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Max Boot

@maxboot

CFR fellow, Washington Post columnist. Pulitzer finalist for biography. Author: REAGAN: HIS LIFE AND LEGEND, NYT bestseller and NYT 10 best books of 2024. Man of many hats. Repost ≠ endorsement. maxboot.net.

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I was in a 2 hour briefing today on the Iran War. All the briefings are closed, because Trump can't defend this war in public.

I obviously can't disclose classified info, but you deserve to know how incoherent and incomplete these war plans are.

1/ Here's what I can share:

11.03.2026 01:03 👍 6257 🔁 2590 💬 179 📌 347
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Like I said, the winners of the US-Iran war are likely to be China and Russia. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

10.03.2026 22:23 👍 117 🔁 36 💬 6 📌 1
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Trump could name “Comrade Kamala” as his successor and 94% of “MAGA Republicans” would approve.

10.03.2026 17:22 👍 64 🔁 6 💬 8 📌 5
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Saudi Aramco warns of ‘catastrophic consequences’ if Iran war drags on Oil producer is racing to restore 70% of normal shipments, chief executive says

Saudi Aramco has said it will be able to export about 70 per cent of its normal crude oil shipments within days as its chief executive warned of “catastrophic consequences” for the world economy if the US-Iran war drags on. giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...

10.03.2026 16:32 👍 38 🔁 14 💬 2 📌 0
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

In 2016, Trump argued that “our current strategy of nation-building and regime change is a proven, absolute failure” and vowed to focus on the home front. So much for that: We are now expending more blood and treasure in the pursuit of yet another war of regime change in the Mideast. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 17:37 👍 102 🔁 23 💬 3 📌 1
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

Zelensky said more Patriots were used in 3 days fighting Iran than used by Ukraine since 2022. Imagine how much Ukrainian energy infrastructure—and how many Ukrainian civilians—might have survived the winter if Trump had sent more Patriots to Ukraine rather than to a “war of whim.” wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 16:42 👍 329 🔁 115 💬 12 📌 0
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If you don’t want the price of oil to spike, don’t start a major war with Iran.

10.03.2026 00:46 👍 187 🔁 37 💬 20 📌 3
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

It’s too soon to tell who will win the war between the United States and Iran. But, at this point, my money would be on Russia and China. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 17:36 👍 247 🔁 67 💬 13 📌 3
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Oil prices ease and Trump says war will ‘be ended soon’ Oil climbed to nearly $120 per barrel before falling back after Trump sent mixed signals and the G-7 mulled releasing emergency oil supplies.

Kinda feels like Trump faked out the markets today by promising to end the war “soon” but without a timeline. But vague promises can’t prevent another oil price spike.

www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

09.03.2026 23:22 👍 70 🔁 10 💬 12 📌 3

This should be the dictionary definition of “double talk.”

09.03.2026 22:27 👍 103 🔁 31 💬 12 📌 0

Also zero evidence for Trump claim that Iran was about to hit the US when he attacked.

09.03.2026 22:25 👍 105 🔁 31 💬 3 📌 1

Trump theory that Iran fired a Tomahawk at its own school, killing lots of kids, is about as convincing as his theory that the 2020 election was stolen. Iran doesn’t have Tomahawks!

09.03.2026 22:23 👍 126 🔁 22 💬 7 📌 1

Now Trump talking about taking over Cuba!

09.03.2026 22:10 👍 66 🔁 9 💬 12 📌 1

Doesn’t sound like he’s ending the war now, as the markets hope. He’s merely hinting at an earlier-than-promised end, presumably to keep oil prices from spiking.

09.03.2026 22:07 👍 67 🔁 10 💬 5 📌 0

Trump rambling on about the war. Sounds like one long run-on sentence. What is the point? If any.

09.03.2026 22:05 👍 75 🔁 6 💬 16 📌 2
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

In 2016, Trump argued that “our current strategy of nation-building and regime change is a proven, absolute failure” and vowed to focus on the home front. So much for that: We are now expending more blood and treasure in the pursuit of yet another war of regime change in the Mideast. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 17:37 👍 102 🔁 23 💬 3 📌 1
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

It’s too soon to tell who will win the war between the United States and Iran. But, at this point, my money would be on Russia and China. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 17:36 👍 247 🔁 67 💬 13 📌 3
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

China is manufacturing roughly 70% of the world’s EVs, 80 percent of smart phones, 80% of lithium-ion batteries, and 90% of drones.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration is spending tens of billions of dollars to bomb the Iranian regime to smithereens. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 17:36 👍 81 🔁 20 💬 2 📌 1
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

Zelensky said more Patriots were used in 3 days fighting Iran than used by Ukraine since 2022. Imagine how much Ukrainian energy infrastructure—and how many Ukrainian civilians—might have survived the winter if Trump had sent more Patriots to Ukraine rather than to a “war of whim.” wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 16:42 👍 329 🔁 115 💬 12 📌 0
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Trump and Hegseth are treating this war like a video game.

09.03.2026 16:17 👍 76 🔁 19 💬 10 📌 2
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Opinion | There are two winners in Iran. Neither one is America. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

While Trump has been bombing various countries, imposing tariffs, discouraging foreign students from coming to America, and cutting research funding, China has been making massive investments designed to dominate the industries of the future. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 16:16 👍 68 🔁 36 💬 3 📌 1
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The Iranians don’t have to prevail militarily. They just have to outlast Trump. My discussion on MS NOW.

09.03.2026 15:40 👍 84 🔁 33 💬 2 📌 1
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Talking on MS NOW about why Trump’s demand for “unconditional surrender” is disconnected from the reality on the ground. It simply is not a realistic objective.

09.03.2026 15:36 👍 80 🔁 26 💬 6 📌 2
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Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

China is manufacturing roughly 70% of the world’s EVs, 80 percent of smart phones, 80% of lithium-ion batteries, and 90% of drones.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration is spending tens of billions of dollars to bomb the Iranian regime to smithereens. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:31 👍 156 🔁 59 💬 6 📌 4
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Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

Zelensky said more Patriots were used in 3 days fighting Iran than used by Ukraine since 2022. Imagine how much Ukrainian energy infrastructure—and how many Ukrainian civilians—might have survived the winter if Trump had sent more Patriots to Ukraine rather than to a “war of whim.” wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:30 👍 193 🔁 60 💬 5 📌 2
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Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

China is manufacturing roughly 70% of the world’s EVs, 80 percent of smart phones, 80% of lithium-ion batteries, and 90% of drones.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration is spending tens of billions of dollars to bomb the Iranian regime to smithereens. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:31 👍 156 🔁 59 💬 6 📌 4
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Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

There was no “imminent” threat from Iran to justify the war Trump launched out of the blue—and the cost of waging it (financed with deficit spending) is likely to hamper U.S. efforts to compete with much more significant adversaries, notably Iran’s allies Russia and China. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:31 👍 85 🔁 27 💬 2 📌 1
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Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

It’s too soon to tell who will win the war between the United States and Iran. But, at this point, my money would be on Russia and China. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:30 👍 86 🔁 21 💬 1 📌 3
Preview
Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

Zelensky said more Patriots were used in 3 days fighting Iran than used by Ukraine since 2022. Imagine how much Ukrainian energy infrastructure—and how many Ukrainian civilians—might have survived the winter if Trump had sent more Patriots to Ukraine rather than to a “war of whim.” wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:30 👍 193 🔁 60 💬 5 📌 2
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Opinion | Who’s winning the U.S.-Iran war? Russia and China. Oil disruption benefits Russia, as does less U.S. aid for Ukraine. And Iran distracts from China.

In 2011, Obama announced a pivot to the Pacific "after a decade in which we fought two wars that cost us dearly, in blood and treasure.”

So much for that: We are now expending more blood and treasure in the pursuit of yet another war of regime-change in the Middle East. wapo.st/4ui9QzJ

09.03.2026 11:27 👍 45 🔁 10 💬 0 📌 1