www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
Felt compelled to post this great review on IPV - a devastating and important topic that gets surprisingly little attention given how prevalent it is, even in advanced democracies. A lot of low-hanging fruit for empirical researchers.
These authors wanted to know whether people with physical disabilities face discrimination in hiring: even when they are equally qualified.
So they ran an experiment.
Men under 30 are far more likely today than in 2022 to view legal sports betting as bad for society % who say the fact that betting on sports is now legal in much of the country is a bad thing for society, among .... Men Women 60% 40 - 46 39 31 48 65+ 47 Ages 18-29 43 50-64 43 30-49 45 C 50 Ages 65+ 42 50-64 36 30-49 35 18-29 36 C 271 25 22 20 - July 2022 July 2025 July 2022 Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted July 8-Aug. 3, 2025. PEW RESEARCH CENTER July 2025
Everywhere you look there is an opening for leadership.
What an irony that the Democratic consultant-pundit class fell into a poll-following Popularist obsession at a time of such volatility
Love this. Why do people identify strongly with stigmatized social groups/categories? Identification is more about making sense of the self (meaning) than it is about feeling "good" about the self (esteem)
Fascinating and depressing. I'd be interested to see a survey experiment that tried to manipulate attitudes toward human cloning or polygamy among Republican partisans with statements supporting it from Trump.
RIP D'Angelo. Will be spinning this today in memory of one of the all time greats.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=_RLP...
Apropos of nothing, family control studies of more than 2 million Swedish children find no effect of prenatal acetaminophen exposure on subsequent autism diagnosis.
Authors conclude prior observational findings likely due to confounding.
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
The social sciences face a replicability crisis. A key determinant of replication success is statistical power. We assess the power of political science research by collating over 16,000 hypothesis tests from about 2,000 articles in 46 areas of the discipline. Under generous assumptions, we show that quantitative research in political science is greatly underpow- ered: the median analysis has about 10% power, and only about 1 in 10 tests have at least 80% power to detect the consensus effects reported in the literature. We also find substantial heterogeneity in tests across research areas, with some being characterized by high power but most having very low power. To contextualize our findings, we survey political methodologists to assess their expectations about power levels. Most methodologists greatly overestimate the statistical power of political science research.
The pretty draft is now online.
Link to paper (free): www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
Our replication package starts from the raw data and we put real work into making it readable & setting it up so people could poke at it, so please do explore it: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...
This simply cannot be said enough. Americans overwhelmingly reject political violence. The impact of these events - no matter the target - is terrible, but the shooter is not *representative* of anyone.
Moved to Arkansas so I figured I’d better get a hard copy of this banger.
Congratulations Annie!! Wonderful news, can’t wait to read and cite it.
Screen capture of the first bage of an article in American Political Science Review, reading as follows: Title: "They Attend Strictly to Their Own Business": Disability and the Construction of the Worker-Citizen Ann K. Heffernan, University of Michigan, United States Contributing to a growing interest in disability in political science, this article makes the case for the central role of disability in upholding the belief in work as requisite for full citizenship. Turning to the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries, it shows how disability and the figure of the disabled worker were used to fortify emergent understandings of work against the changes wrought by industrial capitalism. Focusing on three sites of disabled labor—the school-based workshop, custodial institution, and industrial factory—it reveals the crucial ideological work performed by disability in sustaining the myth of the independent worker-citizen. Where existing scholarship has focused on disability either as an identity category or as a target of rights and policy, this article models an alternative approach, arguing for the relevance of disability as a concept that is integral to, and productive of, the ways we understand citizenship and political belonging.
Coming soon to an open access APSR near you:
(all kidding aside, I'm so happy to see this piece out in the world)
🚨Recent paper with @jaclarner.bsky.social on how people (fail to) respond to the vulnerability of marginalized groups during public health crises, now open access at JEPS.
This looks awesome.
For the first time all devolved national elections in the UK will use different electoral systems
Cool site below by @eoghanly.bsky.social allows you to see how they all work turning votes into seats 👇
If you make open science a precondition for publication you get open science. Love to see it.
This paper is an absolute masterclass in measurement. Love seeing this kind of work in the APSR.
I was sent a paper to review that cites a book I did not write. As in, it cites a made up book with my name on it.
Quick look in the references, and I quickly found several more non-existent papers.
People. People. This is supposed to be science. What are we doing? This made my soul feel tired.
✌️
clear evidence in the CES that ideology is beginning to overcome Dem party loyalty among black and hispanic voters:
2016 to 2024 swing in Dem support:
conservative black voters: 80% -> 51%
moderate hispanic voters: 79% -> 60%
conservative hispanic voters: 30% -> 9%
www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZ2Z...
What a fool believes might be the funkiest song ever written by a white guy.
Thanks, Drew!!
I’d like to thank your motivational posters.
Absolutely delighted to announce that I will be joining
@uarkansas.bsky.social as Assistant Professor of Public Opinion in Fall 2025.
Feeling very grateful for this opportunity and excited to begin work with colleagues in political science and the Blair Center in beautiful Fayetteville!
p.s. I know you touch on sorting in the paper! I am not steeped in this literature so I could be off base here.
Love it. Q: Are the results are better explained by partisanship than ideology. The target groups in the GP measure are all groups that sorted into the Democratic coalition more visibly in the period you study. This might better explain change given ideo/GP are more stable traits?
Great paper. Seems strange to me that we do not seem to see much use of GP measures in political science given that the measures are readily available in the ANES, or any other study with relevant feeling thermometers.
Glad to hop on this bandwagon.
How often in 2024 did I actually improve an empty page?
Great to see this out - congrats mate!
The abstract of the publication, which reads: While it is well-established that disability reduces the probability of electoral turnout, far less is known about the relationship between disability and support for particular political parties. Using nationally representative longitudinal data from Understanding Society we explore the relationship between disability and party support in England and Wales along left-right and protest dimensions. Consistent with our hypotheses, analysis of cross-sectional data suggests that, after accounting for demographic characteristics, disabled people are significantly less likely to support parties to the right and more likely to support protest parties. In contrast, however, after accounting for time invariant individual unobserved heterogeneity using panel data methods, we find no evidence of a relationship between disability and left-right party support, and far less evidence of a relationship with protest parties. We discuss and attempt to reconcile these findings.
🚨 NEW PUBLICATION 🚨
"Does disability affect support for political parties?"
Just published in Electoral Studies, co-authored with Melanie Jones.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
🧵 👇
