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Leah McElrath

@leahmcelrath

Politics, geopolitics, psychology, etc. Making sense of a world that doesn’t Smith College BA, MSW | LSE #AuDHD #LGBTQ #MECFS Patreon: patreon.com/leahmcelrath

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Latest posts by Leah McElrath @leahmcelrath

Trump can say completely conflicting things in the same breath and appear to mean both of them because, for him, there is no truth.

As a malignant narcissist, his relationship with reality is entirely transactional.

10.03.2026 02:14 👍 265 🔁 66 💬 12 📌 4
Post image

We must never lose sight of how absolutely fucking hallucinatorily batshit this is. The other guy says when you surrender now? That means *you* are the one suing for peace

11.03.2026 00:04 👍 580 🔁 158 💬 17 📌 12
Preview
The U.S. Built a Blueprint to Avoid Civilian War Casualties. Trump Officials Scrapped It. The Pentagon dismantled its civilian protection mission as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth made “lethality” a top priority and the Trump administration reorganized national security around two principl...

NEW: A recently developed Defense Department program was meant to reduce civilian harm during military operations.

But months before the Iran war, the mission was dissolved as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth made “lethality” a top priority.

By @hannahallam.bsky.social

10.03.2026 21:25 👍 1145 🔁 726 💬 59 📌 64
Video thumbnail

Murphy: "Literally in my other ear I'm listening to Ted Cruz on another network explain why this mission is so essential to destroy the nuclear program. I may have to walk over there and tell him the admin is now briefing that getting rid of the nuclear program has nothing to do with this mission."

10.03.2026 20:32 👍 9140 🔁 2876 💬 266 📌 101

My deepest condolences, Anjali.

10.03.2026 20:53 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
X.com
@alilarijani ir
• Translated from Persian by Grok
The Ashura-loving nation of Iran does not fear your paper threats.
Even those greater than you could not eliminate the Iranian nation.
Watch out for yourself—lest you be eliminated!
Rate this translation:
Donald J. Trump
@realDonald Trump
If Iran does anything that stops the flow of Oil within the Strait of Hormuz, they will be hit by the United States of America TWENTY TIMES HARDER than they have been hit thus far. Additionally, we will take out easily destroyable targets that will make it virtually impossible for Iran to ever be built back, as a Nation, again — Death, Fire, and Fury will reign upon them - But I hope, and pray, that it does not happen! This is a gift from the United States of America to China, and all of those Nations that heavily use the Hormuz Strait. Hopefully, it is a gesture that will be greatly appreciated. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
44 ReTruths 131 Likes
3/9/26, 5:30 PM
5:56 AM • 3/10/26 • 729K Views

X.com @alilarijani ir • Translated from Persian by Grok The Ashura-loving nation of Iran does not fear your paper threats. Even those greater than you could not eliminate the Iranian nation. Watch out for yourself—lest you be eliminated! Rate this translation: Donald J. Trump @realDonald Trump If Iran does anything that stops the flow of Oil within the Strait of Hormuz, they will be hit by the United States of America TWENTY TIMES HARDER than they have been hit thus far. Additionally, we will take out easily destroyable targets that will make it virtually impossible for Iran to ever be built back, as a Nation, again — Death, Fire, and Fury will reign upon them - But I hope, and pray, that it does not happen! This is a gift from the United States of America to China, and all of those Nations that heavily use the Hormuz Strait. Hopefully, it is a gesture that will be greatly appreciated. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP 44 ReTruths 131 Likes 3/9/26, 5:30 PM 5:56 AM • 3/10/26 • 729K Views

⚠️ Ali Larijani, Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, threatens Trump with “elimination”:

10.03.2026 13:29 👍 46 🔁 13 💬 8 📌 3
Phil Stewart © @phildstewart
X.com
Statement from Chief Pentagon
Spokesman Sean Parnell: "Since the start of Operation Epic Fury, approximately 140 U.S. service members have been wounded over 10 days of sustained attacks. The vast majority of these injuries have been minor, and 108 service members have already returned to duty. Eight service members remain listed as severely injured and are receiving the highest level of medical care."
Phil Stewart @ @phildstewart • 1h
EXCLUSIVE-AS MANY AS 150 U.S.
TROOPS WOUNDED SO FAR IN IRAN WAR, TWO SOURCES FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER TELL REUTERS
2:06 PM • 3/10/26 • 2.3K Views

Phil Stewart © @phildstewart X.com Statement from Chief Pentagon Spokesman Sean Parnell: "Since the start of Operation Epic Fury, approximately 140 U.S. service members have been wounded over 10 days of sustained attacks. The vast majority of these injuries have been minor, and 108 service members have already returned to duty. Eight service members remain listed as severely injured and are receiving the highest level of medical care." Phil Stewart @ @phildstewart • 1h EXCLUSIVE-AS MANY AS 150 U.S. TROOPS WOUNDED SO FAR IN IRAN WAR, TWO SOURCES FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER TELL REUTERS 2:06 PM • 3/10/26 • 2.3K Views

“As many as 150”
“About 140”
“Within the ballpark of” 150

Now we have from the Pentagon:

“Approximately 140”

10.03.2026 19:15 👍 19 🔁 11 💬 2 📌 0
C SPAN
CSPAN 
@cspan
X.com
.@SenBlumenthal remarks after Iran briefing: "I emerged from this briefing dissatisfied and angry frankly that I have for any past briefing in my 15 years in the Senate.. We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran."
2:11
C-SPAN
11:30 AM • 3/10/26 • 198K Views

C SPAN CSPAN @cspan X.com .@SenBlumenthal remarks after Iran briefing: "I emerged from this briefing dissatisfied and angry frankly that I have for any past briefing in my 15 years in the Senate.. We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran." 2:11 C-SPAN 11:30 AM • 3/10/26 • 198K Views

⚠️ “We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran,” Senator Blumenthal after Iran briefing.

10.03.2026 18:53 👍 59 🔁 35 💬 4 📌 2
Jennifer Jacobs ©
@JenniferJJacobs
X.com
NEWS via @CBSNews: U.S. intelligence assets have begun to see indications Iran is taking steps to deploy mines in Strait of Hormuz shipping lane. Iran is using smaller crafts that can carry 2 to 3 mines each. While Iran's mine stock isn't publicly known, estimates over the years have ranged from roughly 2,000 to 6,000 naval mines of Iranian, Chinese and Russian-made variants,
@JimLaPorta reports
1:13 PM • 3/10/26 • 79K Views

Jennifer Jacobs © @JenniferJJacobs X.com NEWS via @CBSNews: U.S. intelligence assets have begun to see indications Iran is taking steps to deploy mines in Strait of Hormuz shipping lane. Iran is using smaller crafts that can carry 2 to 3 mines each. While Iran's mine stock isn't publicly known, estimates over the years have ranged from roughly 2,000 to 6,000 naval mines of Iranian, Chinese and Russian-made variants, @JimLaPorta reports 1:13 PM • 3/10/26 • 79K Views

⚠️ Iran “taking steps” to mine Strait of Hormuz, per CBS News:

10.03.2026 18:29 👍 78 🔁 36 💬 5 📌 6
C SPAN
CSPAN 
@cspan
X.com
.@SenBlumenthal remarks after Iran briefing: "I emerged from this briefing dissatisfied and angry frankly that I have for any past briefing in my 15 years in the Senate.. We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran."
2:11
C-SPAN
11:30 AM • 3/10/26 • 198K Views

C SPAN CSPAN @cspan X.com .@SenBlumenthal remarks after Iran briefing: "I emerged from this briefing dissatisfied and angry frankly that I have for any past briefing in my 15 years in the Senate.. We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran." 2:11 C-SPAN 11:30 AM • 3/10/26 • 198K Views

⚠️ “We seem to be on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran,” Senator Blumenthal after Iran briefing.

10.03.2026 18:53 👍 59 🔁 35 💬 4 📌 2

This mushy-mouthed language is sketchy af.

10.03.2026 18:42 👍 53 🔁 7 💬 6 📌 2

(It seems to me like the Pentagon should have *exact* numbers of US casualties.)

10.03.2026 18:36 👍 61 🔁 4 💬 4 📌 0
Michelle L. Price
@michellelprice
X.com
WASHINGTON (AP) — About 140 US troops have been wounded in the Iran war, including 8 severely and 108 who returned to duty, Pentagon says.
1:32 PM • 3/10/26 • 5 Views

Michelle L. Price @michellelprice X.com WASHINGTON (AP) — About 140 US troops have been wounded in the Iran war, including 8 severely and 108 who returned to duty, Pentagon says. 1:32 PM • 3/10/26 • 5 Views

Pentagon confirms “about” 140 US troops have been wounded in Iran War, including eight severely, per AP:

10.03.2026 18:34 👍 50 🔁 18 💬 2 📌 2
Jennifer Jacobs ©
@JenniferJJacobs
X.com
NEWS via @CBSNews: U.S. intelligence assets have begun to see indications Iran is taking steps to deploy mines in Strait of Hormuz shipping lane. Iran is using smaller crafts that can carry 2 to 3 mines each. While Iran's mine stock isn't publicly known, estimates over the years have ranged from roughly 2,000 to 6,000 naval mines of Iranian, Chinese and Russian-made variants,
@JimLaPorta reports
1:13 PM • 3/10/26 • 79K Views

Jennifer Jacobs © @JenniferJJacobs X.com NEWS via @CBSNews: U.S. intelligence assets have begun to see indications Iran is taking steps to deploy mines in Strait of Hormuz shipping lane. Iran is using smaller crafts that can carry 2 to 3 mines each. While Iran's mine stock isn't publicly known, estimates over the years have ranged from roughly 2,000 to 6,000 naval mines of Iranian, Chinese and Russian-made variants, @JimLaPorta reports 1:13 PM • 3/10/26 • 79K Views

⚠️ Iran “taking steps” to mine Strait of Hormuz, per CBS News:

10.03.2026 18:29 👍 78 🔁 36 💬 5 📌 6
Phil Stewart ® @phildstewart
X.com
EXCLUSIVE-AS MANY AS 150 U.S. TROOPS WOUNDED SO FAR IN IRAN WAR, TWO SOURCES FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER TELL REUTERS
1:00 PM • 3/10/26 • 82K Views

Phil Stewart ® @phildstewart X.com EXCLUSIVE-AS MANY AS 150 U.S. TROOPS WOUNDED SO FAR IN IRAN WAR, TWO SOURCES FAMILIAR WITH THE MATTER TELL REUTERS 1:00 PM • 3/10/26 • 82K Views

As many as 150 US troops wounded in Iran War, per Reuters:

10.03.2026 18:26 👍 112 🔁 56 💬 4 📌 2
Some experts worry the younger Khamenei could take the step that experts say his father never did, and race to build a nuclear bomb.

"A war that was meant to prevent Iran from having a bomb could be the war that actually pushed Iran beyond the Rubicon to reach a bomb," said Danny Citrinowicz, an analyst at the Atlantic Council, a think tank, and former head of the Iran branch of Israel's military intelligence.

Some experts worry the younger Khamenei could take the step that experts say his father never did, and race to build a nuclear bomb. "A war that was meant to prevent Iran from having a bomb could be the war that actually pushed Iran beyond the Rubicon to reach a bomb," said Danny Citrinowicz, an analyst at the Atlantic Council, a think tank, and former head of the Iran branch of Israel's military intelligence.

“A war that was meant to prevent Iran from having a bomb could be the war that actually pushed Iran beyond the Rubicon to reach a bomb.”

Danny Citrinowicz, analyst at the Atlantic Council and former head of the Iran branch of Israel's military intelligence

(www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/w...)

10.03.2026 15:03 👍 226 🔁 77 💬 11 📌 6

The health impact of this will play out over years, not days.

10.03.2026 14:30 👍 138 🔁 54 💬 5 📌 0
Preview
Trump’s Epstein scandal somehow got worse | Will Bunch Newsletter Plus, is black rain over Tehran a sign of the Apocalypse?

Buried bodies near a NM ranch? New evidence that Epstein may have been murdered? The bolstering of Trump's teen-sex accuser? The Epstein Files have gone wild, and there's one thing we can say for sure

Federal authorities are tied to a massive coverup

My new column www.inquirer.com/columnists/a...

10.03.2026 15:55 👍 816 🔁 359 💬 20 📌 25

Well then, that’s settled.

10.03.2026 15:58 👍 99 🔁 13 💬 9 📌 1

Among the many reasons why the poor state of discourse in DC on the US-Israel relationship matters is because it obscures the deep strategic divergences that actually exist on issues where they nominally agree (such as Iran).

10.03.2026 16:15 👍 37 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

Well then, that’s settled.

10.03.2026 15:58 👍 99 🔁 13 💬 9 📌 1

Below is one such analysis from January 12th. (Some of his commentary on X has been even more pointed.)

10.03.2026 15:48 👍 19 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0

A number of people are responding to the quote saying this outcome was obvious. I agree.

I will also say that Danny Citrinowicz was sounding the alarm and publicly cautioning against going to war all along.

If you search for his name, you’ll find some of his earlier analyses that I posted on here.

10.03.2026 15:40 👍 42 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
Preview
the only winning move is not to play written on a blue background ALT: the only winning move is not to play written on a blue background

In short, there is no apparent good end game here.

The only way to win was not to play.

10.03.2026 15:22 👍 87 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 1

If Trump decides to withdraw US support for the Iran War prior to annihilation of Iran’s capacity to function as a state, then Iran will be left with regime control not only intact but with greater popular support than before AND with its case for the need for nuclear weapons having been proven.

10.03.2026 15:19 👍 54 🔁 8 💬 2 📌 0

Israel’s goal seems to be to render Iran into a failed state, likely imagining that the resulting chaos would help rather than hinder its pursuit of territorial expansion and regional hegemony.

The US appears to have no goal—or not one grounded in reality—and to be deferential to Israel’s desires.

10.03.2026 15:09 👍 90 🔁 19 💬 3 📌 0
Some experts worry the younger Khamenei could take the step that experts say his father never did, and race to build a nuclear bomb.

"A war that was meant to prevent Iran from having a bomb could be the war that actually pushed Iran beyond the Rubicon to reach a bomb," said Danny Citrinowicz, an analyst at the Atlantic Council, a think tank, and former head of the Iran branch of Israel's military intelligence.

Some experts worry the younger Khamenei could take the step that experts say his father never did, and race to build a nuclear bomb. "A war that was meant to prevent Iran from having a bomb could be the war that actually pushed Iran beyond the Rubicon to reach a bomb," said Danny Citrinowicz, an analyst at the Atlantic Council, a think tank, and former head of the Iran branch of Israel's military intelligence.

“A war that was meant to prevent Iran from having a bomb could be the war that actually pushed Iran beyond the Rubicon to reach a bomb.”

Danny Citrinowicz, analyst at the Atlantic Council and former head of the Iran branch of Israel's military intelligence

(www.nytimes.com/2026/03/09/w...)

10.03.2026 15:03 👍 226 🔁 77 💬 11 📌 6

💜

10.03.2026 15:01 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Two of the possible outcomes of the Iran War:

• An Iranian regime with greater popular support than before and a single-minded focus on obtaining nuclear weapons for the purpose of deterrence

or

• A failed state, which would be a humanitarian disaster and a destabilizing force for decades

10.03.2026 14:49 👍 237 🔁 59 💬 10 📌 2

The health impact of this will play out over years, not days.

10.03.2026 14:30 👍 138 🔁 54 💬 5 📌 0