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steve the skeptic

@policyskeptic

government policy, health policy, evidence, statistics and sometimes other topics

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Latest posts by steve the skeptic @policyskeptic

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Good Lord, Trump seems to have forgotten that in war, your enemy gets a vote. If the Iranians read this, they will understand he is terrified and desperate, and probably speed up the mining of the straits. Worst war leader in US history.

10.03.2026 20:14 πŸ‘ 487 πŸ” 110 πŸ’¬ 46 πŸ“Œ 11
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The President of the USA is now openly threatening Iran with being the target of one of the greatest crimes in world history. Trump is saying he will destroy the basis of life for more than 90 million people.
He should be removed from office for this.

10.03.2026 12:27 πŸ‘ 475 πŸ” 176 πŸ’¬ 60 πŸ“Œ 17

It’s fine for Russia to use drones to freeze out your population β€” by the way, can you give us your drone defenses? This is the actual US position.

09.03.2026 16:14 πŸ‘ 1276 πŸ” 598 πŸ’¬ 49 πŸ“Œ 13

Interesting paper. When science is cheap, multiverse analysis becomes the key abstraction for authors & journals to strategize for.

These results suggest its the new unit of evidence authoring & review should accommodate.

Related to some of my comments here: substack.com/@jessicahull...

09.03.2026 16:53 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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😑😑

09.03.2026 13:12 πŸ‘ 3273 πŸ” 1355 πŸ’¬ 155 πŸ“Œ 63
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Success eh Trump? No one has ever done before.

09.03.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Fox should send Kilmeade as a special correspondent to report live from the ship. bsky.app/profile/atru...

09.03.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 7323 πŸ” 1435 πŸ’¬ 517 πŸ“Œ 94
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NBC’s Richard Engel: β€œThe White House meme campaign is outraging many former US military commanders… they say only someone who has never really seen combat would think it’s a joke and put out material like this.”

09.03.2026 16:33 πŸ‘ 16553 πŸ” 6895 πŸ’¬ 967 πŸ“Œ 501

The USA should be glad that Zelensky doesn't hold a grudge for all the insults Trump and Vance have thrown at him.

09.03.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Just another normal morning where the President of the United States shares completely false claims from a conspiracy theory site. I’ve confirmed with election officials in Maricopa County that this is 100% BS.

09.03.2026 14:17 πŸ‘ 2220 πŸ” 818 πŸ’¬ 95 πŸ“Œ 49

The best rationale so far of the US strategy on Iran is the idea it was done to support Russia without being obvious about it.

It isn't as though other US statements or actions don't reinforce this idea.

09.03.2026 13:26 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

When you explain to me how a data centre can be cooled while, in effect, inside a thermos flask with no external components, I'll take the idea of space-based data centres seriously.

09.03.2026 12:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Lindsey’s diplomacy working wonders in UAE.

09.03.2026 12:13 πŸ‘ 19659 πŸ” 6726 πŸ’¬ 805 πŸ“Œ 435

Banks will be rolling in his grave at this thought. Given the core messages in the social commentary his fiction also contains.

09.03.2026 09:12 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Sadly, when naive observers see the mess they usually identify the wrong problem: they claim the chaos is caused by understaffing. The reality is that the problem is bad process design and poor management.

09.03.2026 09:04 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The solution is not to push for savings, it is to recognise that the NHS needs to pay far more attention to how its processes and pathways are designed so it can achieve more useful work and better quality work...

09.03.2026 09:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This isn't because the front line staff are useless: it is because they work in a badly organised and often chaotic system...

09.03.2026 09:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The mythbuster: Most NHS staff time is wasted A radical time-based review suggests most NHS activity sustains queues rather than cures patients

If we analyse the activity of doctors and nurses properly from the patient point of view, it is likely that the majority of the time spent is wasted: www.hsj.co.uk/daily-insigh...

09.03.2026 09:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

does that mean you are always fighting? (dual β‰  duel)

06.03.2026 17:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

When I say the word "film" it has two syllables.

06.03.2026 17:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Eliminating long waits is the way to eliminate corridor care. Defining a better definition of "corridor care" will add nothing to the 12hr wait metric we already have.

What the actual fuck are NHS strategists thinking?

06.03.2026 17:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is blatantly contradictory. Where do you think the people (more than 1.7m in each of the last 4 years) waiting for 12hr in A&Es are waiting? ...

06.03.2026 17:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The national NHS UEC leader has decided to try to eliminate "corridor care". And is spending time developing a new definition of it to support the campaign.

But current strategy explicitly prioritises improving 4hr waits and ignores improvement in 12hr waits...

06.03.2026 17:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

So Trump rolls out the red carpet for Putin, protects Putin, bullies the Ukrainians for Putin, and in return Putin helps Iranians kill Americans.

Trump must act now or the case for him being a Russian asset of some type will be undeniable.

06.03.2026 13:43 πŸ‘ 423 πŸ” 128 πŸ’¬ 30 πŸ“Œ 7
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Analysis Suggests School Was Hit Amid U.S. Strikes on Iranian Naval Base

I do fear that grotesque boast that the USA no longer needed to worry about "stupid rules of engagement", will haunt the country for years to come.

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/w...

06.03.2026 13:18 πŸ‘ 298 πŸ” 79 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 2
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The Rot Is Real And There Is More To It The Atlantic Piece Just Scratched The Surface

Just sent out a free piece to expand on my article in @theatlantic.com yesterday. The signs of rot in US military and diplomatic capabilities are real and even more extensive than I could say in that article. Here are more-and a gift link to the original article. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

06.03.2026 10:40 πŸ‘ 262 πŸ” 122 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 15

Proposing new rule: "Live your life in such a way that nobody will be forced to render parts of it as a 'Downfall' variant."

06.03.2026 04:19 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

If you think I'm overstating concerns about the loyalties of US tech companies - check out this memo from Anthropic CEO to staff on their battle with the Trump administration.

05.03.2026 16:37 πŸ‘ 281 πŸ” 125 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 0
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Quietly, calmly and forensically, BBC just dismantled the Trump communications shitshow on Iran.

No hyperbole, just laying out an unprecedented military, diplomatic and reputational shambles.

Worth a watch.

(πŸŽ₯ BBC News/BBC Verify)

05.03.2026 08:46 πŸ‘ 3947 πŸ” 2143 πŸ’¬ 103 πŸ“Œ 192

Normally the fog of war is a feature of battlefields clouded by smoke and uncertainty about where the enemy is. But in the USA's war on Iran, the fog is inside Donald Trump's head.

05.03.2026 14:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0