Little known fact: It's okay to say things that are wildly wrong and profoundly consequential, as long as you don't make eye contact while you do it and don't correct yourself afterward.
That said, I think this is plausibly a case where humans and AIs are complements and not substitutes.
One human misread and 20 bots cheering them on and you've got some Angry Discourse.
bsky.app/profile/ryan...
I mean, sometimes they are minor bluesky celebrities.
I do not!
(That said, it sounds like the role of gender might underspecified? And I think it's plausible that 1.) A reader might infer that this underspecification is a stalking horse for 1950s social norms 2.) Brink would ideally communicate "this is not a stalking horse for 1950s social norms)).
a graph of the inflation situation
NEW:
CPI inflation rose to 2.4% year-on-year, coming in at 0.3% month-on-month. Core CPI inflation fell to 2.5% year-on-year, coming in at 0.2% month-on-month
One of the big disconnects is that everyone keeps acting like the files show some sort of Grand Conspiracy, but every time I read them I'm just struck by how small and venial everything is.
Andy going thru the epstein files taking multiple killshots including at his own longtime coauthors............ incredible. posting in case you (like me) missed it
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/01/31/f...
I've been reading a great deal about current and potential impacts of AI on labor markets. Just published: a 2-page overview of frameworks for thinking about this: www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
Replicators problem.
This is a huge oil shock and we’re, once again, seeing appropriate levels of panic, and some policy response. The world is losing ~14 million barrels of oil per day in the short term—that’s very hard to make up.
Here’s what else I’m seeing 10 days into this 🧵
Rachel....thank you
☝️ Top National Security Scholar
Yeah - you asked a question about it to the panel (I'm sure my loose paraphrase missed something).
"Consequences will be at a level never seen before".
Exciting funding opportunity for #AI economics research! The call focuses on labor market impacts & scientific productivity. Apply to this RFP. As a program partner, I am excited to learn about your work while reviewing your applications! schmidtsciences.smapply.io/prog/ai_at_w...
Unfortunately....
“There is an enormous opportunity and need for more research on the relationship between AI and the labor market—and better data.” Read a new analysis from @jedkolko.bsky.social, and join our event this afternoon to learn more:
www.hamiltonproject.org/event/unders...
gaslighting only works until you run out of fuel
It's a good response, but she should have also said "Matt Darling wrote something up about this this morning. Everyone should read it."
besttrousers.substack.com/p/what-the-c...
"If you are tracking the impact of AI on labor markets, CEO statements are the worst way to measure it." Amen, @marthagimbel.bsky.social! @hamiltonproject.org #AIPlusWork
A little, but I've found much more useful than those, partly because of user interface (skipping around video to find useful stuff) partly because it's better at integrating system interactions.
@marthagimbel.bsky.social 'Every agrees that HVAC technicians aren't exposed [to AI]. Everyone agrees plumbers aren't exposed."
Curious about this - I can think of a couple of personal experiences where a task I would normally contract out was mostly-solved with ChatGPT helping me diagnoses.
IN PASSING.
If we're going to do "when has automation ever made people's lives easier" discourse, I encourage everyone to read book 1 of Caro's LBJ series, and in particular the part about what happened once the Texas Hill Country got electricity and people could suddenly put their clothes in washing machines.
@marthagimbel.bsky.social "Everyone want to hear apocalyptic announcements, and not 'well, standard errors....".
@bencasselman.bsky.social "There's an increase in announced layoffs - could something be happening there?"
👀
besttrousers.substack.com/p/what-the-c...
