Here is the "effective payline" for each institute, estimated (by Claude) as the percentile where one can expect 80% probability of funding from a logistic regression fit. The effective payline has gone from a historic ~12% to 6% in 2025.
Every psych department has its quirks but the elevator is currently broken in all of them.
Ever wondered how the Dalmatian Dog effect works?
The human brain can quickly learn from a single experience and generalize it to related experiences — an impressive feat so far not matched by AI.
Our new paper in @natcomms.nature.com reveals how this works.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
After 20 years as psychology's golden child, ego depletion collapsed. Now it's back...with a catch. The secret? Make people work for 30-40 minutes instead of 5. In other words, we finally discovered fatigue.
New post on the redemption tour.
The OPAM conference is looking for new organizers, and senior grads and postdocs are eligible. Please share and post widely! This was one of the best things I ever did for my career, and as a service, and I cannot recommend it enough. Deadline 3/1/26; questions to me or opam.info@gmail.com.
Are you interested in adding Bayesian analyses to your next project so you can finally start interpreting your null results? Then join us tomorrow where Dr. Johnny van Doorn from @jaspstats.bsky.social will give a workshop how easy Bayesian stats can be using JASP! Sign up below!
Opportunities and Challenges in Precision Neurotherapeutics
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
#neuroscience
still one of the best explanations of principal component analysis (pca), explained at different levels from layman to the more math inclined stats.stackexchange.com/a/140579/132...
Meta-analysis: After correcting for publication bias, there is no effect of “social norm messaging” nudges on health behavior
We need theories that explain *why* these interventions don’t work
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
After 5 years of data collection, our WARN-D machine learning competition to forecast depression onset is now LIVE! We hope many of you will participate—we have incredibly rich data.
If you share a single thing of my lab this year, please make it this competition.
eiko-fried.com/warn-d-machi...
We present a new Python library for processing eye movement and pupil data, compatible with Eyelink, Tobii, and generic eye trackers. Check out its features below! link.springer.com/article/10.3...
Line chart of Google search interest for “Christmas gift wife” and “Christmas gift husband” from November 18 to December 24. Bold lines show the average pattern across 2020–2024, while lighter shaded lines represent individual years. Shaded areas highlight which term has higher search interest at each point in time. The chart shows that searches for gifts for wives peak later in December than searches for gifts for husbands.
🎄 Hope you’ve got all your presents ready 💝
Google search interest shows a stable pattern:
🎅 “Christmas gift wife” peaks just before Christmas Eve
🎅 “Christmas gift husband” peaks much earlier
#MerryChristmas to all of you! 🎁
📈 Google Trends (Nov 18–Dec 24, 2020–2024)
#dataviz #ggplot2
I've used Lavaan almost every (work)day for 15 years, but this open source labour of love has never received proper institutional support. I'm delighted to be a small part of an 1.5M OpenScienceNL award, led by Jorgensen, to completely revamp and futureproof Lavaan www.openscience.nl/en/news/45-p...
Joint modelling of brain and behaviour dynamics with artificial intelligence
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
📢 New Publication Alert!
Our study on cognitive control in healthy aging is finally out (for early access) in Communications Medicine bit.ly/48tkF9g
We administered a comprehensive cognitive control test battery in 231 older adults (different cohorts) and 75 young adults 🧠
Key insights in 🧵(1/4)
The next installment of our NSF-funded OPAM workshop series will feature Dr Jason Tsukahara (of the University of Miami) presenting his workshop on researching individual differences (on December 9th). Visit the website (opamconference.com) to register for the free Zoom session.
Thoughtful review with some good recent historical perspective on the ongoing paradigm shift that is radically changing the way we think about what brain areas do.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
🚨 SynthNet is out 🚨
Researchers propose new constructs and measures faster than anyone can track. We (@anniria.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci) built a search engine to check what already exists and help identify redundancies; indexing 74,000 scales from ~31,500 instruments in APA PsycTests. 🧵1/3
trained my first CNN today. am I an AI researcher now? 😂
Andrew R. A. Conway
Michael J. Kane
PS is excited to announce the launch of "Individual Differences in Cognition” (IDIC), an open-access journal on research in cognitive psychology, science, and neuroscience. Co-Editors-in-Chief are Andrew R.A. Conway & Michael J. Kane. Manuscripts accepted this spring. More information coming soon!
Jonny Smallwood @themindwanders.bsky.social was a beloved friend and mentor. He was taken from us too soon. His was a beautiful mind who understood the beauty of minds. As ever before, his kind voice guides me and his work will continue. We miss you Jonny. www.cbs.mpg.de/news/obituar...
We used a brain "pinging" again and found that distractor suppression is reactive rather than proactive, meaning attention is first drawn to the distractor before being suppressed.
A recent redesign of OSF by @cos.io led to widespread access failures. What began as a few broken download links became for me a total disappearance of eight years of DOI-registered work. What happened, how was it resolved, and what it reveals about trust and infrastructure in open science
Windows Media Player Headspace Skin in Windows XP
Windows Media Player Headspace Skin in Windows XP
Overall, we argue that, just like smartphones and wearables, driving behavior is a rich form of sensing data that can be harnessed to understand and promote health and well-being!
Including driving variables improved out-of-sample prediction performance above a demographic-only model, most notably for physical health, life satisfaction, and social role constraints
Some driving behaviors are highly specific in their predictions. E.g., longer minutes per trip more strongly predicted physical decline than anything else.
Everyday driving patterns from 2,658 older adults across the US were recorded. They also completed self-reported measures of general well-being and health across cognitive, physical, social, and mental domains. We found widespread associations between driving behaviors and health:
Imagine your car knows how you feel! 🚗
Using one of the largest naturalistic driving datasets to date (N = 2658), we examined how everyday driving patterns are associated with general well-being and specific health domains. 🧵
doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Big day for autonomous driving research.
Nvidia just dropped 1700 hours of public driving data on HuggingFace from over 2500 cities:
huggingface.co/datasets/nvi...
