Ben Vincent

Just cleared the Strait of Hormuz.....I'd give it 5 minutes if I was you

Ain't never been a regression model born that can handle structural breaks

Economists: you know I love you, but I think it's time you gave it a rest with all these "which jobs are most exposed to AI?" analyses. www.ft.com/content/8d3b...

i have to wonder what kind of future AI hypebeasts are imagining when they say stupid shit like, "most or all of white collar tasks will be automated within 18 months". like, okay, microsoft, then who are your customers? who is purchasing O365 subscriptions when robots are doing all the work?

With the next jobs report coming, give a thought to the Labor force status flows data...

BLS ain't able to publish them in the previous two reports

www.bls.gov/web/empsit/c...

You think your little jokes are clever, and yet you don't realize my mind palace has an entire wing of display exhibits in which I have demonstrated Charlie Brown was smarter than the football.

My man looks like a Zyn pouch got its wish to become a real boy

"tell me we didn't just fire a dozen $500,000 missiles at a $200 camel"

"sir, no evidence of any camel present, sir!"

I'm sorry, it looks like you're right, I did in fact order the code red. I forgot you have the luxury of not knowing what I know. Would you like me to explain myself, or would you prefer to pick up a weapon and stand a post—I would be happy to research walls that have to be guarded by men with guns!

It would make sense the next clusterfuck ended up in US insurance, tbh. They mostly dodged the post GFC reforms, have a super weird regulatory/supervisory structure, and the risk that was moved out of banking had to go somewhere

The stars were plentiful, and in the aftermath of the lunacy, one of them stood in the Dodgers' clubhouse, still trying to process what happened. Will Klein, the last man out of the Dodgers' bullpen, a reliever who had topped out this year at two innings and 36 pitches, threw four innings of one-hit ball and struck out five on 72 pitches. The last of them, an 86 mph curveball, induced a swing-and-miss from Tyler Heineman and a scream from Klein, who understood what had been asked of him and knew he'd delivered. Games don't become classics without efforts like Klein's -- and he had an admirer who wanted to acknowledge that. Into the Dodgers' clubhouse strode Sandy Koufax, his eminence of Dodgers pitching, who, at 89 years old, looked no worse for the wear at 12:48 a.m. Koufax walked up to Klein, stuck out his hand, looked him in the eyes and said: "Nice going."

This must be what it’s like to meet Odin when you enter Valhalla. www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/...

from my lunch today; "the trouble is not so much AI making you more productive, but that it's tripling the output of the biggest f***ing idiot where you work"

can't decide whether i love them for sharing Sweet Fire Chicken with us, or hate them for taking it away

prunes

This is the history that people don't want to admit. It's all "hahaha how do you go bankrupt running a casino", but Trump came out of there with more money than he went in, and with the same number of holes in his head, which is not a boast everyone can make. He's declined since, mind.

Information environment has reached its grotesque conclusion in that there is a very real killer out there who has not been identified, apprehended, or investigated, a detail practically inconsequential to nearly every commentator’s purposes.

I see the issue. When we said we would replace human workers with machines you assumed the machines would work. That's on you

The initial estimate of job change for a month is based on the growth or loss of jobs at the businesses that have reported their data. Generally, BLS assumes that the employment situation at businesses that had reported is representative of the situation at those that had not yet reported. BLS continues to collect outstanding reports from the businesses in the sample as it prepares a second and then a third estimate for the month. With each subsequent estimate, more businesses have provided their information. In 2012, the average collection rate at the time of the third estimate for a month was 94.6 percent. (See chart 1.)

Why do the jobs numbers get revised?

our markets and policymakers want data NOW but employer data dribbles in over months

1st estimate is based on the 75% of employers who respond promptly

Updates occur as more data rolls in: 95% response rate by final revision 1/N

www.bls.gov/opub/btn/vol...

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez doing a 1000 yard stare in an interview

>realizing how bad it truly is

We appreciate you Erika.

“I wish it need not have happened in my time,” said Frodo.

“lmao" said Gandalf, “well it has.”

"If you want to tell people the truth, make them laugh. Otherwise they’ll kill you."

-attributed to George Bernard Shaw

mental health break? you bet it did

In the spirit of Mother’s Day, here’s a clip of Björk two-piecing a reporter who was stalking her and her baby.

Out on the town negotiating tariff rates with more than 70 countries. They're all just out of frame, negotiating too.

The average American voter thinks that the government is too big but that it should spend more money on everything it does. This explains a decent share of the political chaos of this country.