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Josh Pacewicz

@joshpacewicz

Sociologist at Brown U. Writes on political culture, municipal governance, and welfare programs in post-industrial Midwest and elsewhere in USA. Working on new book about the administrative state.

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13.11.2024
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Latest posts by Josh Pacewicz @joshpacewicz

Maybe their end goal is just to troll the libs. Or maybe Gaetz is a distraction from someone else, who would do the real work. Always the same question with MAGA: are they evil geniuses or just dumb? 11/

15.11.2024 15:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So selection of Matt Gaetz as AG is an odd choice, because he’s not exactly their best: little legal and no administrative experience. You’d be worried if they picked someone like Kris Kobach. 10/

15.11.2024 15:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

One imagines potential for a constant series of lawsuits over β€œwoke stuff,” but also coordinated attacks on county election officials over interpretation of election law. P 2025 also calls for legal cover of mass deportation, including prosecution of blue state officials who resist 9/

15.11.2024 15:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

P 2025 calls for centralizing prosecution of voter fraud to DOJ. It calls for going after state and local officials. It classifies DEI as a civil rights violation and pledges to reorganize the DOJ’s Civil Rights division to go after agencies, corporations, and universities over DEI 8/

15.11.2024 15:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

But P 2025’s section on the DOJ proposes mashing some new buttons. It was written by one of their heavies: the general counsel for steven miller’s think tank. The section proposes cleaning house at DOJ and gutting administrative capacity at the FBI to fully subordinate the latter to the DOJ 7/

15.11.2024 15:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

But appointing Kennedy JR to head the HHS and fight with the AMA over vaccines rather than spearheading welfare state reform seems consistent with P 2025. 6/

15.11.2024 15:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Likewise, the section on the Federal Election Commission takes a strong stance AGAINST politicizing the FEC. My sense is that their goals for a few other federal orgs, like the EPA, are more ambitiousβ€”I’m writing about the policy areas I know. 5/

15.11.2024 15:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

P 2025’s section on HHS contains only one short paragraph on Medicaid financing, which would be key to repeal of the ACA. It’s a word salad consisting of any plan ever floated for reforming Medicaid financing, by folks from the left, right, or center. 4/

15.11.2024 15:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

E.g., the HHS plan was written by a social conservative lawyer (the least ideologically opposed to welfare of conservative attorneys). Sections on CMS, which administers Medicare and Medicaid, mostly concern not paying for abortion and transgender careβ€”a terrible policy, but not big budget items 3/

15.11.2024 15:01 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

You can see from a word count what P 25 is more focused on the law and culture war than welfare programs or the admin state: DOJ (113), FBI (112), abortion (161), gender (110), DEI (36), woke (28), ACA/Obamacare (13), Social Security (10), SNAP (24), CHIP (8), TANF (18) 2/

15.11.2024 15:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Interesting to compare cabinet picks against Project 2025. My take: keep your eye on DOJ. Many of P 2025’s agency plans focus on culture war issues peripheral to agency missions. The transformative parts focus on turning DOJ into a monster litigation machine that makes policy through the courts. 1/

15.11.2024 15:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for putting together. Add me if u can, pls.

14.11.2024 21:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Electorally, no. That said, maga started out objectively terrible at translating most rhetoric into policy, but they’ll improve each time they win and some of that will be hard to undo. We’ve already seen democrats as good as they want to be, and it’s underwhelming. That’s the downward spiral.

13.11.2024 23:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0