For any prolonged upside from this point, Bitcoin would need to reclaim the EMA as support (this however would go against the grain of history)
Until proven otherwise, the EMA is acting as a resistance
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
#BTC
Bitcoin has once again Weekly Closed below the 200-week EMA (black)
As a result, this technically means that the 200-week EMA continues to figure as resistance
#BTC
It's official
This is now the 4th consecutive cycle where the crossover of the Bull Market EMAs has preceded macro downside continuation
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#BTC
History repeated itself perfectly
Bitcoin rebounded from the base of the Triangle for a ~20% rally
And has then since broken down from the Macro Triangle to enter Bearish Acceleration
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#BTC
The Bearish Acceleration phase of the Bitcoin cycle is in progress
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It’s 2026
Looks like it indeed is the year of the Bitcoin Bear Market
2027 will be the Bottoming Out year for #BTC
And 2028 will be the Trend Reversal year where $93500 would be finally broken
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So the longer Bitcoin consolidates after the Halving, the better it will be for resynchronising this current cycle with the traditional Halving cycle
$BTC #Bitcoin #BitcoinHalving
That would mean Bitcoin could peak in this cycle in mid-September or mid-October 2025
Currently, Bitcoin is accelerating in this cycle by approximately 180 days
#BTC
In the 2015-2017 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 518 days after the Halving
In the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days after the Halving
If history repeats and the next Bull Market peak occurs 518-546 days after the Halving...
Bitcoin Breaks Down - More Downside To Come?
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youtu.be/JVfRp0JWcKE?si…
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Bitcoin has been slipping ever since
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Bitcoin Breaks Down - More Downside To Come?
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Checkout the full video here:
youtu.be/JVfRp0JWcKE?si…
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#BTC
Bitcoin indeed experienced a lesser rally over the past several weeks, confirming that ~$80000 is a weakening support
In fact, Bitcoin has Weekly Close below $80k and so turning it into new resistance would confirm the breakdown from here
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#BTC
Looks like that was the top
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#BTC
Bitcoin has now retraced -40% since rejecting at the Logarithmic trendline resistance (red)
A very clear strengthening in rejection power at the trendline resistance (red)
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#BTC
Unfortunately for Bitcoin, everything is playing out perfectly
Bitcoin is on the cusp of confirming a breakdown from the Macro Triangle
In doing so, $BTC is dangerously close to transitioning into the Bearish Acceleration phase of the Bear Market
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#BTC
Following the Monthly Close below the Macro Triangle bottom...
History suggests that price may struggle to even revisit the Triangle base to turn it into new resistance (~$82500)
The longer Bitcoin stays below $82500, the chances for Bearish Acceleration increase
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#BTC
Bitcoin has produced a bearish Monthly Close below the base of the Macro Triangle
Bitcoin is therefore on the cusp of fully breaking down from this key pattern
Bitcoin is dangerously close to entering the Bearish Acceleration phase of the cycle (blue circle)
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#BTC
If Bitcoin convincingly breaks down from ~$86k...
Then another revisit of the Macro Triangle Bottom (~$82500) would be on the cards next
And a breakdown from there would confirm Bearish Acceleration
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#BTC
Bitcoin's current price action continues to demonstrate loyalty to historical cycles
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#BTC
The $86k Range Low support is showing signs of weakness after the recent +5% rebound ends up being not just weaker than the previous +13% rally but this week's rally appears to have also been fully cancelled out to the point where this Weekly Candle has turned red
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Bitcoin needs to avoid turning the Range Low of $86k into new resistance on the lower timeframes and somehow muster a Weekly Close above said level to rescue itself from a breakdown
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Now Bitcoin is teetering around the Range Low of $86k and given how this recent run-up was a lot weaker that the rally from several weeks ago, this Range Low is demonstrating a portrait of weakness which could precede breakdown
#BTC
Bitcoin has precisely turned into new resistance the very levels it absolutely needed to reclaim back into support
Bitcoin has upside wicked into both the Mid-Range of $90500 and the Higher Low (purple) that was lost last week; both acting as resistance
Thus far, this rebound is +4%
If this current rebound falls short of the previous +13% move then that would demonstrate that the Range Low is weakening as support which could precede macro breakdown over time
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#BTC
At the end of the day, Bitcoin has simply been consolidating between $86-$93k since November 2025
The first reaction from the Range Low yielded a +13% move
#BTC
Could this be the 4th consecutive cycle where the crossover of the Bull Market EMAs precedes macro downside continuation?
$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin
Bitcoin is positioned above the Higher Low so it's key price stays stable above this Higher Low going forward as that will be crucial in enabling a reclaim of the Mid-Range of $90500
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#BTC
Bitcoin has been able to rebound from the Range Low and is now touching the Mid-Range of $90500
Bitcoin Macro Triangles
If you enjoyed this 1-minute summary on #BTC
Checkout the full video here:
youtu.be/jIW--sX4_Xk
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