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Lawrence Vulis

@lvulis

Climate Data Scientist working on natural hazards and climate risk in the property sector. Interested in the science of water, climate, cities, and landscapes, also dogs. Opinions are solely my own.

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Latest posts by Lawrence Vulis @lvulis

1) belly breathing

2) dinner parties

3) this fuzzy girl πŸ‘‡

11.03.2026 21:04 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

#climaterisk

11.03.2026 20:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Becoming oddly interested in the physical infrastructure of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
Fascinating Bloomberg piece from 2023.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

11.03.2026 19:49 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

This is a video of a drone landing on a moving radar truck and filming while more drones fly in and disable the truck. Holy cow.

11.03.2026 19:50 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

What's My JND? 0.0080
Can you beat it? This is harder than it looks! www.keithcirkel.co.uk/whats-my-jnd...

11.03.2026 15:23 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Understanding color perception | Los Alamos National Laboratory Research on the perception of color differences is helping resolve a century-old understanding of color developed by Erwin SchrΓΆdinger. Los Alamos scientist Roxana Bujack led a team that used geometry...

Understanding Color Perception -- relating geometry of a color metric to the HSL color spectra. Pretty cool!!

www.lanl.gov/media/news/0...

11.03.2026 13:48 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

There was a point in the Tx observer piece where I asked my wife the capex cost of an RO system per gallon and she immediately gave a number larger than the original quote for the ENTIRE desal plant in 2024 (didn't compare to the full price they inflated to).

11.03.2026 13:44 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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This Texas City Shows How Not to Manage Water Corpus Christi, Texas, is about to run dangerously short of water, a development nobody saw coming aside from all the people who have seen it coming for decades.

Corpus Christi was already low on water when it invited water-guzzling fossil-fuel industries to take whatever it had left. It’s a familiar example of exactly how not to prepare for a hotter world

Gift link to my column for @opinion.bloomberg.com

www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

11.03.2026 13:14 πŸ‘ 60 πŸ” 29 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 7

One sort of undercooked thought I have is that Americans… don’t know how to walk. They don’t walk to school as kids and so they just never develop the skill, so when they try to walk places it’s unfamiliar and effortful and unpleasant in a way it wouldn’t be if they had learned how as children.

11.03.2026 13:10 πŸ‘ 97 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 17 πŸ“Œ 1

@peark.es cargo transit thru the strait of Hormuz is swimming thru

11.03.2026 11:05 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Oil Tanker Freight Rates Surged

11.03.2026 11:04 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The question was raised how bad a task would it be to clear the Strait of Hormuz if it was mined. The answer is "pretty bad".

11.03.2026 09:13 πŸ‘ 217 πŸ” 63 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 23
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#datavis #iran

1/2
UN Trade and Development has released a report about the effects of closure of the Strait of Hormuz,
with plenty of infographics

thanks to What's Going on with Shipping
@mercoglianos.bsky.social
for the link - he also has a good video on this

unctad.org/publication/...

11.03.2026 08:49 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

three ships hit now www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

11.03.2026 08:32 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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One thing I've been stressing is that, if Hormuz traffic remained stopped, the monumental oil supply shock will manifest as sharp price spikes in wealthy nations that sap disposable incomes

In poorer countries, the shock will manifest as outright physical shortages.

11.03.2026 02:59 πŸ‘ 674 πŸ” 177 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 23
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New article - Iran's explosive uncrewed surface vessels (USVs) which are hitting tankers in the Persian Gulf -> www.hisutton.com/IRGC-USV.html

11.03.2026 06:35 πŸ‘ 293 πŸ” 67 πŸ’¬ 13 πŸ“Œ 4

Up to 3 separate cargo ships were hit overnight according to the last few posts.

11.03.2026 08:00 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

If you thought China was selling a lot of batteries and solar panels before, you’re going to love what happens next.

11.03.2026 03:02 πŸ‘ 997 πŸ” 164 πŸ’¬ 22 πŸ“Œ 13
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UKMTO WARNING 019-26

11.03.2026 07:53 πŸ‘ 42 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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#IMF estimates for every persistent 10% rise in oil prices, a 0.1–0.2% fall in global economic output follows. #oil price surges contributed to U.S. recessions in 1973, 1980, 1990 and 2008, chart @reuters.com
www.reuters.com/business/ene...

11.03.2026 07:32 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Excited to share a new @nber.org paper w/Blonz/Hossain/Mulder/Weill where we show credit scores impact homeowners insurance premiums as much as disaster risk.

Here’s what happened in WA when they banned credit scoring:

09.03.2026 20:19 πŸ‘ 38 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
Map snapshot depicting the predicted relative anomalousness of surface temperatures from the ECMWF ensemble over the Western U.S. in about a week from now. A a huge region of bright orange and red colors (depicting extremely high warm temperature anomalies) is centered right in the middle of the map, and covers essentially the entire region.

Map snapshot depicting the predicted relative anomalousness of surface temperatures from the ECMWF ensemble over the Western U.S. in about a week from now. A a huge region of bright orange and red colors (depicting extremely high warm temperature anomalies) is centered right in the middle of the map, and covers essentially the entire region.

Lots of buzz online about an upcoming major March heatwave for the American SW & California. And in this case, it does indeed appear increasingly likely than an extremely anomalous and even record-breaking heatwave may envelop much of the SW about a week from now.

09.03.2026 16:09 πŸ‘ 670 πŸ” 298 πŸ’¬ 30 πŸ“Œ 134

#climaterisk

09.03.2026 15:25 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Meanwhile, Spain's massive investment in renewables is paying dividends now: with prices for Spanish industry and consumers low and stable compared with other European economies.

www.ft.com/content/ac77...

06.03.2026 16:39 πŸ‘ 1439 πŸ” 620 πŸ’¬ 23 πŸ“Œ 68

Bapco Refinery hit and force majeure today too bsky.app/profile/reut...

09.03.2026 11:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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An Iranian attack drone hit the BAPCO refinery in Bahrain this morning, starting a large fire.

09.03.2026 11:15 πŸ‘ 36 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This story also highlights the simultaneously local nature and regional impacts of water resources issues. Need to have nuanced understanding of local water management and water rights to understand if a project is truly impactful or even feasible.

09.03.2026 09:54 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Affordable transport services are enabled by clean power and sufficiency: I’m in an electric bus on the way to an electric train to get back home to wait for the e-MTB delivery.

The #eMTB running costs including maintenance, components and charging are a few hundred euros per year.

09.03.2026 09:40 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Water Security Atlas - showing incidents of water related conflict in Jordan, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, Oman

Water Security Atlas - showing incidents of water related conflict in Jordan, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, Oman

We loaded Pacific Institute data on water conflict onto our Water Security map, so you can explore incidents of water-related violence around the world:

share.google/81jYfWd7n1zu...

08.03.2026 12:34 πŸ‘ 73 πŸ” 40 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2
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China pours rocket fuel on the vehicle replacement cycle.

A 625B RMB ($90B) national trade-in subsidy launched for 2026, paying consumers directly on a first-come basis.

This isn’t just an #EV incentive β€” it accelerates ICE fleet retirement.

Old ICE out β†’ EVs & PHEVs in.

08.03.2026 00:29 πŸ‘ 168 πŸ” 56 πŸ’¬ 13 πŸ“Œ 32