Trending
Ward Hayes Wilson's Avatar

Ward Hayes Wilson

@wardhayeswilson

Realist working to eliminate nuclear weapons. (Not an IR “Realist,” just, you know, an everyday realist.)

368
Followers
185
Following
44
Posts
30.07.2023
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Ward Hayes Wilson @wardhayeswilson

Preview
Bushido The last in a six part series on Japan's surrender

Destroying the myth that bombing Hiroshima won the war goes a long way toward undermining the utility of nuclear weapons.

open.substack.com/pub/wardhaye...

14.10.2025 13:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The link below is to the sixth and final essay in a series that shows conclusively that Japan surrendered at the end of World War II not because of atomic bombs, but because the Soviet Union came into the war.

14.10.2025 13:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

If you want to prevent nuclear war, you have to eliminate nuclear weapons. If you want to eliminate nuclear weapons, you have to show that they're not militarily useful.

14.10.2025 13:43 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Inside Intelligence presents “Why Nuclear War Hasn’t Happened (Yet)”
Inside Intelligence presents “Why Nuclear War Hasn’t Happened (Yet)” YouTube video by JHU Advanced Academic Programs

I was recently invited on Michael J. Ard’s excellent podcast, Inside Intelligence, to talk about why nuclear weapons haven’t been used in 80 years and whether they might be used sometime in the near future. Michael is former CIA, smart, and on the right track.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=uknO...

03.10.2025 15:02 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
The Emperor Speaks . . . Twice Did the Bomb do it?

I’m publishing a series of essays that bring rarely discussed evidence and new realist thinking to bear on the important and troubling question: Did two atomic bombs win the war with Japan? The result will surprise you and change what you think.
wardhayeswilson.substack.com/p/the-empero...

13.07.2025 17:17 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Warning Signs When to take cartoonish danger seriously

Some disturbing news from Russia and Pakistan. open.substack.com/pub/wardhaye...

04.05.2025 23:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
A Few Words about this "Laying Down Our Weapons" S#!t Where the heck do people get these ideas?

I write a little about the strange notion that the only way to eliminate nuclear weapons is if one country "goes first."

wardhayeswilson.substack.com/p/a-few-word...

24.04.2025 22:31 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Nuclear Mystery, Part IV: Dien Bien Phu Why on Earth World the French Turn Down Three Tactical Nuclear Weapons?

Part IV of the Nuclear Mystery series is out, exploring why the French didn't use nuclear weapons to save the day when their troops were surrounded at Dien Bien Phu.

open.substack.com/pub/wardhaye...

14.03.2025 17:41 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I argue that there is a "practical and realistic approach" to eliminating nuclear weapons.

09.03.2025 13:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
A "Practical and Realistic Approach" Doubts about Japan's Approach to Nuclear Weapons

I was at the United Nations last week for the Third Meeting of the States Parties to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. Surprisingly, Japan wasn't there. My piece in Chugoku Shimbon criticizing that choice (with translation). open.substack.com/pub/wardhaye...
#nuclearweapons #TPNW

09.03.2025 13:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
Kim Jong Un Supports My Argument More evidence that the utility of nuclear weapons is open to doubt

I was speaking about nuclear weapons at Southern Utah University last week. Some folks there were skeptical about eliminating nuclear weapons. But something the North Koreans have been doing provides new evidence for the debate about the utility of nuclear weapons. open.substack.com/pub/wardhaye...

26.02.2025 13:20 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Nuclear War is Local Why Your City Council Should Vote on Nuclear Weapons Issues

Some thoughts inspired by President Trump suggesting we abolish FEMA.

25.01.2025 22:49 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Nuclear Mystery: part II Korea

Part two of my Nuclear Mystery series that explores the question "Why haven't nuclear weapons been used for nearly 80 years?" This one examines some of the practical difficulties around the peculiar non-use of nuclear weapons in the Korean War.

23.01.2025 18:16 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Nuclear Mystery, part I Why haven't nuclear weapons been used?

So why haven't nuclear weapons been used?

--For the better part of a century, no less.

An exploration of the practical utility of nuclear weapons and the surprising limitations on actually using them.

wardhayeswilson.substack.com/p/nuclear-my...

07.01.2025 15:03 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Missiles, nukes, and Ukraine What's all this about Russia firing an ICBM at Ukraine?

Some thoughts on the use today by the Russians of a ballistic missile to attack Ukraine.

open.substack.com/pub/wardhaye...

21.11.2024 23:13 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
Donald Trump and Nuclear Weapons This is not about what you think

Thoughts on the approach Walz and Harris are using against Trump, and how that same approach might be used toward nuclear weapons.

wardhayeswilson.substack.com/p/donald-tru...

22.08.2024 10:25 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Washers and dryers often have “features” you’re never going to use. Some people like all the fancy functions. But I would look for a basic washer that just washes the clothes and a basic dryer that dries them out.

26.12.2023 01:44 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Post image

Pleased to see a report about the book launch I did at the UN from the UN's Office of Disarmament Affairs.

disarmament.unoda.org/update/unoda...

17.11.2023 19:44 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Eliminating nuclear weapons is hippie-dippie/idealist stuff. No one takes it seriously. But listen to what this four-star Air Force general - who once commanded STRATCO - has to say:

“The most intelligent, comprehensive, and compelling argument ever advanced against nuclear weapons.” Lee Butler

24.10.2023 14:59 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

If you're in New York next Wednesday and you have UN credentials, you should come to the book launch of my new book. I will give what is, I think, the best presentation I've ever written on this subject. And tell your friends.

21.10.2023 14:08 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

Beatrice Fihn, the former Executive Director of ICAN (2014 - 2023) and Nobel Peace Prize Laureate said It Is Possible

“Provides the inspiration people need to eliminate these weapons”

You can buy the hardcover starting next Wednesday.

press.avenues.org/it-is-possib...

21.10.2023 13:58 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

There will be a hardcover available on the 25th. For some inexplicable reason, you can only pre-order the Kindle version.

21.10.2023 13:36 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Preview
It Is Possible: A Future Without Nuclear Weapons by Ward Hayes Wilson It Is Possible lays out a practical, pragmatic pathway to eliminating nuclear weapons. Each accessibly written chapter addresses a key issue in the nuclear weapons debate, from the political failures ...

Due out October 25th

press.avenues.org/it-is-possib...

18.10.2023 16:18 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1
Post image

“Arguably the most important contribution to the debate over the efficacy/fallacy of nuclear deterrence ever written.”
Martin Sherwin — Pulitzer Prize winning historian of nuclear weapons (1937 - 2021).

18.10.2023 16:17 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
It Is Possible: A Future Without Nuclear Weapons by Ward Hayes Wilson It Is Possible lays out a practical, pragmatic pathway to eliminating nuclear weapons. Each accessibly written chapter addresses a key issue in the nuclear weapons debate, from the political failures ...

You can read more about the book at:

press.avenues.org/it-is-possib...

17.10.2023 14:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

. . . nuclear weapons, but outlines new ways of thinking about them that make their elimination not only feasible, but the only practical course for the survival of humanity. A fascinating read, it is well-worth the time of anyone concerned with the planet’s future.”

17.10.2023 14:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Praise from people you respect means a great deal. From Barry Blechman, co-founder of the Stimson Center:

"Ward Hayes Wilson is the most innovative thinker about nuclear weapons anywhere. It Is Possible is truly a masterpiece. Its comprehensive analysis shows not only the uselessness of . . .

17.10.2023 14:15 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
It Is Possible: A Future Without Nuclear Weapons by Ward Hayes Wilson It Is Possible lays out a practical, pragmatic pathway to eliminating nuclear weapons. Each accessibly written chapter addresses a key issue in the nuclear weapons debate, from the political failures ...

. . . to protect humanity and the planet from another Hiroshima and Nagasaki.”
Taue Tomihisa — Mayor of Nagasaki (2007 - 2023).
You can read more about It Is Possible: A Future Without Nuclear Weapons here: press.avenues.org/it-is-possib...

16.10.2023 17:32 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Post image

I only met the Mayor of Nagasaki once, but when I asked him to write something about my new book, he said this: "Ward Hayes Wilson’s book assures us that our vision of a 'world without nuclear weapons' is not only possible but the only rational way . . . 1/2

16.10.2023 17:32 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
It Is Possible: A Future Without Nuclear Weapons by Ward Hayes Wilson It Is Possible lays out a practical, pragmatic pathway to eliminating nuclear weapons. Each accessibly written chapter addresses a key issue in the nuclear weapons debate, from the political failures ...

“This is a factual book, a book that draws on history, and that makes pragmatic arguments. If you are interested in a counterpoint to conventional thinking, if you want to explore new realist arguments about nuclear weapons, this is the book for you.”

Coming 10/25

press.avenues.org/it-is-possib...

14.10.2023 10:50 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0