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@eridyn

International Relations Applied Econ Public Policy Labor Econ

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03.07.2023
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Latest posts by @eridyn

Oh look, the predictable thing happened. They didn't forget it what with all the less predictable things about.

11.03.2026 23:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Cursed

11.03.2026 18:16 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This little thread might be helpful.

Dramatically expanding the volume of food the spice was in did more than adding dairy.

bsky.app/profile/erid...

10.03.2026 23:05 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

β€œ.. a claim that, if true, would constitute an unprecedented breach of security protocols at an agency that serves more than 70 million Americans.”

@washingtonpost.com
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

10.03.2026 18:48 πŸ‘ 3160 πŸ” 1549 πŸ’¬ 207 πŸ“Œ 127

Eugene Fama in shambles

09.03.2026 23:36 πŸ‘ 18 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh Lord, heaven knows, we belong way down below
Oh Lord, tell us so, we belong way down below
Way down below, way down below
Way down below, way down below

I've seen better ways, man
I know better ways

www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHBx...

08.03.2026 03:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Go ahead and hate your neighbor
Go ahead and cheat a friend
Do it in the name of heaven
You can justify it in the end
There won't be any trumpets blowing
Come the judgement day

www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTBx...

bsky.app/profile/chri...

08.03.2026 04:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Go ahead and hate your neighbor
Go ahead and cheat a friend
Do it in the name of heaven
You can justify it in the end
There won't be any trumpets blowing
Come the judgement day

www.youtube.com/watch?v=cTBx...

bsky.app/profile/chri...

08.03.2026 04:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh Lord, heaven knows, we belong way down below
Oh Lord, tell us so, we belong way down below
Way down below, way down below
Way down below, way down below

I've seen better ways, man
I know better ways

www.youtube.com/watch?v=rHBx...

08.03.2026 03:54 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Elon Musk, arguably the best con man in history, does his β€œengineering” with smoke and mirrors. And despite Musk's track record, gullible officials still eat it up.

Outstanding article by Matt Ribel in The Washingtonian.

07.03.2026 18:29 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
06.03.2026 19:48 πŸ‘ 250 πŸ” 33 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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1.) Unemployment duration right now is *really* high. Near or above *peak* duration in pre-GFC recessions.

2.) We are spending less money than ever helping connect unemployed workers to jobs.

Bad!

www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-tinder...

06.03.2026 15:01 πŸ‘ 174 πŸ” 28 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 6
March 2026 US Jobs Report Nonfarm payrolls fell by -92,000 in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, temporary help services employment declined by -6,500 jobs, the temporary agency penetration rate declined to 1.54% from 1....

www.staffingindustry.com/research/res...

07.03.2026 04:33 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I've had a lot of disappointment from people I generally like.

07.03.2026 04:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Gasoline Prices and Presidential Approval Ratings of the United States - Rangan Gupta, Christian Pierdzioch, Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2025 We use random forests, a machine-learning technique, to formally examine the link between real gasoline prices and presidential approval ratings of the United S...

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

06.03.2026 21:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Stuck in the Seventies: Gas Prices and Consumer Sentiment Abstract. Using daily consumer survey data, we analyze the transmission of gas prices to consumer beliefs and expectations about the economy. We exploit the high frequency and geographic disaggregatio...

direct.mit.edu/rest/article...

06.03.2026 21:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Response of Consumer Spending to Changes in Gasoline Prices (April 2023) - This paper estimates how overall consumer spending responds to changes in gasoline prices. It uses the differential impact across consumers of the sharp drop in gasoline prices in 2014 ...

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

06.03.2026 21:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

At the gas station near my house, unleaded regular increased 30 cents a gallon from when I filled up at 11 PM yesterday to 3PM today. I don't have the exact price from when my wife filled her car, but seems prices were already up 30 or 40 cents from ~1.5 or 2 weeks ago.

06.03.2026 21:21 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Admittedly, I've not read through this yet but provided the abstract is accurate, this is, at least to me, kind of insane. In my experience, accurate 4-8 quarters out is usually considered quite good.

06.03.2026 04:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Our so very cyberpunk present...

04.03.2026 16:43 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

My spouse was correct I never had time/availability to be president of the civic org, but no one else was interested and I'm strangely suited to attempting to restore useful institutional knowledge ("historian") even as I struggle in the day-to-day parts... If I stabilize things, that's a win.

03.03.2026 05:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

How strictly is "belong to" defined? There's plenty of places I technically am part of but which I only look at every few months, such as a subreddit I inherited or a civic group's channels that I simply can't keep up with because work chaos.

03.03.2026 05:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This really ought to be terrifying. We literally have people making decisions to drop bombs in the grips of apocalyptic fantasies.

03.03.2026 04:59 πŸ‘ 995 πŸ” 284 πŸ’¬ 15 πŸ“Œ 19

I've been offline, alternating began working, volunteer work, and house work.

I don't know if I should invest time in catching up or... well, no, I probably should just get some rest.

02.03.2026 04:29 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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28.02.2026 23:21 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The juxtaposition of our personal lives generally being about the best they've ever been vs the oft worsening state of the world has been an odd experience.

28.02.2026 16:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Additional quote

@kataschultz.bsky.social: "Our entire relationship has just been one national or international catastrophe after another. A never-ending shitshow for seven years."

28.02.2026 16:42 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œThe forces we are up against have made peace with mass death. They are treasonous to this world and its human and non-human inhabitants.”

28.02.2026 15:36 πŸ‘ 2628 πŸ” 1130 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 32

Wouldn't want a little war to get in the way of a golf weekend.

28.02.2026 15:26 πŸ‘ 4384 πŸ” 1115 πŸ’¬ 187 πŸ“Œ 36
Preview
Pentagon removes senior official from Joint Staff post, sources say U.S. Vice Admiral Fred Kacher only took the post in December.

Trump has dismissed Vice Admiral Fred Kacher, deputy director of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, for issuing warnings to him about what might go wrong in a new war against Iran, Reuters report. www.reuters.com/world/us/pen...

27.02.2026 21:19 πŸ‘ 630 πŸ” 416 πŸ’¬ 64 πŸ“Œ 94