Peter Cox

*DEADLINE EXTENDED* February 8

Submit your suggestions and nominate (yourself or others) as a co-author for the 2026 edition of the 10 New Insights in Climate Science

The "Ten New Insights in Climate Science (10NICS)" is an impressive project that leads to a very high-profile policy relevant paper each year. Get involved if you can (details in the attached message from @daniel-ospina.bsky.social)!

We've had a heatpump on our leaky barn for 5 years, and it's been great!

Comparing summers of 1976 and 2024 for the UK and Ireland

Putting the hot & dry summer of 1976 into context

50 years after the extreme summer for the UK and Ireland, what can we still learn?

climatelabbook.substack.com/p/the-summer...

I couldn't agree more! Piers Forster is an excellent scientist who has also worked tirelessly to contribute to climate change understanding (e.g. through his many roles in the IPCC), and to UK climate policy (through his roles on the UK Climate Change Committee). Congrats, Piers!

Cartoon by Nick Anderson

Congratulations to Piers Forster, Stephen Belcher and Gideon Henderson for well deserved CBEs in the New Year’s Honours!

Climate modelling work (e.g. GeoMIP) suggests that SRM geoengineering could work as a temporary/emergency way to cool the climate. This certainly does not justify large-scale implementation at this stage. However, open research on SRM needs to be encouraged, not driven underground.

Trump’s shuttering of the National Center for Atmospheric Research is Stalinist | Michael Mann and Bob Ward This is the latest in the relentless purge of climate researchers who refuse to be co-opted by the fossil fuel industry

👉 Trump’s shuttering of the National Center for Atmospheric Research is Stalinist

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

“The point of modern propaganda isn't only to misinform or push an agenda.

It is to exhaust your critical thinking, to annihilate truth.”

- Garry Kasparov

The Nobel Prize committee should announce the World Cup winner tomorrow

FIFA is a joke. Infantino is corrupt. The beautiful sport had to fire him and clean out the rot. 🤬🤬🤬

I will be giving the final @gsiexeter.bsky.social seminar of 2025 "Living beyond limits: Consequences of missing the decisive decade for preserving our planet’s life-supporting systems." 10th Dec 2:30pm UK time. You can join remotely👇
universityofexeter.zoom.us/j/9357183404...

this shit is just beyond parody, man

Absolutely disgraceful from @fifaworldcup26.bsky.social!

Is this a joke, @fifaworldcup26.bsky.social? How corrupt are you to honour the most despicable US President in living memory?

ESD Ideas: Climate tipping is not instantaneous – the duration of an overshoot matters Abstract. Climate tipping points are not committed to occur automatically upon crossing critical thresholds in global warming, as is often assumed. Instead, it is possible to temporarily overshoot a t...

Crossing a climate tipping point doesn't mean tipping is inevitable - a threshold can be temporarily passed if overshoot is short-lived.

Limiting time over 1.5 °C would considerably reduce tipping point risks.

New Ideas paper from @exeter.ac.uk & UKCEH: esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/... 🧪

Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system Abstract. The climate and carbon cycle interact in multiple ways. An increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere warms the climate through the greenhouse effect, but also leads to uptake of CO2 by th...

I wrote this paper to work how the climate-carbon system could enter a runaway state 👇

esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

Conditions for instability in the climate–carbon cycle system Abstract. The climate and carbon cycle interact in multiple ways. An increase in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere warms the climate through the greenhouse effect, but also leads to uptake of CO2 by th...

Fascinating new paper from Joe Clarke et al., which addresses the question: could the climate-carbon system suffer a self-sustaining runaway feedback? @gsiexeter.bsky.social @ukceh.bsky.social @bolincentre.bsky.social
esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...

10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition A new Oxford Smith School report finds a rapid switch to renewables could double energy-sector productivity in low-to-middle income economies within 25 years. In many countries, this would result in a GDP boost by mid-century of around 10%.

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10% GDP boost to Global South from clean energy transition

We need to take urgent #ClimateAction right now to avoid the worst of Climate Change!

Find out more: www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/ne...
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At 5:30pm UK time I will be joining @rogerhallam.com, @fisherdanar.bsky.social, @jeremylent.bsky.social for our panel discussion "Collapse in the 21st century and apocalyptic optimism", part of REV21. Join 👇
events.zoom.us/ejl/AjPpsEFu...

In 2024, renewable energy accounted for over 90% of global power capacity expansion. That is because it makes economic sense. IRENA_DAT_RE_Capacity_Highlights_2025-1.pdf

Where Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions Go (2015–2024 Average)

bit.ly/GCB2025-a

Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659

Components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties as a function of time

bit.ly/GCB2025-b

Friedlingstein, P. et al. (2025). Global Carbon Budget 2025. Earth System Science Data Discussion, (Under Review). DOI:10.5194/essd-2025-659

Raising the Voice of Science: COP30’s New Planetary Science Pavilion in Belém YouTube video by Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PIK

"As a scientist, I've never had reason to be so concerned as I am today for the future we are facing," states PIK Director Johan Rockström as #COP30 kicks off in Belém, Brazil. The first ever Planetary Science Pavilion, under the mandate from COP30 Brazil, and together with Carlos A. Nobre,... 1/2

💡Read the latest #NGC news article to find out how this first multi-model benchmarking study identified growth and mortality rates as critical variables in the development of vegetation demographic models (VDMs). Click the link below: nextgencarbon-project.eu/news-thefirs...

Read comments on the news article from the following #NextGenCarbon colleagues: Peter Cox @coxypm.bsky.social, Rosie Fisher @rosieafisher.bsky.social, Sebastiaan Luyssaert and Guillaume Marie.

10 New Insights in Climate Science Essential research findings to support decision-making in a critical decade.

The annual 10 new insights in climate science are here!
Perhaps the best way to keep up with climate science news of the past year, made for lay people, policy makers and scientists alike with its different levels of detail: from simple tiles to a journal paper.
10insightsclimate.science#explore

Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning Data assimilation (DA) has been shown to be a powerful tool for reducing land surface model (LSM) parametric uncertainty Machine learning can facilitate parameter estimation by enhancing computat...

Out today in JAMES!! Parameter Estimation in Land Surface Models: Challenges and Opportunities With Data Assimilation and Machine Learning doi.org/10.1029/2024... led by Nina Raoult, Natalie Douglas, @janasknits.bsky.social, @tquaife.bsky.social, me, and an awesome team of folks in the community 1/2

Like most good things, it started with dinner.....