🏳️‍🌈🚲Cole🚄🚟

I think I have more followers now than I ever did on twitter

Also, one of my friends asked about exactly this at a town hall. I don’t remember his entire answer but I do remember him saying that in Springfield he put pressure on some dems to not abandon trans people. @apostleofhank.bsky.social do you remember more details of that answer?

Simmons advocates for the protection of gender-affirming health care SPRINGFIELD – In an effort to protect the transgender and nonbinary community from criminal prosecution for seeking out gender-affirming health care, State Senator Mike Simmons initiated a new measure...

I wouldn’t be surprised if Simmons chimes in himself. I’m not sure what his plans are if elected to this office but he has championed some pro-trans bills! Here is an article talking about one of them. www.illinoissenatedemocrats.com/caucus-news/....

The red line makes me think DC

I don’t think it is particularly likely, but a regular polling error and some movement like this probably gives Simmons a path to victory.

Just, a very slim one. My model seems to think about a 1% chance

There have been some other polls in the past showing him about this level but this also shows positive movement for him, his favorables rising, and his unfavorables dropping. Only candidate whose unfavorables dropped!

I saw this criticism last time on reddit from a Kat supporter. Now seeing it from a Simmons supporter?

This is actually one of the better polls for Simmons too. One if his highest results, showing positive movement for him, his unfavorables dropping, his favorables rising

Go read this because there are a lot more details.

I think I am more confused about what happened after reading this. CBP and Cook County Sheriff are not very reliable and lie all the time but there would be no reason for the employer here to lie.

I can't imagine what anyone would gain from faking this though.

I really appreciate having these geographic subsamples. When I made my model before it was using arbitrary guesses. Now that I have fixed my error, the data approach seems actually very similar to my guesses but having actual data instead of a guess is nice.

Why would a news organization be biased just because it is in Evanston? Their job is to cover news in Evanston, not to put out positive news of whoever the mayor is!

If you support:

A ban junk fees on renters ✅
Universal child care ✅
Erasing medical debt ✅

Then vote for Mike Simmons for Congress in IL-09!

Re-share if you agree and you’re ready to WIN!

There is about 0.113 square miles of IL-09 that is in Lakeview that will probably account for like 1,300 votes. For comparison, the total number of votes in IL-09 will probably come to about 125,000 so the district barely goes into Lakeview

It's only a week though!

This sounds about right. I have also hear people say that Kelly's base will be more concentrated in the south suburbs while Stratton will probably win the South Side of the city.

Also, I usually hear people hating on Howard so it is interesting to hear someone call it one of their favorites!

I love that the top 2 answers are because they are hubs basically.

These are daily totals, but the 49th ward is having days where it votes more than the citywide average. Not by much but I suspect that the 49th ward is gonna be mainly people that vote late.

Also, how are 17% of people undecided a week out? That number has barely budged in weeks!

I don’t remember if favorability has a breakdown by age or not though

RoundTable/PPP poll: Abughazaleh narrows gap behind Biss, while Fine falls back in congressional race - Evanston RoundTable One week out from the 9th Congressional District primary, a second poll commissioned by the Evanston RoundTable shows content creator Kat Abughazaleh

The full crosstabs are included at the bottom of this. evanstonroundtable.com/2026/03/10/r...

The shortest was with Phil Andrew but he did approach me at the Green Mill

That would not be a surprise but the subsamples for non-binary people is often so small that the figure is not really reliable.

You’ll sometimes see national polls with bigger sample sizes that have non-binary people being very pro-Trump

So now I have talked one on one personally with 5 of the top 6 candidates for IL-09.

The only candidate I am missing is Fine.

If we had RCV this race would have functionally been over a long time ago. Biss’s dominance would be much larger and he’d have an insurmountable lead.

The threat of Fine winning would be 0

At least in IL-09 most of the vote wasn’t in yet. My understanding is that it was mostly in by the time Kamala endorsed!

Biss is also fairly progressive. The difference in ideology is actually rather small. It is why I have often criticized Kat over other things. When the differences are this small you have to find sone way to choose

I will hang it above the couch where I do this

Sip coffee
Pet kitty
Repeat

Over on Twitter I see people asking for Amiwala and Simmons to drop out and endorse Kat. I am also seeing people ask AOC to endorse Kat.

None of that is happening.