Eric Hillebrand

Teaching Econometrics This book collects advances and reflections on the teaching of econometrics from internationally well-known econometricians

The book has appeared!

link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

econ.au.dk/fileadmin/EC...

#assa #aea #eea #econjobmarket #academicjobs #iaee | Center for Research in Energy: Economics and Markets - CoRE Institut for Økonomi, Aarhus Universitet and Center for Research in Energy: Economics and Markets - CoRE, invite expressions of interest from distinguished scholars for a tenured position as Associate...

Associate or full position in energy economics at AU!

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Estimating breakpoints in the Cenozoic Era: an econometric approach Abstract. This study presents a statistical time-domain approach for identifying transitions between climate states, referred to as breakpoints, using well-established econometric tools. Our approach ...

New paper out in @egu.eu's Climate of the Past together with economists (@mbennedsen.bsky.social @erichillebrand.bsky.social) to apply their rate prediction tools to the Cenozoic stack for detecting the timing and duration of breakpoints. Really fun. @au.dk

cp.copernicus.org/articles/21/...

People don't believe in the Central Limit Theorem! It's outrageous. :-)

Dänemark. Ausländerpolitik der Sozialdemokraten (!)

New paper out:

journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

with Mikkel Bennedsen @mbennedsen.bsky.social and Siem Jan Koopman

Teaching Econometrics This book collects advances and reflections on the teaching of econometrics from internationally well-known econometricians

We celebrated Carter Hill's birthday yesterday with the presentation of an edited volume in his honor: "Teaching Econometrics - A Tribute to R. Carter Hill".

link.springer.com/book/9783031...

It is scheduled to be released in December 2025 by Springer.

For international til at blive dansker AU-professor Eric Hillebrand troede, at det efter 13 år i Danmark som fastansat forsker ville være en formssag at få statsborgerskab. Men nej – han rejser for meget.

Forskerforum has written a piece about my unfortunate experience with the Danish Office for Naturalization (in Danish)

dm.dk/forskerforum...

Special Issue – The Econometrics Journal

Econometric Modeling of Climate Change and the Green Transition

Submission deadline: Feb 28, 2026

Call for papers:
sites.google.com/view/emcccon...

Econometric Models of Climate Change, 9th annual conference at the University of Victoria, Canada, Aug 27-28, 2025

Call for papers: tinyurl.com/emcc2025uvic

The Global Carbon Budget as a cointegrated system The Global Carbon Budget, maintained by the Global Carbon Project, summarizes Earth's global carbon cycle through four annual time series beginning in 1959: atmospheric CO$_2$ concentrations, anthropo...

New work on arXiv: arxiv.org/abs/2412.09226

The Global Carbon Budget data is a textbook example of cointegration.

What’s Causing the Recent Spike in Global Temperatures? Since early 2023, the world has seen a steep rise in temperatures that scientists are struggling to explain. Our contributor Elizabeth Kolbert talked with Gavin Schmidt, NASA’s top climate scientist, ...

e360.yale.edu/features/gav...

www.newscientist.com/article/2458...

‘It felt very icky’: This scientist’s name was used to write fake peer reviews Elsevier retracts dozens of journal articles that were published based on “fictitious” reviews

Earlier this year, I received news that fake peer reviews were allegedly being submitted impersonating me and approximately six others

I shared my story with Science to, hopefully, reduce the chance of this kind of breach happening again

www.science.org/content/arti...

Opinion | Climate Science Can’t Keep Up With the Warming Planet We need more timely updates in response to the rapid changes to the climate.

www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/o...

The global carbon budget 2024 is out

A regression-based approach to the CO2 airborne fraction - Nature Communications A presented regression-based approach to the CO2 airborne fraction is statistically superior to the conventional ratio-based approach. It reduces estimation uncertainty, requires fewer assumptions, an...

New work in Nature Communications about the CO2 airborne fraction, the part of emissions that remains in the atmosphere

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

CoRE Research Video produced by Gotfat Productions

The new Center for Research in Energy: Economics and Markets - CoRE is a public-private research center jointly initiated by Aarhus BSS - @aarhusuni.bsky.social and InCommodities. We had this video made professionally to summarize what we're about. Check it out.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=bCFI...

8th annual conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC-VIII):

Deadline for extended abstracts/papers: May 15

University of Cambridge, King's College, Aug 16 & 17

tinyurl.com/4wzak7nb

Fingers crossed for AU’s team at the #EconometricGame 2024, with a case on Estimating Causal Effects of Educational Policies!

And an accompanying web site

Continuous-time state-space methods for delta-O-18 and delta-C-13 Time series analysis of delta-O-18 and delta-C-13 measurements from benthic foraminifera for purposes of paleoclimatology is challenging. The time series reach back tens of millions of years, they...

New work on time series analysis of paleoclimate proxies. Incredibly cool time series, about 23,000 irregularly spaced observations covering 67 million years

Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC) - 8th annual conference takes place Aug 16 and 17 at King's College, University of Cambridge.

Call for papers and extended abstracts and link for submissions at tinyurl.com/4wzak7nb

Deadline May 15. Mark your calendars, and see you in Cambridge in August

Global Carbon Budget 2023

Despite record growth in clean energy, global fossil CO2 emissions are expected to grow 1.1% [0-2.1%] in 2023.

Strong policies are needed to ensure fossil fuels decline as clean energy grows!

essd.copernicus.org/articles/15/...

1/

DeepMind AI accurately forecasts weather — on a desktop computer The machine-learning model takes less than a minute to predict future weather worldwide more precisely than other approaches. The machine-learning model takes less than a minute to predict future weat...

"Prediction based upon a hypothesis, or model, is the ideal, but it should be noted that prediction can be based upon *recognition* of a regularity as well as upon *explanation* of a regularity." Peter Whittle, 1963

Is the Earth's Energy Imbalance of the scales?

Does it mean 1.5°C is inevitable, or is it our actions that make 1.5°C inevitable?

I scribbled down some thoughts: glenpeters.substack.com/p/understand...

A question for the hive mind that is driving me crazy: I vaguely remember a quote (was it by Kahane?) that mathematical models are devices to organize thinking and help asking the right, sharp questions (as opposed to accurate descriptions of reality). Anybody knows the quote?

Thanks for doing this

I fear this might not be the most exciting account... so watch this. I still laughed even when we did the 30th take. youtu.be/CnITUQVEqLQ?...