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(((Asa Zernik)))

@asazernik

Israeli-American techie scum. Almost became political operative scum, hence tweeting. RP without comment equals endorsement of post only, not source account.

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Latest posts by (((Asa Zernik))) @asazernik

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Excellent article by Faysal Itani outlining the dilemmas faced by the Lebanese state.

A key section here but it is sharp enough that you should read the full piece
newlinesmag.com/spotlight/in...

14.03.2026 17:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 26 ๐Ÿ” 5 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Pretty sure this is standard Jewish theology? As in, Hebrew doesn't have a gender neutral pronoun, but most rabbis across the spectrum will say that using ื”ื•ื isn't actually an indicator of gender.

14.03.2026 15:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Eventually settlers are going to kill an Israeli providing protective presence. Given the current state of affairs in Israel, Iโ€™m not sure it will have any impact.

14.03.2026 11:08 ๐Ÿ‘ 218 ๐Ÿ” 66 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

HE SAID THE LINE

14.03.2026 13:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 97 ๐Ÿ” 10 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thread (mostly about *economic* pressure)

14.03.2026 10:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

cf Russia, which they also get lots of oil from; in that war, the closest they've come to "helping" is taking a steep oil discount, and selling industrial precursors like drone components at full price to *both* sides.

14.03.2026 10:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

China has no allies*, only business partners. Its strategic thinking has just proven deeply allergic to this kind of intervention.

*except North Korea, maybe

14.03.2026 10:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The harder part is *external* transactions.

But it is worth keeping in mind that, whereas for a household or a company, nearly all real transactions are external, for large countries a lot of their transactions are internal.

Iran is pretty trade dependent, but half its economy is purely internal.

14.03.2026 04:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 206 ๐Ÿ” 6 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The upshot is that *internally* so long as the actual physical labor and raw materials are available in the country, the war machine will not stop for balance-sheet reasons if the state feels existentially threatened because in that case the state will eat whatever costs are required.

14.03.2026 04:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 264 ๐Ÿ” 15 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is a good question to address, actually.

There's often an intuitive assumption that when a country runs out of money, its war effort will grind to a halt. That's how households and (sometimes) companies work.

But those assumptions are really frequently frustrated - countries can push on.

14.03.2026 04:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 506 ๐Ÿ” 100 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 22

What does that have to do with the price of potatoes?

14.03.2026 10:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

"Rich and powerful people read and watch the exact same slop everyone else does."

14.03.2026 10:15 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Aaaah I'm more used to hearing "multirotor UAV". Different discourse bubbles ๐Ÿ˜›

13.03.2026 20:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Single-rotor is the preferred nomenclature

13.03.2026 20:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Oh no what cursรจd take did I miss

13.03.2026 20:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Half Ashkenazi guys of a similar build, only one has a shimmer of humor and creativity in his eyes and the other has the shimmer of... I think some kind of insecure masculinity? They had to be the explanation for the weird sword stuff.

13.03.2026 20:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Because no one explains it correctly

13.03.2026 19:04 ๐Ÿ‘ 41 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

They were at all the job fairs when I was graduating college, and my impression at the time was that they were as much a UI company as anything else.

13.03.2026 20:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Why?

13.03.2026 20:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

First rule of crisis PR - don't become the crisis that another crisis PR team needs to deal with

13.03.2026 19:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 17 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I mean, genuinely, I wonder what people think macroeconomic statisticians do all day if they're NOT trying to figure out whether people can get jobs and what their wages are and what groceries cost?

13.03.2026 14:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 81 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Wet in the alcohol sense, or wet in the moist sense?

13.03.2026 18:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Just can't let that type think Russia is down and out. Makes them start hankering for other wars of "liberation".

13.03.2026 18:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Bolton is pissed he's watching us screw up his dreams. It's like someones driving his dream sports car 20 miles under the speed limit and then crashing it into a telephone pole.

13.03.2026 17:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

you should attack your enemies where they are strong. politics is paradoxical like that

13.03.2026 16:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 92 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I have had this conversation many times, results are mixed and actual effects on underlying beliefs are doubtful.

13.03.2026 18:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Often, if pressed, they'll fall back on "the war crimes are more understandable lapses because our enemies are so evil", and then sometimes if talking with someone particularly honest you can get them to see the motte and bailey from "it doesn't happen" to "it happens and it's fine".

13.03.2026 18:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Widening divergence in threat perception between the EU/UK and US

13.03.2026 12:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 132 ๐Ÿ” 25 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

but the likudnik argument is very much that israel *is* an exceptional case, and that it conducts itself with an unheard-of patience and purity and any attempt even to find evidence to the contrary are obviously motivated by a hatred of Jews and the Jewish state.

13.03.2026 06:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 18 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0