@patrickdunleavy
Emeritus Professor of Politics & Public Policy, London School of Economics & Political Science. Interests - digital era governance, democratic audit & renewal, theories of the state, elections & party competition. And in open social science, universities.
US Energy Information Administration (EIA) say oil to cost $15 to $25 more per barrel due to war.
‘We forecast Brent crude oil price will remain above $95/b to May 2026 before falling below $80/b in the 3rd quarter of 2026 & around $70 by the end of year.” www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/
A bit disheartening to see the missile defense of the UK is so thread bare it's been outsourced to the Navy
I also think drone defence is rubbish as well
Shame we can't put the Tories in the dock for treason
If China mounts a Crimea style ‘non violent’ invasion of Taiwan in 2027 or 2028. How many Asia allies would Trump have, now he’s raised their oil prices and devastated their economies on a pointless whim? Not many I’d say. Break rules, live in the wreckage news.sky.com/story/donald...
Mass psychopathy. They are laughing at committing war crime after war crime.
Disgusting.
Understand that this is the ELECTED leader of America. He is a reflection of the rot in the country's culture.
The Unmaking of the American University - For decades, research universities have relied on federal funding, with no guarantee that it will last. Now their survival may depend on compliance with the government. www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Rand Paul: "The 2026 elections, already we are behind the 8 ball. If you add in high gas prices, high oil prices, and if we're still bombing Iran with kinetic action -- people don't want to call it war -- I think you're gonna see a disastrous election."
Great quotes in military history.
@atrupar.com
Staggering and sad that IPPR, who published this pioneering work on England in the UK can run www.ippr.org/articles/rec... by Parth Patel and @npjgarland.bsky.social on 'National' renewal without acknowledging that Britain is a multi-national state not a nation AND then stick on an English flag
Rand Paul: "I think we've gotten overextended. This is our second war in a month, and these wars are very very expensive not only in the lives that are lost, but also in treasure. I'm very very concerned about the debt. Half a trillion dollars for the military budget is fiscally irresponsible."
One day the NYT's editors will read these stories again and be ashamed of themselves. Mamdani called the attack "heinous," "criminal," "reprehensible," "terrorism," and "the antithesis of who we are." The insinuation that he's conflicted about this is disgraceful. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/n...
We seriously need legislation that harshly punishes the use of SLAPPs
www.the-londoner.co.uk/that-busines...
It’s another Serco privatization mess that Dragon Is still in port. www.theguardian.com/world/2026/m...
If you’re in Oxford Today at 17.30 join Martin Williams @Mar_tinW discussing African experiences with bureaucratic reforms in his great new book "Reform as Process: Implementing Change in Public Bureaucracies". At Blavatnik School. www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/events/blava... www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/events/blava...
The USA and Israel are “Gazafying” Teheran and other major cities with reckless attacks on civilian areas and infrastructure. As they confront the reality that you can’t achieve regime change from the air, their target list becomes ever more reckless and illegal.
A start: bsky.app/profile/patr...
Indeed, investing in Gulf States is not really attractive anymore, also not good locations for business, datacenters etcetera
Trump caused today’s market mayhem with this loony post
‘Short term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for USA & World, Safety and Peace. ONLY FOOLS WOULD THINK DIFFERENTLY!” www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...
Many thanks from all our authors to the 16,400 readers who have downloaded a copy of our book "Australia's Evolving Democracy" since publication 15 months ago. It's free, one-click open access here, and always will be.
press.lse.ac.uk/books/e/10.3...
Fails to mention that slumping or collapsing Gulf states economies could fuel another global financial crisis, as asset values and economic viability plunge with the war. Any heavily Gulf-invested western banks or funds could fall over, with big domino effects. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The USA and Israel are “Gazafying” Teheran and other major cities with reckless attacks on civilian areas and infrastructure. As they confront the reality that you can’t achieve regime change from the air, their target list becomes ever more reckless and illegal.
a political science book of impressive range & depth, theory & evidence. Martin J. Williams' excellent
REFORM AS PROCESS: Implementing Change in Public Bureaucracies
brilliantly analyzes100+ reforms by 6 African countries in last 30 years.
OA here: uplopen.com/books/m/10.7...
If in Oxford on 9 March at 17.30 join Martin Williams @Mar_tinW discussing African experiences with bureaucratic reforms as covered in his excellent new book "Reform as Process: Implementing Change in Public Bureaucracies". At the Blavatnik School. www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/events/blava...
Many thanks from all our authors to the 16,400 readers who have downloaded a copy of our book "Australia's Evolving Democracy" since publication 15 months ago. It's free, one-click open access here, and always will be.
press.lse.ac.uk/books/e/10.3...
The thought that Starmer has broken a China saucer while the angry bull smashes up the whole shop is risible.
@bbclaurak.bsky.social stating Trumps case as if he were a rational operator.
Graph showing asylum applications to the U.K. by nationalities. Iran tops the chart.
In the U.K. for the last 10 years, the highest number of asylum seekers coming from any one country have been Iranians.
Somebody needs to tell Farage and his foaming far right mates that we can stop the boats or we can go to war.
But we can't have both.
#UKPolitics
#RefugeesWelcome
