The tropical low south-southeast of #Seychelles & northeast of #Madagascar will strengthen as it drifts toward the SSE over the next few days. The low can become a tropical storm by the time it is expected to pass near #Mauritius early next week.
Monitoring the Coral Sea for tropical development next week. A slow-moving, developing low will bring more wet weather to northern #NorthernTerritory and northeast #WesternAustralia Friday into early next week.
Area of convection between #Madagascar & #Seychelles can organize to a tropical storm this weekend. This storm can pass near #Reunion & #Mauritius early next week with gusty winds & rain.
Rain & mountain snow will continue in N #Afghanistan, N #Pakistan, #JammuKashmir, #HimachalPradesh, #Uttarkhand & #Nepal into Thursday with addition rain/snow in these areas next week. Spotty rains return from #SriLanka, #Kerala, #Karnataka & #TamilNadu to #Odisha next week.
A storm approaching the #UK will bring gusty winds, rain & hill snow to #Ireland & the UK Wednesday & Thursday will spread rain southward across #France Friday. This storm will bring rain & mountain snow to #Italy with rain in #Corsica & #Sardinia this weekend.
Tropical Storm #Nuri has formed near #Yap Island. Shear will rapidly weaken by the time it passes over the Northern Mariana Islands on Friday, local time.
Quiet across the Southern Hemisphere tropics, but there is the potential for a tropical cyclone to form SSE of #Seychelles this weekend or early next. Also, monitor the Coral Sea for tropical development next week.
Isolated showers & storms will continue in east-central #SaudiArabia, #Qatar, #Bahrain & SE #Iran with rain/snow in N #Afghanistan, N #Pakistan, #Jammu, #Kashmir, #HimachalPradesh & #Uttarkhand into #Nepal into Thursday.
An upper low will continue to bring some rain to southern #Spain, southern #Portugal, northern #Morocco & northern #Algeria into Wednesday. Another splitting trough can dive toward the Iberian Peninsula, Morocco & the Canary Islands late next week.
A tropical depression has formed near #Yap Island & will move slowly toward the northeast over the next few days. The system is expected to move across the Northern Mariana Islands later Friday or Saturday, local time.
A day late, but Happy International Women's Day!
Conditions will become more conducive for tropical development in the south-central and southwest Indian Ocean and off the northwest coast of #Australia this weekend and next week. Also, a small chance for tropical activity in the Coral Sea next week.
An area of low pressure near #Yap Island will remain slow-moving & can strengthen some over the next few days. Regardless, rounds of rain, some heavy, are expected from Yap Island, #Guam & the Northern Mariana Islands into Friday, local time.
Patches of blowing sand/dust will continue in S #Iraq, #Kuwait, NE #SaudiArabia, #Qatar & SW #Iran into Tuesday. Areas of blowing sand/dust from #Israel, #Lebanon, S #Syria & #Jordan to S Iraq, Kuwait & N Saudi Arabia Wednesday into Friday.
Rain & mountain snow will continue in northern #Afghanistan, northern #Pakistan, #Jammu, #Kashmir, #HimachalPradesh & #Uttarkhand into #Nepal into Thursday. Additional rain and snow showers are possible in these areas this weekend.
A splitting trough will bring rain and mountain snow to #Spain & #Portugal through Tuesday. This trough will not dig far enough south to tap into Saharan dust so no dust issues in Europe. Unsettled in the #UK & #Ireland this week.
As the cool anomalies continue to get pinched off over the central equatorial #Pacific, the SST anomalies & outgoing longwave radiation anomalies are resembling a #LaNina Modoki. #ElNino conditions should rapidly develop in the coming months.
A broad low south-southwest of #Guam can organize into a depression over the next few days as it drifts NNE. Regardless, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds expected in Guam & the Northern Mariana Islands this weekend into early next week.
A few light rain & snow showers will continue in northern #Afghanistan, northern #Pakistan & northwest #India into Saturday. A more robust western disturbance can bring additional rain & mountain snow across these areas into #Nepal Monday into Thursday.
Another splitting trough will bring additional rain and mountain snow to #Spain and #Portugal early next week. This trough should not dig far enough south to pull Saharan dust north into #Europe.
#Saharan dust has reached northeast #France, #Belgium, parts of the #Netherlands & portions of far eastern #Germany. Some dust will linger over these areas into Saturday.
Tropical low 29U is near the coast of #Queensland at Innisfail & will weaken, but will bring areas of heavy rain & flooding to northeast Queensland through Sunday, local time.
The Pacific Meridional Mode went strongly positive in December & is expected to remain positive through at least summer. A strong +PMM in boreal spring tends to favor a +IOD in boreal autumn. The PMM & SPMM both being positive is a good signal for #ElNino later this year.
Conditions can become conducive for a tropical low to form near #Guam this weekend with a small chance to become a depression early next week. The slow-movement of any low will lead to rounds of heavy rain across the Northern Mariana Islands & Guam Saturday into early next week.
A western disturbance near the Caspian Sea will produce light rain & snow showers to northern #Afghanistan, northern #Pakistan & northwest #India Thursday night into Saturday. Another WD can bring more rain & snow to these areas early next week.
#Saharan dust has reached the southern #UK. Pockets of blood rain or red rain are possible in #Spain & southern & western #France. Dust will linger over the southern UK, northern France & the #Benelux region Friday into Saturday.
TL 28U and 30U are starting to rotate around each other off #WesternAustralia. TL 29U will reach northeast #Queensland Thursday night or Friday morning with heavy rain & flooding in northern Queensland into the weekend. Another low continues to bring heavy rain to the #TopEnd.
A digging trough will bring the potential for areas of blowing sand and dust across portions of #SaudiArabia, #Kuwait, #Iraq, #Bahrain & western #Iran Friday through Sunday.
A trough digging toward the Caspian Sea will lead to light rain & snow showers in N #Afghanistan, N #Pakistan & NW #India Thursday into Saturday. A more robust western disturbance will result in additional rain & snow in these areas next week.
Saharan dust has reached portions of #France and is expected to reach the southern #UK on Thursday. Some dust into the #Benelux region for Friday. Pockets of blood rain or red rain possible in #Spain Wednesday, then France & perhaps the southwest UK Thursday.
