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Rafa Lopes

@rafalpx

Researcher on drivers of epidemic dynamics Postdoc at @nathangrubaugh.bsky.social & @colincarlson.bsky.social labs I like maps!

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11.05.2023
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Latest posts by Rafa Lopes @rafalpx

Side note: sometimes even NOAA have issues when doing maps and not properly dissolving the simple features of each county polygon into a unique polygon to each of the temperature rank category haha

10.03.2026 21:46 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Wow!

10.03.2026 00:53 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

EU FALO ISSO HÁ 10 ANOS! UMA DÉCADA QUE TODO SISTEMA ESTRATÉGICO DO PAÍS É GERIDO USANDO WINDOWS, DE METEOROLOGIA A APLICAÇÃO MILITAR É O GOVERNO USA WINDOWS!

10.03.2026 00:51 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

I think Nicole already said everything, but thank you so much for catching this, I reached out to journal to fix it. Once again thanks!

09.03.2026 20:38 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Eu lembrei disso porque tô relendo o The Crying of Lot 49 do Thomas Pynchon e ele tem toda a coisa de falar do DOD e das empresas de tecnologia militar

07.03.2026 21:48 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Uma das habilidades mais terríveis da memória é a capacidade de lembra a gente de fatos aleatorios que são altamente incômodos.

Tipo que o José Múcio é ministro da Defesa e que ele vai provavelmente terminar o governo no cargo

07.03.2026 21:44 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

Thank you to @troytassier.bsky.social for highlighting our work on COVID-19 waves (esp wrt the Strugis rally). Fun fact: I accidentally ended up at Sturgis once (pre-COVID) and I have the tattoo to prove it. It was so cramped and chaotic; I will never understand how 2020 attendees justified it.

06.03.2026 19:18 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Screw Covid, I'm going to Sturgis. Troy Tassier is a professor of economics at Fordham University and the author of The Rich Flee and the Poor Take the Bus: How Our Unequal Society Fails Us during Outbreaks.

"Screw Covid, I'm going to Sturgis!" The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally, held in August 2020, was the epitome of the individual choice mindset. Of course it spread cases outward and caused infections, illness, and death. A new research paper allows us to watch the Sturgis Covid wave spread across the US.

05.03.2026 15:58 👍 281 🔁 115 💬 6 📌 14
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Screw Covid, I'm going to Sturgis. Troy Tassier is a professor of economics at Fordham University and the author of The Rich Flee and the Poor Take the Bus: How Our Unequal Society Fails Us during Outbreaks.

So @troytassier.bsky.social has written up the results from my @yalesph.bsky.social colleague @rafalpx.bsky.social's brand new paper in PLoS Comp Bio. Read it. With a guest appearance by #KristiNoem. troytassier.substack.com/p/screw-covi...

06.03.2026 01:11 👍 54 🔁 19 💬 0 📌 1

👇A comment on our recently published work in @plos.org Computational Biology!

05.03.2026 19:37 👍 25 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0
Climate change in the WHO Pandemic Agreement negotiations: a qualitative study. Graph shows the evolution of different topics over different articles.

Climate change in the WHO Pandemic Agreement negotiations: a qualitative study. Graph shows the evolution of different topics over different articles.

NEW PREPRINT! 🦠⚖️🌡️ The Pandemic Agreement is the first global health treaty to name climate change, and behind the scenes, the UNFCCC was a source of both inspiration and conflict. Cristina Arnés-Sanz and team tracked climate issues through three years of negotiations: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

05.03.2026 18:05 👍 30 🔁 17 💬 1 📌 2

Eu mais gostei que torci o nariz. Tem uma derrapada ali no começo principalmente quando eles tem definir o que é IA e qual tipo de modelos tão sendo usados aonde. O Pentágono não usa o gpt da Natália Beauty somente, isso é meio óbvio mas tá confuso ali

05.03.2026 01:47 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

A huge acknowledge to all of my co-authors, @yulangeoepi.bsky.social , Melanie Chitwood, Fayette Klaassen, @jsalomon.bsky.social , Nick Menzies, Joshua Warren, @nathangrubaugh.bsky.social, @tedhcohen.bsky.social , and @nswartwood.bsky.social!

04.03.2026 23:01 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Quantifying the spatiotemporal dynamics of the first two epidemic waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States Author summary In this work, we developed a set of tools and methods designed to produce high-resolution visualizations, as well as to quantify the complex and intricate patterns associated with the s...

We are published! We quantifying the spatiotemporal dynamics of the first two major waves of SARS-CoV-2 in the USA is online now!

By mapping the infections we were able to quantify the spread of SARS-CoV-2 over the contiguous US and we also estimated the speed of spread! tinyurl.com/y87tjnmd

04.03.2026 23:01 👍 31 🔁 12 💬 1 📌 0
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Quantifying the spatiotemporal dynamics of the first two epidemic waves of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States Author summary In this work, we developed a set of tools and methods designed to produce high-resolution visualizations, as well as to quantify the complex and intricate patterns associated with the s...

Three years ago we set out to visualize and quantitatively examine the movement of SARS-CoV-2 leading up to the first two major COVID-19 waves in the US. Today all that hard work "hit the shelves" at PLOSCompBio. 🛟 Watch the spread (we have movies) and read more here: dx.plos.org/10.1371/jour...

04.03.2026 21:58 👍 16 🔁 11 💬 3 📌 2

Olha a linguagem usada aqui.
“O Irã não dá sinais de capitulação, ataca novos alvos na região” ou “O presidente Trump diz que havia justificativa para atacar” olha como o sujeito e objeto do verbo são omitidos de forma a parecer que a primeira frase não é consequência da ação da segunda

03.03.2026 23:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Isso aqui é o puro porno bélico. E não tô falando dos EUA e Israel, esse tipo de matéria é na verdade um modo de normalizar a violência e a barbáries, tornar atos de guerra um mero espetáculo tecnológico

03.03.2026 02:12 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Forecasting the Next Pandemic Led by scientists from Yale and the University of Oklahoma, the Viral Emergence Research Initiative (Verena) is one of the largest pandemic prevention research

Very special to wake up today to a profile of @viralemergence.org from Yale. We’re in month eight of turmoil right now, and it’s hard to focus on the science, but the truth is: we have a lot more work to do.

ysph.yale.edu/news-article...

02.03.2026 16:13 👍 71 🔁 18 💬 0 📌 2

E veja só, a subutilizacao, também na mínima histórica, segue o padrão da curva de desemprego

02.03.2026 05:18 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Desemprego na mínima histórica ofusca subutilização também na mínima histórica

01.03.2026 15:19 👍 92 🔁 12 💬 5 📌 3

Hoje eu tentei explicar o que é um samba enredo em inglês. Falhei miseravelmente, claro

28.02.2026 04:11 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

This recent RCT of an "AI stethoscope" claims the technology "shows promise" for diagnosing cardiovascular conditions.

It does not.

It is a textbook example of the risks of conducting unprincipled 'per protocol analyses'. Once again, peer review at a major medical journal has failed.

🧵 1/

25.02.2026 16:44 👍 420 🔁 184 💬 8 📌 31

It is crazy how some YouTubers are just producing longer and longer videos, is like a movie about some niche subculture genre or a conspiracy plot about politics or how to make your espresso, a tutorial of one hour.

What strikes me is how pressures from the algorithm they’ve been to produce it

27.02.2026 04:13 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Produção de conteúdo digital - Atila Iamarino Formulário exclusivo para jornalistas e ex-jornalistas de ciências. Estamos buscando profissionais interessadas e interessados em produzir conteúdo relacionados à saúde feminina e geral, tecnologias...

Estamos abrindo chamada para jornalistas de ciências para fazer conteúdo para o canal.

Agradeço a quem se interessa e quem puder mandar para quem pode se interessar:

26.02.2026 19:40 👍 96 🔁 46 💬 0 📌 0

Vc manja que a história da demência foi plantada por um jornalista que na época da eleição tava tendo um caso com o RFK jr.? E que os democratas só aceitaram a Kamala porque ela é basicamente o Biden mais jovem

27.02.2026 02:23 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Oppose Nomination of Casey Means for Surgeon General The Senate HELP Committee is scheduled to hold a hearing on the nomination of Casey Means to serve as U.S. Surgeon General on Wednesday, February 25th. While we were hoping this nomination was dead, i...

I don't agree on anything with former VP Mike Pence. OK, one thing we do agree on: #CaseyMeans should not be US Surgeon General. The #GOP does not have the votes right now to get her nomination out of committee. Let's keep it that way. Write to your senators now. actionnetwork.org/letters/oppo...

26.02.2026 22:04 👍 67 🔁 23 💬 1 📌 3
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Robert F Kennedy Jr: 1 year of failure In his first speech as Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), Robert F Kennedy Jr laid out a plan to restore trust. The COVID-19 pandemic saw public faith in Federal health...

"There is little hope for US health and science while he remains at the helm. Calls for his resignation now number in the thousands." www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

27.02.2026 01:13 👍 153 🔁 60 💬 5 📌 2

Gente como assim o streaming do Roda Viva pelo YouTube não tá liberado pra fora do Brasil? Queria ver o programa de hoje!

24.02.2026 01:01 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Gente pelo amor de Deus se onde vcs tiraram toque de recolher? Tem a fonte disso? O que é decretado é parking ban, que pra permitir a passagem dos limpadores de neve

23.02.2026 23:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Revisiting some old codes, I love how cell towers basically draw our urban patterns. This is an attempt for the whole of South America

22.02.2026 19:40 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0