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Manuel Rausch

@manurausch

Psychologist and Cognitive Neuroscientist at University of Klagenfurt πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ή πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί. Cognitive modeling, perceptual decision making, confidence, metacognition, visual awareness, metascience. https://manuelrausch.github.io

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23.09.2023
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Latest posts by Manuel Rausch @manurausch

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AI error or not, Iran school bombing is a permanent stain on America’s soul | Will Bunch A debate on AI in warfare obscures the truth about an Iran school bombing. U.S. humans are to blame for this war crime.

They had names. They had beautiful faces. And they had the same dreams as your kids - crushed when American "precision" bombs slammed into their Minab elementary school, killing 175

Don't blame AI for this. Blame the sick humans who see war as a game

My new column www.inquirer.com/opinion/iran...

08.03.2026 18:37 πŸ‘ 5553 πŸ” 1963 πŸ’¬ 126 πŸ“Œ 82
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Building a Publishing Model for Replication: Q&A with the Senior Editors of Replication Research COS spoke with the senior editors of Replication Researchβ€”a community-led Diamond Open Access journal that supports reproduction and replication studies.

Replication Research (R2), a πŸ†• community-led Diamond OA journal, makes replication studies more discoverable, publishable & rigorously evaluatedβ€”without subscription barriers or author fees. Ahead of #LoveReplicationsWeek, R2's senior editors shared their vision in our Q&A:

27.02.2026 13:54 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Javascript code for a noncentral t cdf produced by Claude. It is simply a call to the normal CDF, which is not correct (though will be a decent approximation with large N).

Javascript code for a noncentral t cdf produced by Claude. It is simply a call to the normal CDF, which is not correct (though will be a decent approximation with large N).

I've been testing Claude to see how well it can "vibe out" a stat. power app that I've already coded completely myself - so I know what I want. It mostly gets things right with animations (those are easily verifiable) but looking into the backend stats code is nightmare inducing (see pic).

28.02.2026 09:22 πŸ‘ 79 πŸ” 23 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 11
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Concerns About Theorizing, Relevance, Generalizability, and Methodology Across Two Crises in Social Psychology | International Review of Social Psychology During two crises in social psychology, the first from the 1960s to the end of the 1970s, and the second starting in 2010 and still ongoing, researchers discussed the strength of theories in the…

Most researchers are unaware that the concerns about strength of theories, methodology, and lack of generalizability led to a crisis in the 60's and 70's as well. Nothing changed then, and history is a good teacher for why nothing is likely to change this time around doi.org/10.5334/irsp...

05.02.2026 04:16 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Systematic review and meta-analysis of quotation inaccuracy in medicine - Research Integrity and Peer Review Background Quotations are crucial to science but have been shown to be often inaccurate. Quotation errors, that is, a reference not supporting the authors’ claim, may still be a significant issue in s...

8.0% of citations in the medical literature contain major errors.

E.g., the cited work makes the opposite claim or is unrelated to the claim in the citing article.

02.02.2026 10:37 πŸ‘ 44 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 4
Tagung experimentell arbeitender Psycholog*innen 2026

🀝 Connect, network, and grow at our Social Events at #TeaP2026:

🌱 Meeting of Early Career Researchers
πŸ₯‚ Welcome Reception
🍽️ Conference Dinner @NECKAWA
πŸ™οΈ Guided City Tours

πŸ‘‰ Sign up now: coms.app/teap26/xpage...

26.01.2026 11:31 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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RegCheck RegCheck is an AI tool to compare preregistrations with papers instantly.

Comparing registrations to published papers is essential to research integrity - and almost no one does it routinely because it's slow, messy, and time-demanding.

RegCheck was built to help make this process easier.

Today, we launch RegCheck V2.

🧡

regcheck.app

22.01.2026 11:05 πŸ‘ 174 πŸ” 90 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 6
OSF

New preprint: Confidence-accuracy dissociations in perceptual decision making. A review I was supposed to write 3 years ago for my VSS Young Investigator Award. Better late than never πŸ˜… I tried to organize the literature and explore the likely mechanisms. Feedback welcome!

osf.io/preprints/ps...

13.01.2026 18:13 πŸ‘ 63 πŸ” 23 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Multilevel Robust Bayesian Meta-Analysis

The Robust Bayesian Meta-Analysis package got updated with additional vignettes explaining how to perform Bayesian model-averaged publication bias-adjusted

- multilevel meta-analysis (cran.r-project.org/web/packages...)
- multilevel meta-regression (cran.r-project.org/web/packages...)

23.12.2025 10:11 πŸ‘ 25 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Call for Applications: Early Career Rescue Fellowship – Freiburg Institute for Advanced Studies

Post-doc positions:
"Academic freedom is under pressure today. This requires rescue havens of free research. ... [we] invite early career researchers, whose work is restricted due to political pressure in the USA..."

uni-freiburg.de/frias/call-f...

19.12.2025 17:14 πŸ‘ 197 πŸ” 171 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 19

Modeling Speed–Accuracy Trade-Offs in the Stopping Rule for Confidence Judgments! Now out in #PsychologicalReview (aka we can finally say we do comp models)! Led by @stefherregods.bsky.social @lucvermeylen.bsky.social @pierreledenmat.bsky.social

Paper: desenderlab.com/wp-content/u... Thread ↓↓↓

16.12.2025 15:52 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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UZH: Lecturer Research Β«Psychological Data Management and -StewardshipΒ» The Department of Psychology at the University of Zurich invites applications for a tenured Lecturer Research position for Β«Psychological Data Management and -StewardshipΒ». We are seeking an enthusias...

The Department of Psychology @uzh-ch.bsky.social has an open position for a tenured Lecturer (Research) Β«Psychological Data Management and -StewardshipΒ»

jobs.uzh.ch/job-vacancie...

#psychjobs

15.12.2025 11:39 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

The EEGManyPipelines Dataset: Metascientific Data on 168 Independent Analyses of a Single EEG Dataset: https://osf.io/c4xwg

03.12.2025 17:48 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Early Career Rescue Fellowship

Postdoc opportunity @uni-konstanz.de, @uni-freiburg.de, @unituebingen.bsky.social for ECRs who can't continue their research in the US: www.uni-konstanz.de/zukunftskoll...

09.12.2025 12:55 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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🚨Job Alert plz RT!

Johns Hopkins Psych & Brain Sciences is looking for a new colleague using behavioral or computational approaches to study cognition!

We are excited about many areas of (esp higher) cognition in human adults, children, or nonhuman animals

Open-rank

apply.interfolio.com/178146

02.12.2025 02:54 πŸ‘ 56 πŸ” 75 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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How to stop the revolving door of German academia Germany is one of the most popular destinations for students and scholars worldwide, but those pursuing academic careers face significant hurdles to success.

German academia: great place to work? You should think twice before giving it a try: Permanent positions are very rare, most scholars have to drop out after some precarious years. @dianakwon.bsky.social has written a great piece about this for @nature.com and also talked to yours truly. #IchBinHanna

28.11.2025 12:17 πŸ‘ 196 πŸ” 96 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 14
The University of MΓΌnster (main building)

The University of MΓΌnster (main building)

πŸ”₯ Open PhD position at the Institute of Medical Psychology and Systems Neuroscience @uni-muenster.de!
Join our team to investigate neural mechanisms of conscious and non-conscious processing of neutral and emotional stimuli using EEG, fMRI, or both simultaneously. tinyurl.com/phdmuenster

27.11.2025 14:17 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Job opportunity β€” Junior Professorship in Psychological Metascience @zpid.bsky.social leibniz-psychology.onlyfy.jobs/job/10kku5n7 h/t @bethclarke.bsky.social

26.11.2025 03:10 πŸ‘ 23 πŸ” 23 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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Positions available - Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology

Fully funded #PhDposition in Comparative Cultural Psychology @mpi-eva-leipzig.bsky.social.
We will use touchscreen experiments & eyetracking to study mental simulations in nonhuman apes & human children across different cultures.

All info here: www.eva.mpg.de/career/posit...
Please share / apply!πŸ™

13.11.2025 08:33 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 84 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2

πŸ“’ The #TeaP2026 talk & poster submission deadline is approaching fast! ⏰ Don’t miss your chance – submit your contribution by November 16: coms.app/teap26/ πŸ‘πŸΌ

12.11.2025 08:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
View from your office onto Giessen and surrounding villages.

View from your office onto Giessen and surrounding villages.

Please repost! I am looking for a PhD candidate in the area of Computational Cognitive Neuroscience to start in early 2026.

The position is funded as part of the Excellence Cluster "The Adaptive Mind" at @jlugiessen.bsky.social.

Please apply here until Nov 25:
www.uni-giessen.de/de/ueber-uns...

04.11.2025 13:57 πŸ‘ 80 πŸ” 98 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 4
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Similarities and differences in the effects of different stimulus manipulations on accuracy and confidence Visual stimuli can vary in multiple dimensions that affect accuracy and confidence in a perceptual decision-making task. However, previous studies hav…

Glad to see my first-year project is out!

In two experiments, we manipulated multiple stimulus features in a perception task, yet their effects on confidence and accuracy fell into just two distinct behavioral patterns, offering a way to predict the effects of novel stimulus manipulations.

1/n

12.10.2025 16:10 πŸ‘ 22 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
Is Using AI in Science Really β€œResearch Misconduct”? A Response to Guest & van Rooij - Replicability-Index This response to Guest and Rooji's article was written in collaboration with ChatGPT. I asked ChatGPT critical questions and probed their arguments in critical discussions. I even asked ChatGPT to pla...

Sure, you can be for or against AI, but to be against AI and trying to compete in the Hunger Games of academia is rather foolish.
replicationindex.com/2025/10/04/i...

04.10.2025 14:36 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
LnuOpen | Meta-Psychology

My article "Data is not available upon request" was published in Meta-Psychology. Very happy to see this out!
open.lnu.se/index.php/me...

04.10.2025 12:54 πŸ‘ 116 πŸ” 45 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 11
A picture of our paper's abstract and title: The order of task decisions and confidence ratings has little effect on metacognition.

Task decisions and confidence ratings are fundamental measures in metacognition research, but using these reports requires collecting them in some order. Only three orders exist and are used in an ad hoc manner across studies. Evidence suggests that when task decisions precede confidence, this report order can enhance metacognition. If verified, this effect pervades studies of metacognition and will lead the synthesis of this literature to invalid conclusions. In this Registered Report, we tested the effect of report order across popular domains of metacognition and probed two factors that may underlie why order effects have been observed in past studies: report time and motor preparation. We examined these effects in a perception experiment (n = 75) and memory experiment (n = 50), controlling task accuracy and learning. Our registered analyses found little effect of report order on metacognitive efficiency, even when timing and motor preparation were experimentally controlled. Our findings suggest the order of task decisions and confidence ratings has little effect on metacognition, and need not constrain secondary analysis or experimental design.

A picture of our paper's abstract and title: The order of task decisions and confidence ratings has little effect on metacognition. Task decisions and confidence ratings are fundamental measures in metacognition research, but using these reports requires collecting them in some order. Only three orders exist and are used in an ad hoc manner across studies. Evidence suggests that when task decisions precede confidence, this report order can enhance metacognition. If verified, this effect pervades studies of metacognition and will lead the synthesis of this literature to invalid conclusions. In this Registered Report, we tested the effect of report order across popular domains of metacognition and probed two factors that may underlie why order effects have been observed in past studies: report time and motor preparation. We examined these effects in a perception experiment (n = 75) and memory experiment (n = 50), controlling task accuracy and learning. Our registered analyses found little effect of report order on metacognitive efficiency, even when timing and motor preparation were experimentally controlled. Our findings suggest the order of task decisions and confidence ratings has little effect on metacognition, and need not constrain secondary analysis or experimental design.

🚨 Out now in @commspsychol.nature.com 🚨
doi.org/10.1038/s442...

Our #RegisteredReport tested whether the order of task decisions and confidence ratings bias #metacognition.

Some said decisions β†’ confidence enhances metacognition. If true, decades of findings will be affected.

30.09.2025 08:10 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

A new version of the statConfR R package is now available on CRAN. Now the CASANDRE model and the response-congruent evidence model are available as well. Check it out! Bug reports much appreciated.

27.09.2025 21:36 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
β€œOn the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

β€œOn the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure”
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/25/o...

25.09.2025 15:51 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 4

Introducing hMFC: A Bayesian hierarchical model of trial-to-trial fluctuations in decision criterion! Now out in @plos.org Comp Bio.
led by Robin Vloeberghs with @anne-urai.bsky.social Scott Linderman

Paper: desenderlab.com/wp-content/u... Thread ↓↓↓

#PsychSciSky #Neuroscience #Neuroskyence

25.09.2025 09:13 πŸ‘ 51 πŸ” 30 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

Common neural choice signals reflect accumulated evidence, not confidence! Now out in @cerebralcortex.bsky.social w @helenevanmarcke.bsky.social @pierreledenmat.bsky.social @yfvisser.bsky.social @denizerdil.bsky.social a.o.

Paper: desenderlab.com/wp-content/u... Thread ↓↓↓

19.09.2025 10:47 πŸ‘ 47 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Senior Scientist at the Faculty of Psychology. Start date 1 October 2025 or as soon as possible thereafter. 20 hours per week. Salary according to the collective bargaining agreement Β§48 VwGr. B1 lit. b (postdoc). Contract (initially) limited for 4 years and 3 months. Job ID: 4269

Senior Scientist at the Faculty of Psychology. Start date 1 October 2025 or as soon as possible thereafter. 20 hours per week. Salary according to the collective bargaining agreement Β§48 VwGr. B1 lit. b (postdoc). Contract (initially) limited for 4 years and 3 months. Job ID: 4269

Re-advertisement: #HPGVienna @univie.ac.at is hiring! We are looking for a PhD-level researcher excited about all things EMA to join us as Senior Scientist/ Lab Manager as soon as possible. Position is initially for 4.25 years & part-time (50% FTE) (more info in 🧡).
jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Senior-S...

15.09.2025 05:40 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 5