Oleksandr Shepotylo's Avatar

Oleksandr Shepotylo

@shepotylo

International Trade, Productivity, Security @ Aston Centre for Business Prosperity | Born and raised in Ukraine | Large data analysis enthusiast | Views my own #EconSky #trade #economics

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Latest posts by Oleksandr Shepotylo @shepotylo

China’s export strength despite weaker US trade highlights successful market diversification and limits the impact of US-focused curbs. In response, US/UK/EU de-risking will likely accelerate: supply-chain shifts plus bigger industrial policy for high-tech. #Trade #Economics

11.03.2026 09:52 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This record surplus will deepen US/UK/EU worries about Chinese overcapacity and potential dumping in autos, chips and electronics. Expect louder calls for anti-dumping, anti-subsidy and other defensive tools to shield domestic industry. #Trade #Economics

11.03.2026 09:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

China’s exports jumped nearly 22% in Jan–Feb, pushing its 2025 export growth outlook to ~5.5% and putting the annual trade surplus on track for a record ~$1.2T. Chips, autos and electronics lead the surge, even as US demand softens. #Trade #Economics

11.03.2026 09:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

All realist IR scholars and US geostrategists look like fools, with Elbridge Colby most of all. They thought they had developed a smart strategy and Trump would follow it through. Guess what? He despises them as any other experts or institutions, global or domestic, cause he knows better

11.03.2026 09:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Now Trump is begging Putin to help him to stabilize oil prices. Next step is for Putin to mediate peace with Iran? Putin is dancing and singing in his bunker.

11.03.2026 09:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Unforced error of the US administration, which just declared a strategic pivot to the Pacific and the Western hemisphere, while leaving its other partners hanging in the cold, and then decided to go to another war in the Middle East, is mind-blowing.

11.03.2026 09:47 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Pacific pivot latest news

11.03.2026 07:24 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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VSG is tired of winning bigly tonight. Asked Iranians for help.

10.03.2026 21:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

At times, it feels that insider trading profit maximization is the primary objective of this whole shit show, and I mean all of it, starting from Jan 2025

10.03.2026 20:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

3/ For UK and European electronics firms, the case is a reminder that U.S. tariff policy can be reversed in courtβ€”complicating long-term sourcing, pricing, and hedging decisions. Legal risk is now part of U.S. market access strategy, not an afterthought. #Trade #Economics

09.03.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

2/ If Nintendo and similar plaintiffs win, Washington could face sizable refund obligations and tighter limits on how future administrations deploy broad, long-lasting tariffs. That would weaken Section 301 as a go‑to lever in U.S.-China trade tensions. #Trade #Economics

09.03.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

1/ Nintendo of America is suing the U.S. government to recover Trump-era Section 301 tariffs on Chinese-origin importsβ€”tariffs a U.S. court has recently found unlawful. This puts Nintendo in the middle of the broader corporate pushback on unilateral U.S. trade tools. #Trade #Economics

09.03.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

3/ Business groups warn per‑item or per‑consignment charges could be inflationary and regressive: costs will hit SMEs, single‑item e‑commerce orders and low‑income consumers hardest, raise admin burdens and likely push up UK retail prices. #Trade #Economics

09.03.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

2/ Big UK retailers back the move, arguing current rules let Chinese platforms undercut domestic firms. But they criticise the long transition, saying it delays a level playing field and prolongs distortions in online retail competition. #Trade #Economics

09.03.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

1/ The UK plans to scrap its Β£135 de minimis customs relief by March 2029, ending duty-free treatment for low‑value imports. This aligns the UK with US and forthcoming EU crackdowns on cheap e‑commerce parcels, especially from China. #Trade #Economics

09.03.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The impact of Brexit on immigration to the UK A new analysis finds that Brexit raised the number of foreign-born workers in the UK by about 200,000, but resulted in a more dramatic shift in the countries of origin.

New research by me @jdportes.bsky.social: we find that the end of free movement and the new immigration regime rather modestly raised the number of foreign-born workers in Britain – by about 200,000 in 2024. Thread. www.cer.eu/insights/imp...

09.03.2026 07:54 πŸ‘ 100 πŸ” 38 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

Arguably the only country that’s benefited from the past 10 days is Russia. On top of which, the Iranians have openly said Russia helped target US assets. And the Russians are like yes we did and will do it again. And every Trumper is like β€œunsure if that’s true.” It’s so messed up.

08.03.2026 23:46 πŸ‘ 130 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2
Donald J. Trump Y @realDonald Trump
Short term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for U.S.A., and World, Safety and Peace. ONLY FOOLS WOULD THINK DIFFERENTLY!President DJT
362 ReTruths 1.25k Likes
3/8/26, 6:54 PM

Donald J. Trump Y @realDonald Trump Short term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for U.S.A., and World, Safety and Peace. ONLY FOOLS WOULD THINK DIFFERENTLY!President DJT 362 ReTruths 1.25k Likes 3/8/26, 6:54 PM

posts u make when things r definitely going well

08.03.2026 22:59 πŸ‘ 2815 πŸ” 418 πŸ’¬ 70 πŸ“Œ 90

So much winning!

08.03.2026 22:16 πŸ‘ 30 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

🚨 NEW: The drone that hit the UK's air base in Cyprus was equipped with Russian military hardware

07.03.2026 23:41 πŸ‘ 1746 πŸ” 822 πŸ’¬ 73 πŸ“Œ 64

Irony has died. Russia war gives us glimpse into the future of warfare

08.03.2026 09:18 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is the way!

07.03.2026 11:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Sweden detains Russian shadow fleet vessel in the Baltic Sea The Swedish Coast Guard boarded a Russian "shadow fleet" vessel using helicopters and speedboats in the Baltic Sea. The bulk carrier Caffa currently flies the G

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ The Swedish Coast Guard boarded a Russian β€œshadow fleet” vessel using helicopters and speedboats in the Baltic Sea.

The bulk carrier Caffa currently flies the Guinean flag but remains on Ukraine’s sanctions list.

Read more πŸ‘€
theukrainianreview.info/sweden-detai...

07.03.2026 11:36 πŸ‘ 300 πŸ” 55 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 8
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And this does not help either

WTF are you doing?

06.03.2026 18:41 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Donald, you really suck

06.03.2026 18:39 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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🚨🚨 The early bird deadline to register for the Nottingham International Trade Summer School is approaching. 🚨🚨

Don’t miss this opportunity to move to the research frontier in international trade alongside leading scholars in the field!

06.03.2026 14:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

This is quite a brutal indictment of the current US policy, explicitly stating that they want to bring jobs back to the US. The reality is totally opposite.

06.03.2026 14:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

US tech sector automates itself pretty fast. The last human exiting, please do not forget to switch off the light

06.03.2026 14:06 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Ooops! Expect the US stocks to go up, though

06.03.2026 13:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The US and Russia are now co-pressuring Ukraine. This administration will go down in history as the most corrupt the US has ever had β€” which, given the competition, is genuinely quite the achievement.

06.03.2026 08:37 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0