Here's a map of Trump's approval % by state based on the February Verasight poll (h/t to @gelliottmorris.com for the model)
At 40% approval, Trump's only popular in deep red states. He's struggling in states like FL and OH, and is super unpopular in swing states and blue states
“Planning around preventing this exact scenario — impossible as it has long seemed — has been a bedrock principle of US national security policy for decades. I’m dumbfounded.”
So it’s confirmed:
The Trump Administration is comprised of idiots.
www.cnn.com/2026/03/12/p...
We have calculated demographic-level averages for the House generic ballot bsky.app/profile/fift...
"When past presidents balked at the possibility of war with Iran, they weren’t just dodging a hard choice; they were deterred by all of the obvious reasons a conflict could perilously spiral. Nobody should be shocked that the expected is now coming to pass"
This poll was taken before Trump's war.
www.axios.com/2026/02/12/t...
The most fascinating part about Mojtaba Khamenei to me: Unlike his dad, he seems to have actual religious cleric credentials and is also far more hardline than his father even before the U.S. killed his family.
www.cnbc.com/2026/03/11/f...
We have two counties complete in the GA Congressional District special:
Polk County moved 20 points left (!!)
Chattooga County moved 18 points left
Lol the GOP is so fucked....
@civicapi.org @uncrewed.bsky.social
Crockett did 1(!) broadcast ad and her team was just floored at the idea of spending ads increased Talarico’s support
How many times are people going to have learn this lesson
FYI on polling close times today. And NYT does have a results page for GA, MS, and NH!
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
In September 2025 Pete Hegseth spent...
*$99K on a grand piano for the Air Force CoS
*$2M on Alaskan king crab
*$7M on lobster tail.
*$15M on ribeye steak
*$124K on ice cream machines
*$140K on doughnuts.
*$12K on fruit basket stands
*$60K on recliners
newrepublic.com/post/207555/...
I thought this analysis was very well executed (and judging by the like count so did a lot of people!)
"A [new] PPP poll commissioned by Senate Majority PAC found “no meaningful difference in electability” between Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in a general election matchup against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico."
punchbowl.news/article/camp...
BREAKING: The world is now experiencing its largest oil supply shock in history, losing nearly 20 million barrels of oil supply per day. Top oil supply shocks: 1. Hormuz Closure (NOW): -20 million b/d 2. Iranian Revolution (1978): -5.5 million b/d 3. Yom Kippur War (1973): -4.5 million b/d 4. Iraq-Kuwait War (1990): -4.3 million b/d 5. Iran-Iraq War (1980): -4.0 million b/d 6. Russia-Ukraine War (2022): -2.0 million b/d The current supply shock is roughly the same size as the top 2-6 COMBINED.
Oh.
If this USA Today(??) scoop is true, Trump seems to have agreed to a deal with Cuba to return to the Obama era loosing of restrictions and isn’t entirely clear what we are getting out of it
www.usatoday.com/story/news/w...
Neat website if you wanna see where a D+10 year roughly gets us.
mapwisepolitics.us/forecasts/
GOP and Latino Mayor of McAllen Texas is quoted in here who says many notable things
•Enthusiasm has waned
•family of Trump voters told him they made a mistake
•people who cheered the border policy has gone too far
Rep. Massie agreeing with UTK College Republicans that Trump’s war is not “America first”
With reports that Lindsay Graham was able to engineer the war against Iran, useful to reread this long essay by Will Saletan from 2023 His insight: you didn’t need to suppose any secret reason for Graham’s submission to Trump. It was all there in the open.
specialto.thebulwark.com/p/the-corrup...
Gonzales is out in Texas, and Dems see a chance to beat ‘The AKGuy’
Good article on Youngkin
H is only one to lead GOP to victory in Virginia since 2009
Probably will hold that title until at least 2029
Problem is Virginia GOP has no one else for leadership
Lots of expectations even while he’s out of office
www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
"[After] war...last year, Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei...determined that they needed a bold change...[I]n the event of Khamenei’s potential assassination...Tehran would escalate conflict...hitting Arab Gulf states and hampering the global economy" www.wsj.com/world/middle...
One reason Crockett lost to Talarico: She did not have a campaign manager for the entirety of her run, and while she delegated components of her campaign to trusted advisers, she largely managed operations herself. Talarico outraised her 5 to 1.
www.texastribune.org/2026/03/06/j...
The last thing the Trump will want is for Corey Lewandowski to have time on his hands, because he will use it to shiv anyone he believes stabbed him and Kristi in the back.
Expect a bunch of negative, 'anonymously-sourced' stories about the Trump Admin soon.
www.rawstory.com/corey-lewand...
Moskowitz: "Let me congratulate the former Homeland Security Secretary on her appointment to be the Shield of Americas, which I'm pretty sure the president came up with when he watched the last Avengers movie"
