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Noah Frank

@noahafrank

Writer. Days doing comms at Virginia Tech, evenings teaching at Loyola Maryland. Musing on baseball and other maddening pastimes. https://pretty-good.ghost.io noahafrank.com

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Latest posts by Noah Frank @noahafrank

Have you ever heard a PA announcer mewl? You have now

11.03.2026 03:15 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s like the ominous oil man struck gold, but it turned out to be ranch dressing, which transformed him into a grinning slice of pepperoni

10.03.2026 18:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is definitely funnier if you know that the actual team is the Tulsa Drillers and that this is their logo

10.03.2026 18:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yeah, it’s been great. I can’t imagine us getting rid of it any time soon, even as she grows out of the seat

10.03.2026 17:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I was originally going to throw a kid seat on my gravel bike. But we bought a cargo e-bike instead to get our daughter to daycare and around town, and it’s way better, because both my wife and I can use it going to and from work or wherever. So much more versatile and our daughter loves it

10.03.2026 17:37 πŸ‘ 32 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

These insane types of actions are inseparable from the sports world. And as senseless as they are, at least sports makes them more visible. It forces everyone to have these conversations.

Now, as always, everything is sportswriting bsky.app/profile/jpho...

10.03.2026 00:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is what I mean! It’s been this way for a long time. Americans are conditioned to think that $3/gallon gas is some sort of birthright, and it informs so much of our consumer habits, urban planning, and energy policy

09.03.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

A formative event in my young life was traveling abroad and seeing gas prices in Europe. If Americans had to pay those prices, I think we’d be amazed at how quickly policy would move away from fossil fuels

09.03.2026 12:38 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

lol. lmao.

09.03.2026 02:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’ve said for years (and said again to my dad this weekend) that it would be extremely jarring, but that $8/gallon gas might be the best thing that could happen to America to reckon with our oil addiction and climate change

09.03.2026 02:39 πŸ‘ 60 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2

Hey chat, is it good to have skyrocketing gas prices, farm prices, and grocery prices, Americans dying in a deeply unpopular conflict, and the stock market taking a dive into a dry pool all at the same time heading into the midterms?

08.03.2026 22:51 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Went to the ESPN app twice today to check scores, and the autoplay video at the top was fans dangerously rushing the field at a soccer match the first time, and a fan threatening to throw a chair the second time.

Not a great sign, either in terms of fan behavior or media editorial decision-making

08.03.2026 22:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’m so sorry. So many people we know (including us) have been through a version of this, and if it’s any solace, sharing and talking about it has brought some measure of relief to everyone we’ve talked to about it

08.03.2026 17:31 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Foreign language immersion is all the rage these days

08.03.2026 14:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Text message reading: Men nohggqgqh BB Ukuuujz

Text message reading: Men nohggqgqh BB Ukuuujz

When your toddler has grabbed your wife’s phone

08.03.2026 12:38 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

As a former full-time sports writer who teaches college sports writing, it’s extremely hard to know how to help my students anymore, other than equipping them with journalism/research/writing skills and wishing them well

06.03.2026 17:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

He’s seizing the means of run production

06.03.2026 00:57 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Find yourself someone who wants you as much as the NCAA wants Trinidad Chambliss to stop playing college football

06.03.2026 00:53 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Look, that’s just a to-have-done list that you’re accurately annotating. Nothing wrong with that

06.03.2026 00:44 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Love too live here and commute past the White House. Everything is great.

06.03.2026 00:42 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Cool. Great.

06.03.2026 00:31 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Well, I suppose that makes more sense in the most infuriating way possible bsky.app/profile/wsua...

05.03.2026 19:47 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Pulling a sitting, friendly senator out of an already paper thin majority is certainly a decision

05.03.2026 18:52 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Army Air Corps pilot and small business owner on one side, economics professor and administrator at UC Berkeley on the other.

Please don’t make me run for Congress.

05.03.2026 17:33 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I almost hit Billy Crystal in the face with a baseball 5 minutes before a specific movie scene that could not be reshot

05.03.2026 04:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

*broke a uniformed Marine veteran’s hand

Trying to imagine the meltdown that would be happening if a Democratic lawmaker did that

05.03.2026 03:15 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Elon Musk’s β€œVox Populi, Vox Dei” tweet

Elon Musk’s β€œVox Populi, Vox Dei” tweet

Hmm sounds a lot like what someone else in the Epstein Files would say

05.03.2026 03:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

smh out here trying to bury your connection to the Epstein Files, I see

05.03.2026 03:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Privately, I don’t even know if he’d argue with that assertion

05.03.2026 01:41 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Most of the handful of polls recently conducted in the Democratic Texas Senate primary show Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading Texas State Rep. James Talerico by 6-8 points (though one poll has Talerico up by a similar margin). And yet, the odds on Kalshi for this race favor Talerico, and had reached as high as 78% earlier this week.

This can’t be explained away, as the gap between the polls and the betting markets for the 2024 presidential election was, by so-called quiet Republican voters, as it’s a Democratic primary. And I don’t claim to have some crystal ball into the reason behind this, but here’s what I do know: money moves these markets. Those markets β€” especially when they’re broadcast on CNN (which struck a deal with Kalshi in December), or show up on Substack (which just inked a deal with Polymarket) β€” impact perception. And perception often drives action. 

Or, to put it more bluntly, people like to vote for the candidate they think will win.

While there’s no such thing as a lead in elections until the votes are actually counted, there is absolutely movement based on perception. It impacts funding, both from big and small donors. It impacts media coverage and the way the candidates are discussed. If prediction markets begin to take even some of the weight away from polling in the way candidates are viewed and discussed, this could have a dramatic impact on the political landscape moving forward. 

And since those numbers are driven entirely by money β€” by physical bets placed one way or another β€” these markets become just another unregulated way for those with the most money to wield it to influence our elections.

Most of the handful of polls recently conducted in the Democratic Texas Senate primary show Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading Texas State Rep. James Talerico by 6-8 points (though one poll has Talerico up by a similar margin). And yet, the odds on Kalshi for this race favor Talerico, and had reached as high as 78% earlier this week. This can’t be explained away, as the gap between the polls and the betting markets for the 2024 presidential election was, by so-called quiet Republican voters, as it’s a Democratic primary. And I don’t claim to have some crystal ball into the reason behind this, but here’s what I do know: money moves these markets. Those markets β€” especially when they’re broadcast on CNN (which struck a deal with Kalshi in December), or show up on Substack (which just inked a deal with Polymarket) β€” impact perception. And perception often drives action. Or, to put it more bluntly, people like to vote for the candidate they think will win. While there’s no such thing as a lead in elections until the votes are actually counted, there is absolutely movement based on perception. It impacts funding, both from big and small donors. It impacts media coverage and the way the candidates are discussed. If prediction markets begin to take even some of the weight away from polling in the way candidates are viewed and discussed, this could have a dramatic impact on the political landscape moving forward. And since those numbers are driven entirely by money β€” by physical bets placed one way or another β€” these markets become just another unregulated way for those with the most money to wield it to influence our elections.

I specifically referred to the gap between the polls and the betting markets in the Texas Democratic Senate primary in this piece. Was that because of the fundraising difference? Vibes? Something else? pretty-good.ghost.io/sports-betti...

05.03.2026 01:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0