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Gavin Kelly

@gavin-kelly

Chief Executive, Nuffield Foundation Previous lives: Chief Executive & Exec. Chair, Resolution Foundation Founding Chair, Living Wage Commission Deputy Chief of Staff, 10 Downing Street Council of Economic Advisors, HMT

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28.10.2023
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Latest posts by Gavin Kelly @gavin-kelly

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Governing in turbulent times – TIAL That is how governments avoid being trapped in the “eternal present”, even when the news cycle is determined to become the unofficial minister for everything.

How to organise strategic capability in government - a painful reminder of what we are currently missing. Excellent synthesis by Geoff Mulgan.

tial.org/publications...

04.03.2026 21:33 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Good piece by @chrisgiles.ft.com

I'm always amazed the simple fiscal doom chart has persisted so long.

Need some simple way to capture the trilemma: rising taxes v spending cuts v fiscal doom.

04.03.2026 13:41 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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A million young Britons are falling through the cracks The voiceless ranks of those not in work or training risk tumbling off the UK’s social and economic map

Via the always insightful @jburnmurdoch.ft.com

www.ft.com/content/a9d8...

28.02.2026 10:32 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The tripling in the share of UK young adults reporting health problems that impede their daily life since 2008 is extraordinary, highly concerning and at odd with the experience of other nations.

28.02.2026 10:31 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 1

Very fitting column - well done and good luck for whatever comes next.

26.02.2026 18:19 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Acemoglu, Autor & Johnson sketching out a pro-worker AI agenda. Worth your time.

24.02.2026 21:12 👍 37 🔁 14 💬 5 📌 0

Interesting to read this large scale representative survey of employers on the impact of AI with its (relatively modest) employment/productivity effects alongside some of the doomer opinion pieces doing the rounds heralding 'the great disemboweling of white collar jobs' etc....

20.02.2026 15:51 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Interesting to read this large scale representative survey of employers on the impact of AI with its (relatively modest) employment/productivity effects alongside some of the doomer opinion pieces doing the rounds heralding 'the great disemboweling of white collar jobs' etc....

20.02.2026 15:51 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

So true. Can still remember small acts of kindness from the week my mum died (19 years ago). So sorry for your loss, take care.

14.02.2026 19:36 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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‘People laughed at TV jobs in Belfast!’ How Northern Ireland’s capital became the home of quality drama From Blue Lights gossip to How to Get to Heaven from Belfast cocktails, the city has become a small-screen hotspot – and is basking in its newfound fame

Belfast is buzzing.

www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio...

13.02.2026 17:51 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
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A chart that I keep finding myself coming back to.

11.02.2026 19:08 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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I was fortunate enough to look at a facsimile of 1984 tonight - much of it (neatly) handwritten, with loads of notes, scribbles & crossing-outs. Amazing.

05.02.2026 20:40 👍 11 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Incredible that the household income threshold used to determine eligibility for the most generous student loan has been frozen at £25k since *2008* (since when nominal earnings have risen 60+%).

30.01.2026 14:01 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Really consequential changes are being made to the lifetime disposable income of graduates via freezes to loan repayment thresholds & interest rate thresholds. Big distributional consequences too.

30.01.2026 13:51 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Major @nuffieldfoundation.org funded research on the trajectory of high-achieving pupils at age 11 (from poorer & better-off families) through school into HE (or not).

The class gap in entry to the Russel Group is very large, mostly (not exclusively) explained by attainment & seems to have narrowed

28.01.2026 14:30 👍 6 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0

The research by John Jerrim & Maria Palma Carvajal
is packed full of interesting findings for all those interested in education, social mobility, inequalities and cohort studies.

johnjerrim.wordpress.com/wp-content/u...

28.01.2026 14:57 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It also looks at university experience: which students still continue to live at home?

It shows that - even for students getting the same grades & going to the same uni - the odds are almost twice as high that those from disadvantaged backgrounds will continue living with their parents.

28.01.2026 14:52 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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The study also looks at trajectories by gender & ethnicity. It shows that high attaining white working class pupils are significantly less likely to progress to RG unis than other pupils. The only group that does worse than white working class boys is WWC girls.

28.01.2026 14:39 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Major @nuffieldfoundation.org funded research on the trajectory of high-achieving pupils at age 11 (from poorer & better-off families) through school into HE (or not).

The class gap in entry to the Russel Group is very large, mostly (not exclusively) explained by attainment & seems to have narrowed

28.01.2026 14:30 👍 6 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
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AI nudification: the latest weapon of violence against women and girls In Julie Burchill’s recent article in the Spectator, Does it really matter if Grok undresses us all?, she makes the argument that those who, like me, have repeatedly had their clothes removed by socia...

This week, an X user created an AI video of me being chloroformed and prepared for rape.

Victims are told it's not real and they're getting offended for no reason.

But nudification tools are weapons of sexual assault, and the harm they cause is real 👇

jessasato.substack.com/p/ai-nudific...

23.01.2026 11:21 👍 1872 🔁 826 💬 161 📌 121
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Annual report on education spending in England: 2025–26 | Institute for Fiscal Studies This annual report compares spending across different stages of education in England and analyses the pressures and choices facing policymakers.

From @theifs.bsky.social Annual Report on Education Spending, funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org. A brilliant resource for all those interested in policy, education and children.

ifs.org.uk/publications...

23.01.2026 11:27 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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What's happened to spending at different stages of the education spending over recent decades?

- HE fallen all the way back to where it was in c.2005
- secondary schools & FE still below 2010
- early years has doubled since 2010
- primary up 12% since 2010

23.01.2026 11:24 👍 10 🔁 5 💬 2 📌 3
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Levels of despair have surged among the young:

'..for men under 25, despair more than doubled between 2009 and 2021. The percentage of young women in despair rose even more sharply, with most of the increase coming after 2016.'

19.01.2026 09:39 👍 5 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 0

There’s been no reduction in self-reported mental ill health in the post Covid years versus the Covid/lockdown era. Remarkable.

19.01.2026 19:59 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Agree. Trouble is, there are lots of other pressing things we could add to your list. What a time to be allocating resources.

19.01.2026 14:58 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

What should we do less of? The question that, in so many different contexts, we all like to duck. All the more so if the answer gets anywhere near private consumption.

19.01.2026 14:46 👍 23 🔁 9 💬 4 📌 0
Image of a page on an article by Rob Street in the Law Society Gazette.

Image of a page on an article by Rob Street in the Law Society Gazette.

Delighted to see our Director of Justice, Rob Street, writing in the @lawsocietygazette.bsky.social about the Foundation’s Public Right to Justice programme & the importance of evidence-led reform in the civil, family & tribunal systems in England & Wales.

Find out more about PRTJ: bit.ly/49L7csU

19.01.2026 11:57 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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The disappearance of the hump shape in illbeing by age - Understanding Society Lifetime happiness trend changes as youth mental health suffers. It’s long been established that happiness makes a U-shape over our lifetimes

Important new briefing note by @xiaoweixu.bsky.social @alexbryson.bsky.social @dannyblanchy.bsky.social

www.understandingsociety.ac.uk/blog/2026/01...

19.01.2026 09:45 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Which means the longstanding 'hump' shape of despair (peaking in middle age) has disappeared. Now, despair starts high and (broadly) declines with age.

19.01.2026 09:43 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Levels of despair have surged among the young:

'..for men under 25, despair more than doubled between 2009 and 2021. The percentage of young women in despair rose even more sharply, with most of the increase coming after 2016.'

19.01.2026 09:39 👍 5 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 0