Aaron Connelly's Avatar

Aaron Connelly

@connellyal

Asia diplomatic editor and senior Asia correspondent at the Economist. Former think tanker. Author, with Shona Loong, of New Answers to Old Questions, on Myanmar.

4,069
Followers
652
Following
298
Posts
06.02.2024
Joined
Posts Following

Latest posts by Aaron Connelly @connellyal

The Washington Post's description of the bodycam video of his arrest last year, and the translation of Mr. Shah Alam's comments, is gutting. Remember, he was entirely blind in one eye and could only see three feet in the other, and he spoke virtually no English.

He spent a year in jail for this.

27.02.2026 01:01 πŸ‘ 3963 πŸ” 1779 πŸ’¬ 72 πŸ“Œ 115
Preview
Could One Nation soon become Australia’s most popular party? The anti-immigrant party is dragging the Liberals rightward as well

As we report in this week’s issue of @economist.com, these twin pressures could lock the centre-right out of power in Australia for a generation.

26.02.2026 20:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The Liberals can’t win back teal seats while working with One Nationβ€”or if they themselves become One Nation Lite. And they couldn’t rely on both teals and One Nation for supply and confidence at the same time.

26.02.2026 20:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If One Nation can displace the National Party in rural Australia at the next electionβ€”as polls suggest it would if the election were held todayβ€”it would put the Liberals in an impossible position. That is because the Liberals also face a challenge in urban areas from the β€œteal” movement.

26.02.2026 20:37 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

But there is scant evidence for this assumption in the political science literature. One Nation has never polled above 20% nationally before. The same low-engagement voters forced to the polls by compulsory voting may be those frustrated enough to chuck the two-party system out by voting One Nation.

26.02.2026 20:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

There is a folk belief in Australia that compulsory voting pushes Australian politics to the centre. In fact, when I was reporting from Australia for The Economist earlier this month, it was the one thing on which everyone, across the political spectrum, seemed to agree.

26.02.2026 20:30 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Chart showing One Nation’s share of the primary vote rising above the Liberal-National Coalition’s in surveys.

Chart showing One Nation’s share of the primary vote rising above the Liberal-National Coalition’s in surveys.

For a long time Australia seemed immune to the rise of populist right wing parties around the world. No more. One Nation is now the country’s most popular conservative party.

26.02.2026 20:29 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

TIL: Attu Island, Alaska is south of Edmonton and west of Auckland.

08.02.2026 10:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Watching The Candidate for the first time and very belatedly realizing that Marvin Lucas is… the dad from Everybody Loves Raymond.

07.02.2026 10:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Lest you believe that DHS has eased up on Minnesota today.

27.01.2026 23:05 πŸ‘ 1094 πŸ” 386 πŸ’¬ 25 πŸ“Œ 11

I was just saying the other day that even Curtis had been silent.

27.01.2026 01:11 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

That is not a quote from O’Hara

26.01.2026 14:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you, Rima

26.01.2026 07:54 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It emphasized that, actually

26.01.2026 05:49 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

That’s definitely not what that quote is saying

26.01.2026 04:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

No one is saying that they haven’t managed that

26.01.2026 04:12 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Another horrifying shooting by federal agents in Minneapolis What happens when armed men are given impunity

"Mr O’Hara, the police chief, called for protesters to stay peaceful. If they manage that, they will have demonstrated considerably more restraint than the armed officers of the federal administration."

26.01.2026 03:59 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Reform UK risks blowing a once-in-a-century moment Nigel Farage’s party is filled with Tory throwbacks

β€œIt is a theory best described by that noted terrorist and underrated political strategist Osama bin Laden: β€œWhen people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature they will like the strong horse.”

economist.com/britain/2026...

15.01.2026 16:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œIndia has barely updated its structures of governance from the feudal-colonial system it inherited at independence. Officials in post-British India simply slotted into older roles; they are still able to rule by diktat.”

India is not the only former British colony about which this could be said…

15.01.2026 11:39 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Cults of personality pervade all levels of Indian politics The focus is on individuals over institutions

β€œIn West Bengal it is impossible to get away from Mamata Banerjee, the chief minister, whose image is plastered across walls and public spaces with a devotion usually reserved for Bengali mothers.”

Cults of personality pervade all levels of Indian politics
economist.com/asia/2025/12...

15.01.2026 11:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Our leader on the β€œDonroe Delusion”.

09.01.2026 00:09 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The precedent here is obviously Panama, and while that was certainly illegal under international law, the US had a military base in the Canal Zone, there was a legitimate arrest warrant for Noriega, and there was at least the pretext of an American servicemember killed at a Panamanian checkpoint.

03.01.2026 10:13 πŸ‘ 60 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1
Post image
02.01.2026 18:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Katha is the town in Upper Myanmar where George Orwell spent his Burmese Days. This week it has become the setting of a pitched battle between the forces of democracy and military rule.

Summary of Burmese-language reports, via Frontier Myanmar:

02.01.2026 18:01 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
They tried to smear him as an antisemite – but Mayor Zohran Mamdani walks in a rich Jewish tradition | Molly Crabapple When I look at Mamdani, I don’t see some radical departure. I see him an heir to the Yiddish socialism that helped build New York

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre... β€œI see him as the heir to an old and venerable Jewish tradition – that of Yiddish socialism – which helped build New York.”

01.01.2026 15:42 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I just listened to this podcast, having missed it when we first aired it in August. It’s well worth your time.

27.12.2025 16:04 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A sham poll in Myanmar opens a new phase of military rule The country’s rebels are on the back foot

And we offer some speculation as to what a new phase of military rule in 2026 might look like, following the conclusion of the fake election in late January. We hope you will read: www.economist.com/asia/2025/12....

27.12.2025 10:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Today in @economist.com, we highlight the ongoing resistance to military rule in Myanmar, including the brave actions of Tayzar San and his friends. But we also canvass the reasons that the army has racked up a string of battlefield victories this year. (Russia, China, and Elon all played a part).

27.12.2025 10:21 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Dr Tayzar San’s sources say that Mr Htet Myat Aung was tortured during his ensuing interrogation. They fear that he may have already died as a result of his wounds, and are calling on foreign governments to make an issue of his welfare.

27.12.2025 10:06 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Delighted onlookers cheered Tayzar San and gave the three-finger salute, a symbol of opposition to military rule, before their hero slipped back into the shadows. But this is dangerous work. Another activist at the protest in Mandalay, Htet Myat Aung, was picked up by the junta the following week.

27.12.2025 10:04 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0