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Lucas Kori Leonhard

@lucas-k-leonhard

Doctoral Researcher Working on military and non-military interventions to promote peace, security, and development Peace Research Institute Frankfurt Department of Intrastate Conflict

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25.03.2025
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Latest posts by Lucas Kori Leonhard @lucas-k-leonhard

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๐Ÿšจ Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim ๐Ÿšจ

7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers.
Free of charge (limited travel support).

Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org
#methodsky #polisky

02.02.2026 13:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 78 ๐Ÿ” 64 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 15

Interestingly, we find no evidence that natural resources or proximity to Western countries increases the likelihood of an HMI.

23.01.2026 12:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Once a threshold of intervention need is reached, additional violence has no meaningful effect on whether an HMI occurs. By contrast, interveners remain highly sensitive to how difficult the conflict environment is.

23.01.2026 12:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Together with my colleague Thorsten Gromes, I examine this puzzle. We show that interveners balance the need for an HMI, measured by conflict-related violence, against the anticipated chances of an HMIโ€™s success.

23.01.2026 12:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The absence of such missions in some conflicts marked by shocking atrocities has raised doubts about whether their humanitarian purpose is sincere or whether HMIs merely serve as a pretext for pursuing international influence and gaining access to a countryโ€™s resources.

23.01.2026 12:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The occurrence of so-called humanitarian military interventions (HMIs) has long been the subject of both scholarly and political debate.

23.01.2026 12:51 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Saving Strangers Selectively: Conditions Affecting the Occurrence of Humanitarian Military Interventions Because humanitarian military interventions declare their objective of โ€˜saving strangersโ€™, yet occur in only 9% of intrastate conflicts, the question arises as to whether there are patterns to thei...

Why do international organizations or (coalitions of) states intervene in some conflicts to stop violence, yet โ€œignoreโ€ atrocities in others?
doi.org/10.1080/1353...

23.01.2026 12:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Goethe-Universitรคt โ€” FB03 - Gesellschaftswissenschaften Die Goethe-Universitรคt ist eine forschungsstarke Hochschule in der europรคischen Finanzmetropole Frankfurt. Lebendig, urban und weltoffen besitzt sie als Stiftungsuniversitรคt ein einzigartiges MaรŸ an E...

we have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt
- a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage
- 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure

www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...

17.12.2025 10:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 56 ๐Ÿ” 61 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Policy takeaway: one-size-fits-all aid strategies donโ€™t work. Aid needs to be context-sensitive, especially in fragile settings.

01.08.2025 08:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Why? The effects depend on how aid interacts with local political & social dynamics. Similar patterns seen in Afghanistan.

01.08.2025 08:11 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿงฉ Key findings:
โ€“ Health & social protection aid decreases violence
โ€“ Infrastructure have no clear effect on violence
โ€“ Education & economic projects may even have adverse effects.

01.08.2025 08:09 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The study analyzes 100+ districts using spatially and sectorally disaggregated data. Methods include coarsened exact matching combined with panel regression & diff-in-diff on buffer zones.

01.08.2025 08:08 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Redirecting

Can development aid stabilize post-conflict societies?
My article, just out in World Development, explores this question using subnational data from DRC, Uganda & Burundi.
๐Ÿงต
doi.org/10.1016/j.wo...

01.08.2025 08:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Call for Papers: Humanitarian Military Interventions and Peacekeeping Under Fire Workshop of the project โ€œEffects and modes of effects of humanitarian military interventionsโ€

Is your work related to humanitarian military interventions or peace enforcement? Consider presenting your work in our workshop (15-16 September 2025) in Frankfurt. We have funding to cover travel and accommodation.
www.prif.org/en/about-us/...

31.03.2025 08:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0