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Jake Werner

@jwdwerner

Historian, director for East Asia @quincyinst.bsky.social, cofounder Justice Is Global. Previously @gdp-center.bsky.social, University of Chicago. Writing on US–China relations and global capitalism.

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Latest posts by Jake Werner @jwdwerner

Imagine having real leaders who serve their people and tell the truth.

11.03.2026 20:30 👍 72 🔁 21 💬 2 📌 0
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The senator demands a 50% increase in US weapons spending to counter China’s 7% increase.

Here are the two military budgets as a share of GDP. China hasn’t fought a war since 1979; we all know the US record.

And you’re worried about aggression from which country again?

11.03.2026 20:25 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

Tinted windows are up there with super-bright LED headlights as a dangerous modern scourge among motorists. How is a pedestrian or cyclist supposed to make eye contact with a driver if they can’t see into the vehicle?

11.03.2026 12:37 👍 42 🔁 7 💬 3 📌 0
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21/ Its day eleven. Hormuz is Closed. Fuel is trapped in Persian Gulf. Asian Countries now rationing fuel.

– Vietnam told people to WORK FROM HOME because they're running out of fuel
– Bangladesh started fuel RATIONING -limits on how much you can pump per vehicle
–Asia-wide petrol prices surging

10.03.2026 20:00 👍 82 🔁 37 💬 1 📌 11

Weapons of the weak for the age of weaponized interdependence

10.03.2026 18:31 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

sure we could unlock the Strait of Hormuz by assaulting the regional stronghold and defeating its boss via a Decapitation Strike, but what's our plan for when the AI's Vendetta mechanism spawns a Bounty Hunter at our level or higher who will track us anywhere we go across the entire worldmap

09.03.2026 13:57 👍 44 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
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Since 1991, to subdue official enemies, the US laid waste the Middle East and shattered prohibitions on wars of aggression and killing civilians.

Today, the sober-minded argument in DC to cease these disasters is: we must focus instead on subduing the world’s other superpower.

09.03.2026 03:40 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
A woman stands on a dirt mound, her back to the camera, looking toward a horizon filled with dense, dark smoke. A label in the top left reads "Tehran." Photo by Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times.

A woman stands on a dirt mound, her back to the camera, looking toward a horizon filled with dense, dark smoke. A label in the top left reads "Tehran." Photo by Arash Khamooshi for The New York Times.

The view of Tehran’s skyline overnight on Sunday was apocalyptic: Billowing smoke and towering oil fires turned the horizon orange as Israeli strikes ignited fuel depots outside the Iranian capital. By morning, dark, oily smoke hung over the city. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/w...

08.03.2026 16:51 👍 375 🔁 170 💬 42 📌 33

Must read:

08.03.2026 03:57 👍 39 🔁 14 💬 1 📌 0

I FUCKING HATE THIS SHIT (AND THIS GUY)

06.03.2026 23:08 👍 326 🔁 64 💬 1 📌 3

This is how they boast about the horrifying violence they’re unleashing on real human beings.

They have somehow found a way to combine bone-chilling sadism with the most embarrassing childishness.

06.03.2026 17:13 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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At least 13 hospitals and health facilities hit during attacks on Iran, WHO says Global health body investigating reports that four medics are among the 1,230 people killed in Iran since start of war

Every one of these attacks is a war crime, over and above the ultimate crime of starting the war in the first place.
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

06.03.2026 16:22 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
Photo of Pete Hegseth at a press conference, with the following quote: “Hegseth: Flying over their capital. Death and destruction from the sky all day long. We're playing for keeps. Our warfighters have maximum authorities granted personally by the president and yours truly. Our rules of engagement are bold, precise, and designed to unleash American power, not shackle it. This was never meant to be a fair fight, and it is not a fair fight. We are punching them while they're down, which is exactly how it should be.”

Photo of Pete Hegseth at a press conference, with the following quote: “Hegseth: Flying over their capital. Death and destruction from the sky all day long. We're playing for keeps. Our warfighters have maximum authorities granted personally by the president and yours truly. Our rules of engagement are bold, precise, and designed to unleash American power, not shackle it. This was never meant to be a fair fight, and it is not a fair fight. We are punching them while they're down, which is exactly how it should be.”

This quote distills, better than any other, this administration.

Its aesthetic: the most bombastic and brainless action movie, with the most hackneyed script writing.

Its psychology: sadistic gratification in domination, with particular pleasure beating those who are helpless.

06.03.2026 03:56 👍 17 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 1
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ICE detains reporter Estefany Rodríguez in Nashville - Nashville Banner Reporter Estefany Rodríguez, detained by ICE with no arrest warrant, may face deportation. Her attorneys seek immediate review of the legality of her case.

ICE has arrested and detained a Nashville journalist who reported stories critical of ICE. She’s married to a U.S. citizen and has been seeking asylum here after fleeing death threats in Colombia because of her journalism there.

They’ve already sent her to Louisiana.

05.03.2026 23:41 👍 12433 🔁 7485 💬 296 📌 340
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U.S. Automakers Risk Being Reduced to Niche Producers of Gas Vehicles

"GM, Ford and other established automakers risk becoming relics if they don’t catch up to Chinese carmakers... in EVs and self-driving cars," ht @jackewingnyt.bsky.social

A drumbeat of warning articles in press indicate how catastrophic the situation will become www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/b...
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05.03.2026 14:03 👍 8 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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Ladies and gentleman: Trump's new nominee to be DHS Secretary.

05.03.2026 20:21 👍 83 🔁 50 💬 17 📌 6
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Inside the Trump administration’s scramble to support its own war One State Department official said too few people were read in on war plans.

U.S. Central Command is now saying internally that this war against Iran is likely to last through September, according to information obtained by @politico.com.

This would easily cost over $100 billion, and that number could go much higher.

www.politico.com/news/2026/03...

05.03.2026 14:41 👍 459 🔁 246 💬 46 📌 65

PEPFAR, the program to stop hundreds of thousands of children and adults from dying of HIV/AIDS, was $6.5 billion a year.

05.03.2026 02:45 👍 3043 🔁 1121 💬 2 📌 20

They are not Russia proxies, unless you’re using that word in a way I don’t understand.

We should not be “taking out” any country, because war is a terrible crime, only to be considered under extreme circumstances after all other possibilities have been exhausted.

04.03.2026 21:49 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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US War on Iran Challenges China and 'Axis of Chaos' Partners Washington’s one-two punch capturing Venezuela’s leader and then killing Iran’s in coordination with Israel has put Beijing on the back foot, according to former US officials who have helped craft Chi...

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 8 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1

7. What’s next? With this depth and duration of self-delusion, it’s all too easy to imagine a far more confrontational China policy after Trump based on supposedly proven Chinese weakness and US power, made urgent because Trump is not (for now) treating China like a bitter enemy.

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 12 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

6. Foreign policy leaders in both parties, having already shrugged off bedrock ideological justifications, are now in the process of giving up other restraints as well because Trump showed you can get away with it. Much will depend on whether the consequences catch up with him.

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 14 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

back much.

5. Celebration in DC foreign policy world that China is now revealed to be pathetically weak because it can’t defend its imaginary proxies. Some concern that Trump is not using violence in quite the right way, but no mention of the rules-based international order;

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 17 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 0

are isolated, its more important relationships are elsewhere;

3. A US president comes to power committed to destroying the rules-based international order. As is his wont, he targets the weakest victims first.

4. China, little invested in weak partners, doesn’t push …

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 17 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

sometimes coordinate—US foreign policy leaders seize on that to prove the existence of the Axis—but mostly it’s because the US is isolating them from other options. China, less isolated than the others, maintains relationships in the “Axis” but, precisely because other members…

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 15 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Let’s review.

1. DC foreign policy world, projecting insecurities outward, invents the “Axis of Chaos [or whatever]” comprised of the official enemies. They must be strangled because they aim to destroy the rules-based international order;

2. Countries in the nonexistent Axis…

04.03.2026 19:38 👍 41 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 4
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China did NOT move "quickly to condemn the U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran" Technically, Beijing only condemned the attack and killing of Khamenei and the attack on the girls' school. And it basically condemned Iran for attacking other Gulf countries.

A valuable summary of China’s official response to the US–Israel attack on Iran. Notably softer than on Venezuela.

Maybe most significant is China’s sharp criticism of Iran attacking the GCC countries. Their security, more than Iran’s, is China’s priority.
www.pekingnology.com/p/china-did-...

04.03.2026 17:29 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

It has been an explicit policy goal of the Trump admin both to increase the number of US war crimes and to expand impunity for war crimes. Here’s reporting on how they’re doing that.

04.03.2026 04:15 👍 6 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Neoliberal peace was built on a fantasy of unrestricted foreign capital. It was self-serving and unrealistic—every country that developed did so by manipulating access to its market.

Instead of seeking a way to align development with mutual gain, US opinion now shouts betrayal and demands conflict.

03.03.2026 16:54 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The "rally-around-the-flag" effect is not some law of physics that works automatically. It largely seems to happen because 1) the opposition party stops criticizing the president or the military operation, 2) partially as a consequence, the mass media is flooded with pro-government messages. /1

02.03.2026 19:48 👍 296 🔁 68 💬 8 📌 6