In which I discuss some books I read last year
magnusross.github.io/posts/2025-b...
13.01.2026 11:39
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In which I discuss some books I read last year
magnusross.github.io/posts/2025-b...
It’s a big day for central banks around the world today, so naturally Alphaville is tackling the big topics — like whether Rishi Sunak got some cowboy boots as PM and how much they cost. www.ft.com/content/82d2...
🚨 New paper alert 🚨
Our latest work on using machine learning to help clinicians to switch patients from IV to oral antibiotics more efficiently:
openreview.net/pdf?id=j8wsq...
I wrote about a crazy new LLM benchmark where the models are let loose on the crypto markets. Spoiler: sticking all in the prompt does not work that well in this case!
magnusross.github.io/posts/nof1-a...
I wrote something about building systems people actually want as an academic in ML. It's pretty much an open letter to 6-months-ago me.
magnusross.github.io/posts/moms-m...
The American guns turning Haiti’s gangs into an army https://on.ft.com/4lVGHFY
The seminar will happen at the UCL AI Centre in the 90 High Holborn building
A promotional poster for a seminar about foundation models for the Earth system. The image contains a QR code with a link for more details https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/ucl-ai-centre-seminar-wessel-bruinsma-microsoft-research-amsterdam-tickets-1399791095849?aff=oddtdtcreator
Come to our seminar with @wessel.ai on "Foundation Models for the Earth System", it's going to be a cracker! It's open to non-UCL people also.
it's the dream blogging crossover!
Good to get some recognition for my incessant posting of Ben's blogs in the Alphaville comments section!
Take note of the legal advice from Amnesty International and more detailed information from @netpol.org below. CND supporters should be aware that point 4 could impact on how supporters refer to non-violent direct action.
great post, please do more like it :)
ChatGPT is down but The Museum of English Rural Life still stands, proving once again that Silicon Valley cannot compete with the history of rural England and its people.
What news editors and politicians think people want: "Just tell them they'll get a tram somewhere in their city if they're nice."
What people really want: "SHOW ME THE FULL GPS ROUTE PLAN COMPLETE WITH LINKS TO THE WIKIPEDIA PAGES OF THE DISUSED RAILWAY LINES THAT COULD COME BACK INTO USE."
Cancer Research UK today published a report which highlights changes in cancer survival rates over the last 50 years.
Many headlines (like this one from the Guardian) have chosen to report the ‘doubling of cancer survival rates’ since the 1970s.
But that's misleading...
1/18
A new paper just dropped from Tri Dao(🐐)'s lab!
arxiv.org/abs/2505.21487
Here is my hot take!
the inexplicable core of Starmerism, as a truly new formation in world politics, is seeing governance as wholly an extension of general election campaign messaging
Big news!! 🚀 Aurora, a foundation model for the Earth system, has been published in @nature.com.
A massive congrats to the whole team! Very proud of this achievement, and thrilled to see that it’s finally out there. 😊
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Short write-up about how I got xAI to briefly add "white genocide" stuff back into Grok's system prompt.
smol.news/p/the-utter-...
it's very odd watching the election news in the UK when Labour still has *years* left on their massive governing majority
they can just ignore this stuff and create prosperity and get popular
and what's particularly weird is that it's not just commentators it's Labour themselves that don't get it
A screenshot of a paper on infectious diseases with the first line of the abstract highlighted. It reads "Like all fields of medicine, Infectious Diseases is rife with dogma that underpins much clinical practice."
You know you're in for a banger paper when the this is the first line of the abstract...
Stealing from X for clout, but someone bought a staggering 25% of the *entire* open interest of a semiconductor ETF (which is 20% NVDA) in a single OTM put option yesterday and today. $3.7 billion of underlying stock, 8ish delta, $23 mil of premium, so levered 15:1 betting on the NVDA embargo news.
one for the debtors!
A new Python edition of "Forecasting: Principles and Practice" is now available online at otexts.com/fpppy/. Thanks to @azulgarza.bsky.social, Cristian Challu, Max Mergenthaler, Kin Olivares & Nixtla for making this happen. #forecasting #python
It's frustrating that this stuff isn't picked up by reviewers, and that the Exchange dataset is still being used when it's known to be a flawed benchmark. The fact this model beats the others is irrelevant, because all the models give bad results.
It makes no sense of the uncertainty to be constant over the forecast horizon here (or in most time series models); the series is extremely unlikely to drop to half of its value in 1 time step, but this model suggests that has a ~5% chance of happening.
A grid of plots of time series forecasts, the proposed model's forecasts are highlighted by a red box. The uncertainty estimates for the proposed model are constant over the forecast horizon and are poorly calibrated.
I just came across this paper from ICLR 2024 which proposes an intricate combination of transformers and diffusion models to generate forecasts with these uncertainty bounds (red box), which are clearly inappropriate and could likely be outperformed by modelling the data as a random walk...
CUDA mode -> Triton mode