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Arthur Rodrigues

@avrodrigues

Comunity Ecology • Macroecology • Biogeography

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07.02.2024
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Latest posts by Arthur Rodrigues @avrodrigues

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Best practices for moving from correlation to causation in ecological research - Nature Communications Different scientific traditions offer seemingly disparate approaches to inferring causal relationships in ecological systems. This Perspective unifies the causal assumptions and methods from...

Excited to share our new paper in @natcomms.nature.com We synthesize causal discovery & inference approaches across traditions (regression adjustment, quasi-expts, SEMs, Granger causality, convergent cross-mapping, and more) into a unified workflow for ecologists. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

24.02.2026 17:25 👍 162 🔁 63 💬 3 📌 6

Thanks Abhishek!

12.02.2026 06:41 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The relative roles of in situ diversification and lineage dispersal underlying diversity patterns at the assemblage level Speciation, extinction, and dispersal are the historical processes influencing the spatial distribution of lineages and strongly influence diversity patterns. Here, we apply a recently developed meth...

In situ diversification and immigration are the main sources of species diversity at the assemblage level. Find here how to quantify their importance. Brilliantly led by @avrodrigues.bsky.social, and co-authored by Gabriel Nakamura and me. nsojournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

10.02.2026 19:58 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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The relative roles of in situ diversification and lineage dispersal underlying diversity patterns at the assemblage level Speciation, extinction, and dispersal are the historical processes influencing the spatial distribution of lineages and strongly influence diversity patterns. Here, we apply a recently developed meth...

The last paper of my PhD is out! Together with @duarteldas.bsky.social and Gabriel Nakamura, we investigated how in situ diversification and lineage dispersal have shaped assemblage level diversity in the Atlantic Forest.

nsojournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...

11.02.2026 18:53 👍 8 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
Introduction to SBEARS - Site Based Estimation of Ancestral Range of Species

For those interested in exploring Site-Based Estimation of Ancestral Range of Species (SBEARS), this material can be very helpful.

gabrielnakamura.github.io/Herodotools/...

29.01.2026 18:52 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Taxonomic uncertainty: causes, consequences, and metrics Taxonomic uncertainty is prevalent across many biological groups. Yet, it remains overlooked in ecology, evolution, and conservation, leading to potential misinterpretations of biodiversity patterns. Here, we argue that this uncertainty emerges from the interaction between biological processes shaping natural lineages and human efforts to name and classify them. Based on this, we propose a set of metrics to quantify confidence in species boundaries and to track the history of taxonomic change and stability. We show how these metrics can be embedded into biodiversity analyses, from mapping uncertainty across taxa and geographic regions to assigning weights to species and deriving more realistic error ranges in ecological models. Making taxonomic uncertainty explicit advances biodiversity science and strengthens conservation decisions.

Online now: Taxonomic uncertainty: causes, consequences, and metrics

28.01.2026 12:56 👍 9 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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A new study shows that butterflies, unlike birds, are declining in Finnish agricultural landscapes:

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

23.01.2026 15:42 👍 15 🔁 9 💬 0 📌 1
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Postdoctoral Researcher in Statistical Ecology and Evolution Postdoctoral Researcher in Statistical Ecology and Evolution

There is a very cool postdoc position in the EnvStat group supervised by Elina Numminen.

jobs.helsinki.fi/job/Helsinki...

15.01.2026 10:56 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0

3/ In this study we used long-term monitoring data from Finland. Huge thanks to people in @luke.fi, @syke.fi, and @nathist.bsky.social for maintaining these valuable datasets!

04.04.2025 11:16 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

2/ We found a general positive biodiversity-stability relationship, but causal relationship varied among taxonomic groups—with community asynchrony playing a bigger role than population stability in birds, moths, butterflies, and phytoplankton.

04.04.2025 11:16 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Cross‐Taxa Analysis of Long‐Term Data Reveals a Positive Biodiversity‐Stability Relationship With Taxon‐Specific Mechanistic Underpinning We investigate the relationship between biodiversity and stability in real-world communities, examining if this relationship and its underlying mechanisms differ among various taxa. We utilise six lo...

🚨 New paper out in Ecology Letters! 🚨
1/ Together with Tuuli Rissanen and an amazing team at @rececochange.bsky.social, we show that functional traits mediate biodiversity-stability relationships in natural communities. 🧵
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

04.04.2025 11:16 👍 8 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 1
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❗Next SORTEE Code Club will be on Nov 19, 9-10h UTC❗

We will continue with the **Hackathon: Writing a Code Standard** (https://buff.ly/4fFVAIS)

Anyone interested in contributing is welcome to join!

More details and zoom link on SORTEE's Slack (https://buff.ly/3O6If0k)

13.11.2024 11:00 👍 3 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0