This war is going to change everything.
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14.03.2026 12:41
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This war is going to change everything.
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America is unprepared for the war that Iran is prepared to fight.
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The American economy is built on a Ponzi scheme of multi-trillion-dollar debt.
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America is an empire in decline lashing out at the world.
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Gulf states are mirages.
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Jiang Xueqin predicted Trump’s 2024 win, the Israel–US war on Iran & US defeat.
He’s also predicting Iran will become stronger & continue to control the Strait of Hormuz, that Gulf nations will never come back from this, leading to Israeli taking over dominance from the US, & a future world war. 1/
They’re also trialling longer-range FP7s and 9s.
All part of the disinformation and propaganda plan Orbán bought from russia.
Last year, Francis Dearnley asked Hungarian Secretary of State for International Communication and Relations, Zoltán Kovacs, why Hungary is an EU member. Paraphrasing Kovacs’ response: “For what we can get.” I imagine it’s the same for NATO.
This is what Jiang Xueqin thinks will happen next.
Summary only, much more detail in podcast.
GCC is the Gulf Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf.
“So that’s what I see happening. In the short term, this will be devastating. In the mid term, Israel will achieve the Greater Israel Project and create Pax Judaica. In the long term, Israel will face the world in a global conflict.” 4/4
“The Iranians will not lose this war. They will maintain their sovereignty & will control the Strait of Hormuz, so they’ll have the financing necessary to rebuild their nation. They will come out much stronger, with a more coherent national identity & will have upgraded their military capacity. 3/4
“It’s already built the Ben-Gurion Canal, which cuts through Gaza and replaces the Suez Canal. It is the technological and financial centre of the Middle East because the GCC has been destroyed, so whatever oil money there is, is invested into Israel. 2/4
“I think the GCC is done for. I don’t think it’s possible to come back from what’s happening. I think Israel emerges as a dominant power in the Middle East. The centre of gravity transfers from Washington DC to Jerusalem. Why? Because, at this point in history, Israel controls all global trade. 1/4
“The Iranians are Shiite Muslim & believe it is the highest honor to martyr yourself for the higher good. The Ayatollah Khamenei set the example that is galvanising the Iranian people. Look at social media footage. The Iranian people are now galvanised & will fight this war to the bitter end.” 2/2
“Trump said 6 Americans have died in this war so far. There is absolutely no way this is true. We are hearing rumours casualties are being flown to Germany to disguise the fact many Americans are dying. America has absolutely no appetite to sustain casualties. So how are you going to fight a war? 1/
“… they start these stupid wars they can’t possibly win, they overextend themselves, and the collapse is terrible for the world. And America very much is an empire in decline.” 2/2
“This war doesn’t make any sense. It’s not rational. Everyone knows America was going to lose this war. The problem is, when empires are in decline, this is just the way they behave. The historical record, it’s pretty overwhelming that, when empires decline, they lash out against the world, 1/2
“If the Gulf States were to stop investing in America, the AI financial bubble would burst and with it the entire American economy. America would suffer a much greater depression than the 1930s. That’s how dire the situation is for America right now.” 3/3
“The Gulf States, they sell the oil, get petrodollars, then recycle it back into the American economy, mainly by investing into AI, into data centres, which is now the main engine of growth for the American economy. 2/
“America is addicted to the petrodollar. Leaving the Middle East would destroy the petrodollar. If the petrodollar is destroyed, it would collapse the American economy as well. America has $40 trillion in debt and this debt is a Ponzi scheme. The American economy is sustained by a Ponzi scheme. 1/
“For the longest time, the GCC had a reputation for being safe, for being extremely wealthy. Now that mirage, that illusion has been shattered. And, once the illusion is shattered, you can’t ever resurrect it again.” 3/3
“Then there’s the issue of fresh water, where the greatest vulnerability is the desalination plants. Desalination plants provide about 6% of all GCC water needs. If these desalination plants are destroyed, then they run out of water in one or two weeks. 2/3
“The Gulf states are basically mirages. 50 years ago, these were just deserts. […] The Strait of Hormuz takes Gulf Cooperation Council oil to Asia, then brings back food. The GCC imports 80–90% of its food supply, so the rumor is Dubai will run out of food in about a week’s time. 1/3
Tony Blinken: “This has been a long story when it comes to Iran. The Israelis were pushing President Obama to take military action against Iran and were warning that they would do it themselves if he didn’t. And he wouldn’t.”
Tim Miller: “That’s basically what Marco Rubio says happened.”
My friend, who is an astrophysicist, recently moved back to Australia from LA. In weekly Zoom catchups, his LA friends group remains traumatised by America’s anti-science stance and its impact on all their careers.
So much of where we are today is due to the unfathomable depths of russian paranoia.
UK commentators can barely grasp it.
It is also just in time rescuing russia’s economy, which was entering a death spiral.
“Last year, of Russian prisoners of war in Ukraine, 16% of them were illegally-mobilised Ukrainians from the temporarily-occupied territories. So it’s quite a notable figure.”
This is, of course, a war crime.
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