Despite all this, the good news for Democrats is that it will not take a big swing to win the House majority. They need only a 5 seat swing.
Despite all this, the good news for Democrats is that it will not take a big swing to win the House majority. They need only a 5 seat swing.
Polarization is the big culprit here. More and more places are strong D or strong R, reducing the ability of swings in the electorate to change seats. And that's even compared to 8 years ago, much less 40.
More punditry from me.
The good news for Dems is that the public is moving in their direction. The bad news is that it will translate into a relatively small seat swing this November.
medium.com/3streams/dem...
Sex and Candy night at the ballpark may attract the wrong crowd though.
Good flag colors --> good uniform colors.
Is the Pope Italian was an expression for generations, but now it has to be replaced with Does a bear shit in the woods?
Olean, Olean, Olean, Ohhh---lean.
I'm begging of you please don't take my coach.
Thank you Coach McMahon for your service
Mama Rogers picks.
The best part of waking up.
Itβs fun to see Mark De Rosa eat shit in embarrassing fashion given that he works for Rob Manfred and has been part of the effort to try to sell players on a salary cap. Cream rises to the goddamn top, eh?
Just looking at that still, it looks 1 step up from porn. Basically music video before Thriller quality.
I mean, if it's a big dumber competition, Italy is a strong contender.
I'm grumbly in this thread, but that's at Landigan and his writing.
Thanks to both of you for responding and answering my question. I appreciate knowing this answer better.
Things I noticed watching NJ Gov coverage from here in the state:
1. Local journos were ridiculously exceedingly resistant to acknowledge how nationalized the race was, and
2. National journos treated everything like Nov 24 was frozen in amber.
I found it quite annoying at best.
Dems winning a Trump +9 this year isn't stunning. So Im trying to understand why he would use that word, instead of developing credibility with his audience by describing the world as it is.
If he's the go-to guy on NH, shouldn't he know how nationalized elections are.
Does he not read anything about national politics and that's why he's describing this election as stunning.
Who is the journalist in the screenshot and why is he so willing to essentially admit he hasn't paid attention to politics since November 2024?
Sheltered indeed.
bsky.app/profile/chri...
Chris Hayes has spent a very sheltered life if he doesn't have Geoege as one of his top 5 Straits.
@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social Respectfully submitted for this weeks links
We can only hope.
Democrats had a turnout increase in 2018, but still had half a million fewer votes than in the GOP primary. Cruz won in November by 214,000 votes.
In 2026, that margin is gone. So should be the rating of βlikely Republican.β The turnout numbers show this race is probably closer to a tossup.
As part of my day job as a political science professor, I've engaged in some punditry.
Democratic turnout was up over 1 million votes in the 2026 primary, driven by anger at the Trump Administration. The Lone Star State is in play in November
thehill.com/opinion/camp...
Firm, but fair.
#GeauxTigers
bsky.app/profile/oran...
Communism in theory: From each according to his ability; to each according to his needs.
Communism in reality: