New piece from w/ @hannahbunting.bsky.social & @jess-smith.bsky.social on the Gorton & Denton byelection, and what it might tell us about British politics.
We cover turnout, late-deciding voters, gender gaps & the continuing fragmentation of the party system 🧵
theconversation.com/late-decider...
This is a fantastic teaching resource for anyone covering Zaller (and I sincerely hope it still is many of us)
The cover page for a discussion paper called "Questions, Answers, and Some Cautionary Updates Regarding the 3.5% Rule" by Erica Chenoweth. In the image, peaceful protesters can be seen in front of the US Capitol building.
Lately I've seen many references to the 3.5% rule. A few years ago I pulled together this Q&A on potential uses and misuses of this statistic. www.hks.harvard.edu/sites/defaul...
Line graph that shows a blue line of # protests since Trump's 2nd inauguration surpassed, showing these to have exceeded 42k by the end of Jan 2026. A green line counts # of protests during the same time period in Trump's first term and just exceeds 10k.
Overall, we have tallied 4x more protests through Jan 31, 2026 than we had through Jan 31, 2018
Map showing tens of thousands of protests across the US between Trump's inauguration last year and January 31, 2026.
The volume & geographic distribution of protest nationwide during year 1 of Trump's second term was extraordinary.
#AffectivePolarization ≠ only #Partisanships 🎉
Ida Bæk Hjermitslev & @markuswagner.bsky.social widen the lens on political identity, looking in Germany, where ideological identities (left/right) are as strong as party IDs and shape how people judge others 🤔
So proud of this paper, and super happy it found a great home at the Journal of Politics!! 🥳
@parliview.bsky.social is hosting a workshop on LLMs and Access to Political Information
May 12, 2026 | University College Dublin
Submission: forms.gle/KgaYVN42dGdg...
For any inquiries, please contact:
Dr Eoghan Cunningham
<eoghan.cunningham@ucd.ie>
@ucdcs.bsky.social @insightcentre.bsky.social
🎉 NEW PUBLICATION🎉
Our paper on "the effect of symbolic policies on climate policy support" has just been published in the APSR ! @apsrjournal.bsky.social (open access)
The end of a long and rewarding journey with the best co-authors @malojan.bsky.social @luissattelmayer.bsky.social
(1/6)
Are you doing work on LLMs or conversational AI? Do you study questions related to political information and/or transparency? If so, please consider applying to this workshop, hosted by our lovely @parliview.bsky.social team members over @ucddublin.bsky.social. More info here - tinyurl.com/yc6m4mfk
An aging, increasingly unpopular leader with autocratic impulses sends masked agents into opposition areas to provoke unrest. Those agents shoot an unarmed civilian observer after disarming him, obstruct evidence collection, and the government then lies about it publicly.
When you explain it plainly, it’s hard not to see where we are as a country.
New article out in JEPOP with @eliemichel.bsky.social and @emilievh.bsky.social
We study how individual-level party-voter congruence shapes horizontal affective polarization (sympathy to other voters), using matched data of a Voting Advice Application in Belgium
Paper: tinyurl.com/4skwumdr
Worth a read!
💡Very excited for our INCONEX Online Kick-off Workshop on 12 December! Mark your calendars, register via the link below & join our conversation on representative absence! Oh, and spread the word.
#EUsky #Eursky #polisci
@sceus.bsky.social
👇
Undecided which section to submit your paper to for the 2026 EPSS conference?
Look here for short explainers by our stellar set of section chairs:
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.
😵💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.
👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.
A short 🧵
Vicente Valentim, Elias Dinas, & I came together to do this paper because we have all long shared an intution: mainstream center-right rhetoric shapes democratic norms. The hard part? Showing it empirically. We make some headway in this new paper. Grateful to @bjpols.bsky.social for publishing.
Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information!
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
💥Viktor Orbán’s demographic strategy is a disaster. Over the past decade, 37.8% of Hungary’s population decline was due to emigration to other EU countries. Hungary is losing the competition to retain its own citizens while birth rates tank. Read Direkt36's in-depth article on @vsquare.bsky.social👇
What do women’s parties want? And how do their platforms differ?
Very happy to share the first paper from my PhD out now in @politicsgenderj.bsky.social! In it, I present a comparative empirical analysis of European women’s parties’ issue concerns in 30yrs of party manifestos. 🧵⬇️
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
Exciting times for research looking *inside* populist radical right parties 😎
Once again, not only an assault on higher education, but also an unprecedented authoritarian attack on property rights, the sanctity of legal contracts, & the rule of law. Even if you hate everything about academia & professors, you should be terrified & furious about this.
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Have loved seeing the evolution of this project by the wonderful @rgpark.bsky.social! If you study trade +/or the environment, give it a read 📖
Americans favor labor unions over big business now more than ever, analysis of new data @epi.org from me & Adam Reich of Columbia Labor Lab.
In data back 60 years, Americans' sentiments are both warmer toward unions & cooler towards big business than ever before.
www.epi.org/blog/america...
🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.
We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.
What we find is disturbing:
osf.io/preprints/os...
Research article about media influence and voting in the journal Political Behavior
Thrilled that my paper is now published by @polbehavior.bsky.social! Using a natural experiment—the Sun boycott—I show how media may shape our voting mostly by changing our perceptions of party positions. Media matters! 🗳️
Read here: doi.org/10.1007/s111...
@tcddublin.bsky.social #mediabias #vote
🚨Publication Alert🚨
New update to the ManifestoVault repository is available!
Included: cleaned, content-verified manifesto texts at the natural-sentence level of the 2025 German general election.
Full coverage: Ireland, UK, Germany 1970-2025
@rwillh11.bsky.social, @lenamariahuber.bsky.social
Which would be a mistake.
Exhibit A:
doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Exhibit B: doi.org/10.1080/1350...
