Really enjoyed chatting with @benraue.com and @shaunratcliff.bsky.social about the growing importance of housing and asset ownership in voting on The Tally Room podcast. Take a listen if you're interested!
Really enjoyed chatting with @benraue.com and @shaunratcliff.bsky.social about the growing importance of housing and asset ownership in voting on The Tally Room podcast. Take a listen if you're interested!
Also the pitch and the teams
I wish I could spend every morning reading a tribute to leif (and I think there would be enough material to sustain that)
the greatest💙🤍🥬
did his hat not present problems for this?
Surely we'd sit in and have them on the break
Really enjoyed appearing on the UCL Uncovering Politics podcast with the brilliant @alanrenwick.bsky.social to discuss my recent paper in Electoral Studies!
ucl-uncovering-politics.simplecast.com/episodes/doe...
The original trump imv
Really enjoyed appearing on the UCL Uncovering Politics podcast with the brilliant @alanrenwick.bsky.social to discuss my recent paper in Electoral Studies!
ucl-uncovering-politics.simplecast.com/episodes/doe...
in which month will ipswich town's promotion be confirmed?
Yeah they would, but they're such a small group - and I did run a model controlling for being a student and it doesn't change the results
Yeah, low income was relatively strongly associated with Green voting in the last election, especially when you account for age and household size
substack.com/home/post/p-...
6/6 🧵In @electoralstudies.bsky.social, @joshgoddard98.bsky.social studies influence of homeownerhip on voting behavior. Housing & election data from 14 countries. Results show homeowners are increasingly more likely to vote for center-right parties & renters for radical left parties. doi.org/qh8v
Hi Ben, thank you, and yes definitely! Perhaps you could drop me a DM and we could arrange from there?
Thanks!
New from my phd student @joshgoddard98.bsky.social: he shows, using many election and panel studies across the advanced democracies, that housing status has replaced occupational class as a key predictor of voting. Class voting is now about assets, not income www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Really excited to share my new article published in @electoralstudies.bsky.social!
1/7
Thank you!
Great comparative research from @joshgoddard98.bsky.social . Highly intuitive from a UK pov, too:
Thanks very much!
Thanks Chris!
Thanks Lucy!
Happy to see the first paper from @joshgoddard98.bsky.social ’s PhD project published today! 🙌
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Class voting is alive and well, once we recognise the importance of asset (housing) ownership as well as labour market position as a class marker
Overall, housing is a central and growing cleavage in politics, challenging class dealignment story. Relying on occupation risks mischaracterising the class basis of politics - we must update how we think about this to reflect era of asset-based capitalism
7/7
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Looking at more detailed housing market groups further highlights this. House value is especially significant. Again, housing is more important in predicting centre-right and radical left support than occupation, income or education.
6/7
Tenure is now a central predictor of support for these parties. For the centre-right, it has displaced (middle-class) occupation in this respect. This marks a big shift in their coalitions, but does not imply that they have become less affluent (as class voting lit tends to find).
5/7
Housing cleavages have grown significantly over time, driven largely by centre-right and radical left electorates becoming increasingly structured by housing tenure.
4/7
To integrate housing into these debates, I conduct the first systematic cross-national study of how housing market groups vote, looking at 14 countries over the past 40 yrs
Tenure groups vote differently: owners significantly more likely to vote centre-right and renters radical left.
3/7
