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Hoon

@hoon

Finance, markets, EVs. Spending 10% less to help start a consumer-led recession, to cause stocks to fall and stop Trump.

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Latest posts by Hoon @hoon

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BNP PARIBAS: “.. We think core #PCE could climb to 3.4% y/y by Q2, a striking implication of the hot PCE-relevant components that complicates the Fed’s policy path. We see upside risk to this estimate if the oil-price shock persists.”

11.03.2026 19:07 👍 50 🔁 17 💬 2 📌 2
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FBI warns Iran aspired to attack California with drones in retaliation for war: Alert The warning came in a bulletin that was reviewed by ABC News.

i would not have published this story, as someone who's read literally thousands of threat bulletins cosigned or circulated by the FBI

11.03.2026 17:58 👍 534 🔁 97 💬 42 📌 34

Iran’s foreign minister on X: A branch of Iran’s oldest bank was bombed while full of employees, Iranian armed forces will exact retribution for this ‘crime’.

11.03.2026 19:04 👍 43 🔁 17 💬 2 📌 2
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Video from a Chinese cargo ship which shows an Iranian Shahed-136 striking an oil tank at the Port of Salalh in Oman.

11.03.2026 19:03 👍 94 🔁 46 💬 3 📌 9
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Iran-linked hackers attack US medical device maker Stryker An Iranian-linked hacking group on Wednesday claimed responsibility for a destructive cyberattack on U.S.-based medical device and services provider Stryker, according to ​messages posted to the group's Telegram channel and social media reports.

Iran-linked hackers attack US medical device maker Stryker reut.rs/4rtx57o

11.03.2026 19:01 👍 61 🔁 36 💬 6 📌 2

Trump thinks he’s winning. JFC

11.03.2026 18:59 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

ah yes fair and free markets for the win

*TRUMP TO INVOKE EMERGENCY LAW FOR SABLE AS OIL SQUEEZE TIGHTENS

11.03.2026 18:55 👍 11 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 1

US Pres Trump To Invoke Emergency Law For Sable As Oil Squeeze Tightens
- Defense Production Act Expected To Be Used For Sable

11.03.2026 18:56 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 2

The launch/performance version is compelling for the price

11.03.2026 18:51 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Rivian Is Discontinuing Its Entry 'Dual Standard' R1S And R1T Rivian says changes to its lineup are coming later this year.

Rivian is discontinuing their Standard battery packs on R1 vehicles.

IMO, the standard pack was too small for such a large vehicle. And the LFP cells provide shit range in the cold, eg under 120 miles in some cases.

insideevs.com/news/789606/...

11.03.2026 18:49 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I don’t think that’s enough volume to allow Rivian to survive. It needs to really expand EV market size, than just take Model Y sales.

Rivian needs to sell 400k cars every year to break even. I realize R3, etc are coming. But they don’t have a lot of runway left, unless they raise much more capital

11.03.2026 18:42 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

ICE vehicles are the competition at this price point.

The EV market is more-or-less saturated at the current features+price Venn diagram. Either better features or much cheaper EV to expand market size, IMO.

11.03.2026 18:33 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

It takes between 40-50 minutes on an R1 to go from 10-80%. It’s a much larger battery pack though, so takes longer. Can only pump so much kW over a 400V pipe.

11.03.2026 18:31 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

One of the biggest gripes from people who wish to go from gas to EV is charging times. 5 minutes to fill up a gas tank is the benchmark.

800v charging cars can go from 10-80% in 12-15 minutes. The R2 in this sense, won’t do much to expand the market size already occupied by incumbent EVs.

11.03.2026 18:28 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

IMO, the pricing v features isn’t super compelling or a no-brainer. If it were $5-7K cheaper across the board, it would be. Shows how important the $7500 tax credit was.

Will the R2 be enough to make Rivian survive? I’m not so sure at these prices.

11.03.2026 18:24 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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NEWS: The Trump administration confirmed it bombed a girl’s school in Iran.

It's one of the most devastating military errors in decades.

Trump lied about it. Pete Hegseth gutted the office preventing civilian casualties.

175 are dead. Most were kids. Hegseth should be fired.

11.03.2026 16:48 👍 2046 🔁 686 💬 210 📌 95
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Rivian R2 prices might have been leaked. Article was briefly published before tomorrow, but someone grabbed it.

If these prices are true, I think launch edition will sell pretty well for its volume. The other versions, I’m not so sure.

Also, 30 min to charge from 10-80% is poor/mediocre.

11.03.2026 18:15 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 3 📌 0
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Got out of some tricky trades today. Markets are too sensitive to oil news/rumors. Yields are much higher--I'm surprised markets aren't lower from just this.

Done trading today with a small gain. Let's see what sh*tshow the next 24 hours brings.

11.03.2026 18:04 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

For awareness, Iran and Hezbollah maintain an extensive network in South America and likely have ties to certain cartels. While still a stretch in my view, it remains a plausible threat.

11.03.2026 17:49 👍 63 🔁 16 💬 8 📌 6

Lots of unknowns. Really stupid why we're in this position. But, I would avoid flying as much as I can for now. Airports/airplanes seem like highly disruptive targets

11.03.2026 17:46 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Or maybe this is Kash Patel being an idiot... You just don't know.

11.03.2026 17:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

California probably has the most number of people who are against this war. There are more maga-centric places to attack...

11.03.2026 17:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Jeez

11.03.2026 17:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

🚨🚨 FBI HAS WARNED POLICE DEPARTMENTS IN CALIFORNIA THAT IRAN WANTS TO RETALIATE FOR AMERICAN ATTACKS BY LAUNCHING OFFENSIVE DRONES AGAINST THE WEST COAST -ABC NEWS

11.03.2026 17:37 👍 38 🔁 10 💬 21 📌 79
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Another leg lower... $spx

11.03.2026 17:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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$spx futures continuing to face resistance. 9ema is proving to be a strong resistance line. And the rsi can't break out of its downward slope.

11.03.2026 17:32 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Big yield moves. Stagflation stink?

11.03.2026 17:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Israel is preparing for a potential “significant expansion” of attacks by Iran and Hezbollah later Wednesday night, according to two Israeli sources.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is convening senior political and security officials to assess the situation.- CNN

11.03.2026 17:14 👍 49 🔁 20 💬 1 📌 3
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There is no easy exit to Trump’s war The US and Israeli attacks on Iran will leave the Middle East in greater turmoil

FT: Most of the serious damage to the world economy is already done. Even an early exit to the war will make little difference. There is one big winner for this war, and that's Vladimir Putin. www.ft.com/content/b9c7...

11.03.2026 17:11 👍 38 🔁 23 💬 2 📌 1
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Interesting. My Rivian charging live activity is showing up on my MBP status bar.

11.03.2026 17:10 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0