“ he'd have finished third, not second.

03.03.2026 10:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 839 ๐Ÿ” 226 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 18 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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In charts: How serious is the Middle East gas price shock? Qatar LNG shutdown threatens bigger supply hit than the Ukraine war

www.ft.com/content/78fb... In charts: How serious is the Middle East gas price shock?

03.03.2026 09:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Spanish PM Pedro Sรกnchez: โ€œToday more than ever, it is essential to remember that one can be against a hateful regime as is the case with the Iranian regimeโ€ฆand at the same time be against an unjustified, dangerous military intervention outside of international law.โ€

01.03.2026 19:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 3314 ๐Ÿ” 1107 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 70 ๐Ÿ“Œ 107

These figures also reinforce what Labour knew at the time: that their support was broad(ish) but thin, and that people were, to a large degree, voting *against* the Tories (theyโ€™re in that narrow 20% too), not *for* Labour.

So why isnโ€™t Labour giving people a reason to vote *for* them?

03.03.2026 07:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 40 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Greens overtake Labour in sensational poll The Greens have polled higher than Labour in the latest poll by YouGov, which puts them only two points off Reform UK and five ahead of the governing party.

"Of those who voted Labour [in 2024], just 37% would vote Labour again".
Read that again to absorb the full, astonishing weight of what it means.
Starmer, Reeves and co have burnt their house down.
news.sky.com/story/greens...

03.03.2026 07:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 1826 ๐Ÿ” 582 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 113 ๐Ÿ“Œ 51
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The obvious follow up question: why did he sign off the letter in the first place then?

03.03.2026 07:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 430 ๐Ÿ” 71 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 41 ๐Ÿ“Œ 52

It's fascinating to watch cooler Labour heads like Sadiq Khan and Andy Burnham say that comparing the Greens and Reform together is a terrible tactic.

Yet Labour ministers are hourly on shows keeping up the same narrative.

The Green Party and Reform are completely the opposite!

03.03.2026 08:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 1281 ๐Ÿ” 284 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 99 ๐Ÿ“Œ 28
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Whatever else this is from Paul Ovenden, demanding Labour MPs back Mahmoodโ€™s immigration crackdown, it is the most over-written, pretentious thing Iโ€™ve seen for some time.

03.03.2026 07:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 445 ๐Ÿ” 83 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 48 ๐Ÿ“Œ 76

BREAKING: Keir Starmer has given US permission to use UK bases to launch โ€œdefensiveโ€ airstrikes against Iran - destroying its missiles โ€œat sourceโ€ to prevent them firing across region.

01.03.2026 21:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 156 ๐Ÿ” 64 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 133 ๐Ÿ“Œ 116
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Israel increasingly sure Iranโ€™s Khamenei has been killed after joint strikes with US Tehran launches retaliatory missile attacks against Israel, UAE and Saudi Arabia

All the news on our liveblog:

28.02.2026 21:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 22 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Labour minister Josh Simons resigns after falsely linking journalists to โ€˜pro-Kremlinโ€™ network Makerfield MP has been under pressure over thinktankโ€™s commissioning of PR firm to investigate reporters

Few developments:
- In a statement this evening, Labour Together's new management describes the scope of APCO's report as "indefensible"
- Simons said he "acted too hastily" in appointing firm
- Simons's resignation letter did not address outstanding questions about earlier statements

Full details:

28.02.2026 20:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 34 ๐Ÿ” 16 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Godย Admitsย Heย No Longerย Lovesย Humanityย Butย Isย Too Afraidย Toย Leave THE HEAVENSโ€”Admitting He felt torn between His true feelings and His fear of the unknown, the Lord God Almighty announced Monday that He no longer loved humanity but was too afraid to leave. โ€œAny affe...

God Admits He No Longer Loves Humanity But Is Too Afraid To Leave

28.02.2026 21:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 1664 ๐Ÿ” 192 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 23 ๐Ÿ“Œ 17
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Josh Simons resigns without apologising The former minister decided to stop being "a distraction" while the world watches the war in Iran.

Josh Simons resigns without apologising - www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-...

28.02.2026 20:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Labour minister Josh Simons resigns after falsely linking journalists to โ€˜pro-Kremlinโ€™ network Makerfield MP has been under pressure over thinktankโ€™s commissioning of PR firm to investigate reporters

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

28.02.2026 17:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 29 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Israel launches air strikes against Iran State says it is a โ€˜pre-emptiveโ€™ attack to โ€˜remove threatsโ€™

Israel launches air strikes against Iran ft.trib.al/l2Aoh36

28.02.2026 06:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 31 ๐Ÿ” 14 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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OpenAI Reaches A.I. Agreement With Defense Dept. After Anthropic Clash

Capitalism, red in artificial tooth and claw.

OpenAI Reaches A.I. Agreement With Defense Dept. After Anthropic Clash www.nytimes.com/2026/02/27/t...

28.02.2026 05:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 30 ๐Ÿ” 8 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Sam Altman tweet:

Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network.

In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome.

AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems.  The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement.

We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only.

We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements.

We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.

Sam Altman tweet: Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network. In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible outcome. AI safety and wide distribution of benefits are the core of our mission. Two of our most important safety principles are prohibitions on domestic mass surveillance and human responsibility for the use of force, including for autonomous weapon systems. The DoW agrees with these principles, reflects them in law and policy, and we put them into our agreement. We also will build technical safeguards to ensure our models behave as they should, which the DoW also wanted. We will deploy FDEs to help with our models and to ensure their safety, we will deploy on cloud networks only. We are asking the DoW to offer these same terms to all AI companies, which in our opinion we think everyone should be willing to accept. We have expressed our strong desire to see things de-escalate away from legal and governmental actions and towards reasonable agreements. We remain committed to serve all of humanity as best we can. The world is a complicated, messy, and sometimes dangerous place.

My goodness.

28.02.2026 03:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 2688 ๐Ÿ” 579 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 147 ๐Ÿ“Œ 658
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Trump has ordered government agencies to stop using Anthropic AI tools The move announced on social media comes after a standoff between Anthropic's boss and the Ministry of Defense.

There it is, for now at least. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

27.02.2026 22:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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After the loss of Gorton & Denton, more bad news for the Labour Party ...

27.02.2026 15:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 47 ๐Ÿ” 9 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Barclaysโ€™ Katharine Braddick to head PRA Government puts another industry veteran into a top regulatory post in a push to cut red tape

Weโ€™ll soon have former Amazon UK chief executive Doug Gurr running the Competition and Markets Authority, and Barclays group head of strategic policy running the Prudential Regulation Authority...

Well chancellor Rachel Reeves did say she wants to neutralise regulation. ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

27.02.2026 16:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Labour MP Clive Lewis doesnโ€™t hold back on the Gorton and Denton result in this interview with ITV

27.02.2026 15:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 2280 ๐Ÿ” 735 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 195 ๐Ÿ“Œ 295
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Economists: you know I love you, but I think it's time you gave it a rest with all these "which jobs are most exposed to AI?" analyses. www.ft.com/content/8d3b...

27.02.2026 17:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 276 ๐Ÿ” 50 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 18 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Not sure a 27.5% swing can really be described as 'pushing them over the line', however it's attributed

27.02.2026 14:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 79 ๐Ÿ” 12 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Drop in overseas workers is โ€˜car crashโ€™ for UK hospitals and care homes, say experts Care roles hit particularly hard by UKโ€™s lurch to the right on migration, according to analysis of Home Office data

"Ministers need to wake up."

Indeed. Some shift away from the exceptional levels of overseas recruitment 21-24 was natural/desirable.

But current "strategy" - no new visas and making life as unpleasant as possible for migrants already here - is madness.

www.theguardian.com/society/2026...

27.02.2026 07:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 190 ๐Ÿ” 69 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
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Fall in UK net migration threatens to carve deep hole in public finances Issue is expected to come under the spotlight in chancellor Rachel Reevesโ€™ Spring Statement

"If annual net migration were to be 200,000 lower on average than the OBRโ€™s current assumption over the five years of its forecast, the cumulative 1mn hit to labour supply could add up to ยฃ20bn per year to forecast borrowing." ๐Ÿ‘€

27.02.2026 07:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 40 ๐Ÿ” 19 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Very pointed echo of Starmerโ€™s outrageous speech

27.02.2026 07:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 46 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Hope Beats Hate: Green Party Defeats Reform and Labour in Huge Gorton and Denton By-Election Victory A concerted political and media campaign to scare voters about aย โ€œGreen Menaceโ€ winning this by-election failed, reports Adam Bienkov

In a battle between hope and hate, hope won out.

Why voters rejected the hateful politics of Reform and instead embraced the "Green Menace" in Gorton and Denton

bylinetimes.com/2026/02/27/h...

27.02.2026 06:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 2582 ๐Ÿ” 581 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 81 ๐Ÿ“Œ 41

Big test for much of the media today as to how this victory is covered vs a Reform by election win, or any revolt on the populist right. Itโ€™s as important and as meaningful. Something tells me the tone might be a touch different!

27.02.2026 07:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 272 ๐Ÿ” 37 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 16 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3