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Deb A

@debarch

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Έ I support Ukraine and Palestine, and also love nature and sometimes drink wine.

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12.12.2023
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Latest posts by Deb A @debarch

Outlook of the SST deviation for NINO.3 by the seasonal ensemble prediction system.

Outlook of the SST deviation for NINO.3 by the seasonal ensemble prediction system.

Latest ENSO prediction from JMA

"ENSO-neutral conditions persisted in February 2026, and overall [La NiΓ±a] conditions were dissipating. It is more likely (60%) that El NiΓ±o conditions will develop by summer than ENSO-neutral conditions will persist (40%)."

ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/prod...

10.03.2026 10:43 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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So he’s surrendering without accomplishing any of his stated objectives while declaring victory. Exactly what we said would happen.

09.03.2026 21:01 πŸ‘ 10571 πŸ” 2888 πŸ’¬ 1448 πŸ“Œ 299
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Antarctic sea ice rebounds in 2026, nearing average after four years Antarctic sea ice coverage has likely rebounded this year, coming closer to its annual summer average after four years of extreme lows, US scientists said Monday.

Important: circulations rule feedbacks!

Hence, change can happen fast

"Then in January and February, strong winds from the south pushed sea ice outward in the Weddell Sea. This slowed the overall decline in extent, leading to a near-average minimum," Scambos said.

#climate #earth

10.03.2026 09:40 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Lyse Doucet explains the nature of 'double tap' attacks, notes we saw these attacks in Gaza and observes "we've seen that again in this conflict"

I wonder why that is. Doucet doesn't say.

10.03.2026 09:53 πŸ‘ 45 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2
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An ancient Irish rainforest, overwhelmed by invasive sika deer and rhododendron. As these trees die of old age, only the rhodo remains.

Most of Ireland's only 1% or so of surviving native woodland is dying, almost all due to invasives like sika, goats, sheep, and rhodo.

We could do SO much better.

10.03.2026 06:38 πŸ‘ 222 πŸ” 47 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1

How much more evidence do we need? The ultra-rich and the governments supporting them will destroy everything for the sake of profit, power and pride. Nothing is precious to them - not human life, not the living world - except their own wealth and status. Our survival depends on resisting them.

10.03.2026 07:26 πŸ‘ 7594 πŸ” 2571 πŸ’¬ 227 πŸ“Œ 140
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First confirmed cases of bird flu in California elephant seals stoke fear as virus surges worldwide - Santa Barbara News-Press After a catastrophic outbreak of bird flu devastated southern elephant seal populations in 2023, scientists are on high alert.

Your 'moment of doom' for Mar. 9, 2026 ~ Local!

"Compounding the problem, climate change is creating more opportunities for bird flu to spread across species β€” including humans β€” as unpredictable weather and warming winters impact avian behavior."

www.newspress.com/2026/03/09/b...

09.03.2026 14:45 πŸ‘ 66 πŸ” 28 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2
graph showing clean energy stocks have outperformed the market .

graph showing clean energy stocks have outperformed the market .

Wait until the vibe investors figure this out.

09.03.2026 15:12 πŸ‘ 112 πŸ” 32 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3
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The UK Society for Motor Manufacturers and Traders today hosted a parliamentary gathering to discuss EVs and their roll out across the UK and Europe.

As oil shocks hit the world (again), a transport system using renewable electricity must be the future.

09.03.2026 15:42 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Greens coming out strong from the election in Baden-WΓΌrttemberg, as has the blue Nazi party, while weak red SPD, which is managing status quo with the black CDU at the federal level, is non-existent. CDU has an electorate that traditionally makes the cross until they have a cross on their graves.

08.03.2026 17:52 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

POV: life comes at you at 2026 speed

08.03.2026 20:46 πŸ‘ 28 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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08.03.2026 21:10 πŸ‘ 26 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Spring forward... Fall back... whatever.

Can we just pick ONE & stick with it once & for ALL?!!! ⏰

08.03.2026 18:36 πŸ‘ 15593 πŸ” 1947 πŸ’¬ 1340 πŸ“Œ 209

2) Overshoot will not be temporary or even reversible. Some of the proposed plans to reverse temperatures are, upon inspection, extremely threadbare, serving as little more than mood music intended to maintain optimism. The reality is that large-scale carbon dioxide removal, does not exist. 5/11

06.03.2026 09:53 πŸ‘ 130 πŸ” 45 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3
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Richard Curran: If there is gas off the Irish coast we’re shooting ourselves in the foot not licensing explorers to go and find it Things are bad when the British energy minister says the UK is β€œexposed” to rising energy prices.

Suppose it’s simply asking far too much to expect a senior RTΓ‰ business journalist in 2026, as the #climate crisis deepens by the month, to have grasped that continuing to drill for fossils fuels is shooting ourselves in the head, never mind foot?

www.independent.ie/business/iri...

08.03.2026 17:19 πŸ‘ 113 πŸ” 35 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 0

The Economist was wrong about the Iraq war. Wrong about austerity.

The Economist keeps being brilliant at being bad at economics.

Maybe change the name to The Propagandist?

08.03.2026 18:12 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The Spice must flow

08.03.2026 18:00 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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It's not just gas prices that are surging thanks to Trump's war.

Fertilizer costs could rise too β€” and send food prices skyrocketing.

Feat. @wkamaubell.bsky.social

08.03.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 1346 πŸ” 391 πŸ’¬ 71 πŸ“Œ 22

Winston Churchill quite literally asked the Americans to overthrow the very popular socialist Iranian government in 1953 because Churchill wanted the UK to keep extracting Iran’s oil wealth without paying for it.

Please do be a bit more historically aware.

08.03.2026 16:19 πŸ‘ 157 πŸ” 61 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 3

Happy to see @drjamesehansen.bsky.social on here!! Definitely a must follow for anyone who cares about/wants to understand climate change and the worsening climate crisis!

08.03.2026 13:42 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Black Death’s counterintuitive effect: as human numbers fell, so did plant diversity New study finds that plant biodiversity collapsed in landscapes where arable production was abandoned during and after the Black Death era.

European pre-industrial agriculture was actually good for plant diversity. This according to a study that showed diversity slumped with the Black Death as human population crashed and land was abandoned and rewilded itself.
theconversation.com/the-black-de...

#biodiversity #agriculture #rewilding

08.03.2026 11:36 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 27 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 3

Much of what is happening in the world right now has to do with the lack of open, critical education and mindfulness. Yes, likely also of you and me. We did let this happen.
Richard Murphy's YouTube channel is always extremely well produced and thought-provoking.

08.03.2026 07:03 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Log-scale chart showing cumulative individual days above six temperature thresholds from 0.5C to 2.0C since 1940. By September 2025: 800 days above 1.5C, 139 days above 1.75C, and just 6 days above 2.0C. The curves steepen and shift rightward at higher thresholds, illustrating the pattern this analysis investigates. Credit: @reescatophuls.bsky.social

Log-scale chart showing cumulative individual days above six temperature thresholds from 0.5C to 2.0C since 1940. By September 2025: 800 days above 1.5C, 139 days above 1.75C, and just 6 days above 2.0C. The curves steepen and shift rightward at higher thresholds, illustrating the pattern this analysis investigates. Credit: @reescatophuls.bsky.social

2/ Inspired by @reescatophuls.bsky.social's brilliant cumulative days charts, if you look carefully, there's a pattern hiding in plain sight: the gap between the first daily occurrence at each threshold & rapid accumulation is shrinking at each level.

I wanted to measure that gap precisely.

08.03.2026 10:05 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iranian drone damages desalination plant in Bahrain Bahrain says an Iranian drone attack has caused β€œmaterial damage” to a desalination plant. It's the first time an Arab country has reported Iran targeting a desalination plant during the nine-day war.

β€œIran struck a desalination plant in Bahrain as the war entered its ninth day…The strike came after Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said a US airstrike damaged an Iranian desalination plant on Qeshm Island, warning that in doing so β€œthe US set this precedent, not Iran.”

08.03.2026 10:07 πŸ‘ 64 πŸ” 26 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2

The USA seems to have spent the last 70 years creating various hells around the world - Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, El Salvador, Guatemala, Chile, Iraq, Afghanistan…
If they are the β€œworld’s policeman” they have applied a US model of policing to this endeavour, one with little relationship to justice.

08.03.2026 10:29 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Chart showing the exponential collapse of the lag, extrapolated to 2.0C. Reference points show 10, 20 and 30 year lag scenarios projecting 2033, 2043 and 2053 respectively.

Chart showing the exponential collapse of the lag, extrapolated to 2.0C. Reference points show 10, 20 and 30 year lag scenarios projecting 2033, 2043 and 2053 respectively.

1/🌑️ Global warming passed a milestone on 17th Nov 2023 that barely made the news

For the first time ever, the world's daily average temperature was 2.0Β°C above pre-industrial levels

Here's what the data says about when that becomes the annual norm, & whether it's coming sooner than anyone expects🧡

08.03.2026 10:05 πŸ‘ 115 πŸ” 96 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 4

I'm sure it's just a massive coincidence that they used all the same words, ideas and punctuation.

08.03.2026 09:15 πŸ‘ 1395 πŸ” 371 πŸ’¬ 88 πŸ“Œ 6
Trump’s Ballroom Corruption Exposed
Trump’s Ballroom Corruption Exposed Is this the most corrupt thing a president has ever done?

Over 97% of public comments submitted to the commission reviewing Trump's ballroom oppose his White House vanity project.

So who is this monstrosity even for?

Billionaires and corporate donors seeking to bribe Trump for political favors. Watch. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nbf6BJzpk1E

08.03.2026 01:01 πŸ‘ 2324 πŸ” 765 πŸ’¬ 96 πŸ“Œ 21

Remember the wealthy have been the ones collapsing our climate the fastest through their idiotic selfish short termed idiocy.

Here is where the idiots are buying second homes as everything collapses:

08.03.2026 08:27 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
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Nairobi flash floods kill more than 20 people and cause widespread airport disruption George Seda, the chief of police in Nairobi, warned that the number of people killed may rise.

From the #ClimateCrisis front lines

#Nairobi

08.03.2026 07:48 πŸ‘ 59 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2